... I of course mean other citations than that quasi-fraudulent British lawsuit that started this nonsense myth back in the early 90ies or so.

Yes, exactly.

If you want to automate something the automation has to not only be faster per unit task or output, but it also has to make up for the extra time of checking or re-doing something when the automated way failed. To do that, you usually need to constrain the parts of a problem where the automated approach will succeed nearly always and where failures can be identified and mitigated quickly. That requires building a bunch of process oversight stuff, which in turn requires a big investment in instrumenting the current and future process to identify the exceptions and handle them correctly before failures move downstream and become much hard to address.
Additionally, work outputs that have a lot of unpredictability, or require persuasion or consensus (such as defining what problem to solve), or situations where there's no pre-defined correct future state, only a series of choices and murky outcomes, are just hard to automate period.

LLMs not only have regular failures, they have highly unpredictable failures. Yet they're being sold as though than can automate anything.

The reason the "agentic OS" stuff is will fail is the same reason that we didn't automate away our daily work using VBScript - the automation will be clunkier and more annoying than just doing the steps on our own.

Then at least you have someone to blame.

Fortunately there is a formal system for youtube to indicate exactly how public/private something is. We need not speculate. 200 and 401 are as different as .. two different numbers.

... with a metric ton of salt, but on the demographics of China and their impact he seems spot on. And let's be honest, there's not that much you can get wrong here. It's quite simple math.

... within this decade. And he's been doing that for a while. And his reasoning sounds plausible.

this is basically the political debate of communism vs federal republics haha

The blender crew effing rocks, that's for sure. I sure hope Ton Roosendahl is enjoying his (part-time?) retirement!

I'm listed as a donator because I'm actually one of those rare few who bought a commercial license back when Blender still was closed source and was being sold as a commercial product by NaN. They went commercial for a year or so after blender was available as freeware. I paid 250 Euros and still have the color-printed receipt. I might frame it and hang it on the wall some day. :-)

No kidding. I don't know if you've ever tried using Explorer to search files in a directory for a filename, but it's unusable.

Everything from Void Tools does it in milliseconds. It does exactly what you'd expect - builds a list of filenames and searches them.

AFAICT there is nothing you can do in Explorer to make it only search the filenames - apparently it's necessary to search the web, the registry and everything else to find files by filename.
Can't wait for the agentic AI solution to ask Copilot what to do as well...

The infrastructure required to perpetually get decent to good quality petrol to where it's needed is insane. For electric you just need a battery, some solar cells and you're good to go. Petrol throughout south America is notoriously bad, often mixed with (bad) (m)ethanol and often a gable to fill in your tank. Its not uncommon for adventure bike riders to bring an extra spare piston and cylinder along in case you frag yours beyond repair and need to replace it somewhere in the ass-end of Patagonia.

That doorstep countries around the world are moving to solar and electric vehicles faster than developed countries makes perfect sense.

This is a detail many PC fanbois tend to overlook. And it's the reason consoles are so successful.

Point in case: I ditched hardcore PC gaming 25 years ago because it was becoming ridiculous with the constant hardware upgrades, fiddling with drivers and the mess that is M$ W1ndows. And I at one time had the most performant gaming PC available that costed roughly 5000$. I'm a computer expert but when even AMD went from one socket type to something like 5 different (Intel was already at roughly 10 different socket types back then) I got tired of keeping track, said f*ck it and left PC gaming alltogether. I just stopped the hardware upgrades, installed Linux for programming and the occasional Linux-native Unreal Tournament and Tribes 2 session and left it at that. This was in the late 90ies. I don't have the kind of space, time and attention anymore that PC gaming needs.

Roughly 15 years later I had some cash left and was curious about the new games such as the Deus Ex reboot and some discounted FarCry title and got an XBox 360, the last iteration just at the end of that generation that could run on a regular monitor without hassle. With all kinks fixed and a large cheap library of budget-priced games as GOTY premium editions and an affordable box that I knew would run those games with zero config fuss I was all set.

I've been with XBox ever since, always lagging 1-2 generations for price and stability reasons. I'm still using a Xbox One X as my main gaming rigg and it's totally fine. Yeah, I do miss mouse and keyboard occasionally, but I also enjoy being prolific with the controller by now and just leaning back on the sofa doing Open World Looter-Shooters, (A)RPGs or the occasional Spaceflight game. Every once in a while I ponder getting back into PC gaming but when I l then look at the prices, the science involded and remember the hassle of dealing with shitty operating systems, drivers, flaky software, etc. I quickly drop that notion again.

I might look into that new Steam Box thing, but I still have 82 games for XBox One alone, not counting my 360 titles. Most of these games I haven't played yet, so I'm not too much in a hurry. I also love the fact that the XBox is backwards compatible, which is a huge plus, Kudos to M$ for doing this. M$ W1ndows sucks, but with XBox they're still the global underdog and behave accordingly. And have me, a prime-time Linux user for 25+ years, as a paying customer, believe it or not.

People do stuff. WTF, are we supposed to have a world-wide committee meeting every time some hacker starts a random project?

Sam Altman can have his own "AI," with blackjack and hookers. If you don't want yours to have that, then write it differently. If his project is affecting yours, it's because he's on the sharp end, running into scaling issues and regulators first. Let him bear the brunt of that, so you don't have to.

The only thing that can really go wrong, is if he uses his financial influence to get a government-granted monopoly. (And you'll have my support in opposing that.) Until then, though, how much is he shaping things? You can do something other than what he is doing right now. He isn't in charge of your project, is he?

I think pupils should learn to hand-write. It's a useful skill to have. What I think should be done away with is torturing children with dictations and other non-sense that are basically speed-writing contests _without_ teaching them to type and giving them the option to chose typing over hand-writing.

Indeed, as long as a human bears the end responsibility there is no problem.