PS. assuming the Trump effect won't kick in for the US over 2025.
The second derivative on emissions has been negative for a while.
China had massive surpluses of PV to get rid off internally, I could see that compensating for India in 2025 and everyone else relevant is flat or declining.
Just because they need the fossil plants for 100% uptime doesn't tell you how often they run.
Even France, which never had a problem with nuclear, basically stopped building them in the 1990ies, and the only new plant coming online since then is the Flamanville EPR. It was always easy for electrical companies to stop nuclear projects and blame the Left and regulations, when in fact, the projects simply became too expensive compared to the alternatives. It's similar to the turbine car from Chrysler, where environmental regulation were cited why it stopped, when in fact, turbines still suck in partial-load situations, which is what most cars are in most of the time.
I don't think nuclear will have a great future. It might exist for some niche applications, but in most cases, it's just fricking expensive.
Maybe it's not the CO2, but the methane from cow belches. Methane is a more potent greenhouse gas than CO2, although it breaks down more rapidly in the atmosphere.
While Methane is a more powerful greenhouse gas, it is also one which gets removed rather quickly from the atmosphere, because it gets destroyed by the sunlight and turned into water and Carbon dioxide. Carbon dioxide on the other hand is stable, and if not actively extracted from the atmosphere, will stay there indefinitely for billions of years.
Ultimately net zero is a political decision, so a prediction of the trajectory has to predict politics
Calcium silicate can make concrete. Hydrogen for ammonia and (e-)fuel can come from electrolysis and thus nuclear or renewable electricity.
Switching to non emitting processes, while letting emitting processes die a natural death, is far cheaper than sequestration.
Someone should start a website allowing car buyers the option to be pre-warned about the level of exploitation they'll experience for each make and model of car.
Mozilla did this....and unfortunately, it's worse than useless.
Strictly speaking, Toyota's privacy policy is pretty liberal in terms of what is involved, and has been for years...and that's what their rating is based on. And, credit to Toyota, their "we can do whatever we want and you can't sue us" policy goes pretty far back, so Mozilla ranked my 1999 Camry as pretty not-privacy-centric. That's useless, because it got the same ranking as a 2024 Tesla Model S.
Now, regardless of what the paperwork says, the practical difference between the two could not be more different. The 1999 Camry had an ODB2 port, which meant it *did* do some tracking...but it kept it on the computer, and Toyota only got their hands on it if I brought it to their shop and they dumped the memory. A 2024 Tesla sends audio and video data, driving data, mapping data, and remote lock/unlock/disable commends to Tesla, in real-time.
Any list that puts these two things on the same level is worse than useless. 1999 Toyota's data is as opt-in as data sharing could possibly be. Tesla's data sharing requires lots of skill to implement, and functionality tradeoffs as a consequence. The paperwork may reflect that Toyota can share their data dumps if they get them, but Tesla's data collection is not just a default, it's a warranty-voiding engineering problem.
So, yes, I would *love* such a list...but when the privacy advocates are as useless as the privacy violators, the only list that *might* make some traction is an ad-hoc, opt-in list that either manufacturers or users create for vehicles where the owners enumerate the intrusiveness.
One of my tenants gave notice on the house he was renting from me because he was fired from his job the day after the Brexit vote.
Brain fried -- Core dumped