Comment Re:Liar (Score 1) 170
Agreed, with caveats. I don't think that's always the case - I think there are times when he's selling a story that even he himself isn't convinced of, if he feels it's for "the greater good" (which, in his head, is always "whatever his goals are at the time"). But usually, I agree that he smokes his own supply. His general formula for success has been:
* Find some sci-fi thing that nerds really want to happen, that's technically possible but difficult and has seen little progress
* Sell a big story about how you're going to pull it off
* End up getting tons and tons of applications from said nerds with the engineering background needed. Get your pick of the best, who you can work hard in long hours and they won't complain because they want to be there.
* Also end up getting lots of investment from nerdy investors who also want to make said story happen. Get them to approve whatever you want/need to by convincing them that you're the only one who can make the story happen.
* Let your engineers do totally new stuff that can fail but will be very advantageous if it succeeds, so you can iterate faster. Burn money to buy speed.
* Either succeed or not, but you actually have a shot because of all of the talent and money you attract
* On the ones that you fail at, either push it off further into the future, or roll the failure up into some bigger venture and let it slowly fade out in the background. Your ability to keep doing this requires maintaining the image that whatever story you pronounce, you'll succeed at it eventually.
It's the sci-fi equivalent of "fake it until you make it". But it legitimately can work.