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Comment MPAR (Score 1) 12

Smart people lose interest in social media when they realise they're just arguing with the TV because most people are NPCs who can't do anything but repeat The Current Narrative.

It's become even worse now half the posts are AI-generated and half the rest are paid political grifters. If I want actual discussion I got to private web forums where smart people hang out.

Comment Re: Oh well (Score 1) 160

> And these health care jobs, that's good for the next 20 years, but what then?

All that "free healthcare" that Boomers voted themselves is soon going to swallow up the majority of the economy. It's simply unaffordable and those jobs will be automated away or they'll never be hired.

It's impossible to make sensible long-term plans when governments can create or destroy industries overnight.

The good news is that degrees are mostly just a way for colleges to make money and aren't needed for the vast majority of jobs. They're just a tick-box for HR, which is another job that's about to be automated away.

Comment Re:whatsoever a man soweth, that shall he also rea (Score 1) 160

Donations are pretty much irrelevant at this point.

US "healthcare" is something like 20% of GDP. It could be slashed to maybe 4-5% just by enforcing existing laws, but then you'd see an economic depression as 15% of GDP disappeared overnight and the politicians who did it would never get re-elected.

The cancer has simply grown too big to solve in a democracy and will continue expanding until the economy collapses because no-one is willing to lose the votes that fixing it would cost them.

Comment Re:LLMs = human extinction? (Score 1) 65

So it's interesting that the summary mentions Geoffrey Hinton, with his 10% or 20% estimate of AI ending the world. In the consensus of the ML community 10 years ago, neural nets had less than a 10% probability of becoming as artificially intelligent as they are right now. Making a useful estimation of risk is impossible when probability is near 0 and consequence is near infinity.

Comment Re:Solar fricken roadways all over again (Score 1) 112

It's a trade off: you get abundant free energy to run the server, with extreme constraints on cooling because your server is running in the most perfect Thermos bottle ever.

Others are taking the opposite tack: undersea data centers for abundant free cooling at the expense of having to get the power down to your servers.

If had to bet on which one is more practial, I'd go with undersea servers. Build them off the coast of Chile, run cables out from batery-backed solar plants in the Atacama desert.

Comment Re:Solar fricken roadways all over again (Score 1) 112

The cost ends up being similar assuming mass production of satellites and realistic future launch costs, and you can "just do it" rather than have to waste years fighting through bureaucracy to build them on Earth.

Just as regulation pushed chip manufacturing out of the US, it's now pushing "AI" data centres out. I'm not saying that's a good or bad thing, but it's clearly a thing.

Comment Re:The death of homework (Score 1) 104

AI is too easy to use, when the work is done at home. And I say, good riddance. Homework has for decades been a substitute for learning. AP classes aren't actually "advanced" they just require more homework. If AI kills all those extra hours of busywork, that's a good thing.

The historically-bad results of the final at least suggest that doing out-of-class work themselves actually helps students.

Comment Re:American Open Weight Models (Score 1) 108

Wait, what? They're *making* money now? Last I heard they were still playing shell games with pretend money in a financial merry-go-round of pinky swear deals to make it seem like they are somehow not haemorrhaging quite so many hundreds of billions of dollars as they actually are to try and keep the VC funding flowing in.

The AI endgame, sure. That's totally going to be the kind of bait and switch that Google pulled when they transitioned from a search provider into an ad provider; get everyone hooked on your services, then monetise all the data you've captured and start cranking up the token fees until your customers (only they are actually more your "product" now) squeal, then turn it up some more while offering a rent-seeking subscription model that looks like a good deal until you realise (too late) what they've buried in the small print.

Drug pushers are probably looking at the tech industry in awe at this point.

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