Eben Moglen on the Global Software Industry Post-GPL3 55
Dan Shearer writes "Three days before GPLv3 was released, Eben Moglen delivered the annual lecture of The Scottish Society of Computers and Law in Edinburgh, Scotland giving his thoughts on 'The Global Software Industry in Transformation: After GPLv3.' The text transcription, audio and 384kbit video are up at archive.org. Eben looks back at the 'legislative action' achieved by the GPLv3 community over the last 18 months, and also from the 22nd century. A riveting presentation for all present."
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On the the other hand, they may have given him a few hints.
Predicting the future (Score:5, Interesting)
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Nice words to read, but this could be entitled The Triumph of Optimism over Experience. My gut tells me that despite the underlying Star Trekish optimism in the evolution of our species, and despite our inherent ability to aspire to greater things, nationalism and petty
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It takes time. It takes resources. And it's not universal. But change does occur.
He is PREDICTING. It's what smart people do. (Score:5, Insightful)
You see... Pointing out bad things that intellegent people do does not make you yourself intellegent. Very stupid people can find flaws in other things very easily.
However what intellegent people can do is make predictions. That is take what they know, and what history has shown, combined with their own cognitive abilities to make interesting and insightfull comments about the FUTURE.
You see.. You don't need to be a Time Lord to know what is going to happen. You just have to be very smart.
This is how you know your ideas, beleifs, and assumptions are right and other people who disagree with you are wrong. If you can accurately predict the future then you are right.
And by being right and knowing what is going to happen next allows you to be _constructive_. If you can plan ahead and leverage what you know is going to happen. This allows to you change things for the better, or at least what is better for your own self interest. You can be successfull in business; Like Bill Gates did with Microsoft, for example. Or you can create fundamental changes on how society operates; Like how Richard Stallman did when he created the GPL, which created the legal framework that helped make Linux and the open source movement successfull.
This is in contrast to stupid people which generally just going around finding flaws in other people and other things, tearing things down. Then acting all scared at change and mystified about how things are not remaining the same.
You can go back to 1990's and such when things like GCC and Linux were just started.
It was very common for people to say stuff like:
"Nobody in their right minds would ever work on a FREE compiler. Sure it's a interesting toy, but GCC will never be able to replace "
"Ha! Linux in the enterprise? Sure it's a cheap OS for cheap hardware. But nobody in their right mind will ever use it. When people need to get REAL work done they will never give up their "
So what Eben Moglen is talking about is what is going to happen POST GPLv3 release. He is a very smart guy and is probably going to be mostly right.
The lesson to take home here is:
"One does not need to be from the future to know what is going to happen tomorrow with reasonable accuracy"
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MOD PARENT INSIGHTFUL (Score:1)
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Actually we seem to measure the intelligence based on the outcome of the predictions. Thosed that have guessed correctly are seen as visionaries while those who didn't are not. "Even a blind hog finds an acorn now and then."
While meteorlogists, stock analyst, economists, and etc. are us
Well said. I'd only add one more thing (Score:2)
Your entire post was very well said. Thank you for those insightful and well spoken words. A pity you are anonymous, as you deserve credit for them. But that does show the power of allowing people to choose anonymity when they so want it. Thank you Slashdot, for allowing anonymous postings.
I'd only add my favorite quote, from the well known Peter Drucker, which h
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Take a look at the stupid things that smart successful people have predicted and you'll see "smart" people can be terrible at predicting the future. Why?
1) There may be important things the person has overlooked or is unaware of. Technologies, politics etc. This is more likely if the "smart" person is commenting on something outside their own expertise.
2) Rare events can and do happen, albeit by definition less frequently than common ones.
3) "Smart" people are often surprised
Why Streaming (Score:2)
Here are the video files (Score:4, Informative)
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Don't forget the 365 MB MPEG 1 version [archive.org], which is the only patent unencumbered file other than text. Sad how the formats that save 2/3 of the bandwith are owned.
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Finished, gosh (Score:2)
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I'm sorry, but is irony somehow missing on Slashdot?
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Your comment has missed the point of not only Eben Moglen's speech, but the GPL and the entire free software movement.
Sounds like the GPL is moving away from a distributor and developer license and closer to an EULA.
A point he made very early on - which I really liked by the way because I haven't heard it explained like this before - is that the GPL is *not* a EULA. EULAs add additional terms on top of normal copyright. The GPL takes copyright and subtracts terms from it. The GPL does not add any restrictions on top of what normal unlicensed copyright offers. If you violate or disagree to
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Sounds to me like we have a couple of dueling ideologues here. If you're trying to point out why GPLv3 is inferior to GPLv2, as opposed, say, to why you think that, no wonder there's problems.
And h
good quote :) (Score:2, Funny)
"i don't think anyone actually thought there was any point in offering stallman money"
Shocking! He is 'The architect' in the matrix (Score:3)
He is honest to god harder to understand than 'The architect' character in the matrix.
It's not that he's trying to be precise, he is a lot more formal than precise. Why is it so hard to follow?
I'm completely familiar with the words he uses, however the way he throws them together into a monotone slush is almost like purpose obfuscation at times.
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I had no problem understanding him at all. He does construct some complex sentences, but it's probably worth you while to learn to understand that style of speaking - it's reasonably common when talking about non-trivial topics.
I find him quite eloquent (Score:3, Interesting)
Actually, I find him wonderfully eloquent and inspiring. Lawrence Lessig calls him "the truly inspired rhetorician of our age [lessig.org]". Here's one passage that struck me:
What a put-down. The slight complexity of the last two phrases ("happened to happen" and "we will s
Re: I find him quite eloquent (Score:1)
He doesn't seem to be reading from a script or even prompt cards. To talk through a subject so comprehensively without going off track and having to stumble and back track is excellent. No presentation either, which so many people rely on.
Very cool.
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He also handed M$ their arse, which is a good thing.
honeycombing copyright law (Score:2)
"..the tendancy of the market, if left free to itself, to extirpate ignorance and cultural deprivation."
"like all other monopolies, they obeyed the laws of the free market, they produced lousy goods at very high prices and they stifled innovation"
- Eben Moglen
Listening to Eben Moglen (Score:2)
Funny how sure he is that MS (or "The Monopoly") will be beaten by this community. I believe him