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Comment It could be worth it (Score 1) 3

If they end up somehow building strong AI, then the investment will pay off in huge multiples and will absolutely be worth it.

If they don't manage to create strong AI, but manage to create a better search engine that somehow replaces Google, then it will be worth the investment (for comparison, Google profit is on the order of $100 billion per year).

There are a lot of other potential products that could bring heavy revenue, even without strong AI. AirBnB has $2billion a year in net profit, which isn't great but it's conceivable that even with the current crappy AI product, OpenAI could make a reasonable amount of revenue. With billions of potential customers, they don't need to make a lot of money off each person.
User Journal

Journal Journal: Audio processing and implications

Just as a thought experiment, I wondered just how sophisticated a sound engineering system someone like Delia Derbyshire could have had in 1964, and so set out to design one using nothing but the materials, components, and knowledge available at the time. In terms of sound quality, you could have matched anything produced in the early-to-mid 1980s. In terms of processing sophistication, you could have matched anything produced in the early 2000s. (What I came up with would take a large comple

Comment Re:Don't blame the pilot prematurely (Score 1) 15

It's far from indisputable. Indeed, it's hotly disputed within the aviation industry. That does NOT mean that it was a short-circuit (although that is a theory that is under investigation), it merely means that "indisputable" is not the correct term to use here. You can argue probabilities or reasonableness, but you CANNOT argue "indisputable" when specialists in the field in question say that it is, in fact, disputed.

If you were to argue that the most probable cause was manual, then I think I could accept that. If you were to argue that Occam's Razor required that this be considered H0 and therefore a theory that must be falsified before others are considered, I'd not be quite so comfortable but would accept that you've got to have some sort of rigorous methodology and that's probably the sensible one.

But "indisputable"? No, we are not at that stage yet. We might reach that stage, but we're not there yet.

Comment Re:Often Excel _is_ the right tool for the job. (Score 1) 80

Are the latest versions of Excel tracking to 42 decimal places and offering rounding accuracy that makes GPS timing look like a 19th Century pocket watch, or am I missing something as to how certain flavors (rhymes with sex sell) of inaccuracy are perfectly acceptable in business?

The problem here is geekmux, not Excel. I've never heard of somebody saying a spreadsheet does, or should, "track[] to 42 decimal places". I don't even know what you meant by "rounding accuracy that makes GPS timing look like a 19th Century pocket watch" -- I can tell you what kinds of errors exist for different GNSS satellite and receiver clocks, but rounding errors are dwarfed by others.

If you have some technical complaint, be specific about it rather than trying to be cute, because you run a risk of making yourself look stupid rather than clever. There are some well-known problems with Excel's default behavior, like how it aggressively treats text as dates -- but a lot of spreadsheet errors and loss of precision are purely user errors.

Just to clarify:

..as some spreadsheets involve 20 million cells..

Defending that stupidity is more a you problem. And if you want to know my “technical” complaint, somewhere behind a 20-million cell spreadsheet is someone actually trying to excuse broken default behavior in Excel under the guise of user error. When errors are not the fault of the user, what then is the always-acceptable excuse for the financial messiah?

Part of the acceptable inaccuracy I speak of is the absolute blind adulation for Excel in business. If that program was found to be broken severely and proven quite inaccurate in a future update, no business would ban the use of Excel. Not one. They all sit around waiting for a fix to their fix.

Blind adulation, is blind for obvious reasons. None of which are good.

Comment Re:Blast off to Mars in 2026? What are they smokin (Score 1) 14

To get people to Mars will likely require use of nuclear power. If nuclear power works to keep people alive on Mars then it can work to keep people alive on Earth. If we can pick up a few tricks on minimizing risks from radiation from nature then that just makes nuclear power an even better option.

Uh, that’s a nuclear reactor on a planet that has no protective atmosphere. When you say “minimizing risks”, just be prepared for a lot of laughter from an audience who likely knows better. The idea of any of that being anything but high risk, is a joke.

We will grasp this concept well when the first Martian meteor shower shows the human race the value of atmospheres.

Comment Re:Blaming a single cause (Score 2) 38

Here is how the researchers themselves say it:

We contend that reduced water availability, accompanied by substantially drier conditions, may have led to population dispersal from major Harappan centers, while acknowledging that societal transformation was shaped by a complex interplay of climatic, social, and economic pressures.

Don't conflate the arrogant headline with knowledgeable researchers.

Comment Re:Well, if you own it. (Score 3, Insightful) 28

“serious administrative shortcomings [that] threaten the continuity and safeguarding of crucial technological knowledge and capacity on Dutch and European soil,” the government said, with "fears of tech leakage, meaning property and know-how are transferred to China.'

https://www.politico.eu/articl...

I don't know enough about Dutch law to say much more than that, but I'm sure they had lawyers work it out.

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