Want to read Slashdot from your mobile device? Point it at m.slashdot.org and keep reading!

 



Forgot your password?
typodupeerror
×
United States The Almighty Buck

US Pennies To Be Worth Five Cents? 729

Z-MaxX writes to point out Reuters coverage following up on last month's news that the US Mint has made it illegal to melt or export US coins in bulk, since the value of their constituent metals — in the case of pennies and nickels — now exceeds their face value. The new story quotes Francois Velde, senior economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, who thinks the new rules will not be enough — he believes that determined speculators are already piling up pennies. Velde suggests "rebasing" the penny to be worth five cents. Quoting Velde: "These factors suggest that, sooner or later, the penny will join the farthing (one-quarter of a penny) and the hapenny (one-half of a penny) in coin museums."
This discussion has been archived. No new comments can be posted.

US Pennies To Be Worth Five Cents?

Comments Filter:
  • by siliconwafer ( 446697 ) on Friday January 26, 2007 @09:26AM (#17767220)
    Does this mean if I buy something priced at $1.96, I have to pay $2.00 because I won't be able to make exactly $1.96?
  • Why (Score:3, Insightful)

    by delt0r ( 999393 ) on Friday January 26, 2007 @09:27AM (#17767230)
    didn't they start taking them out of circulation when there value was getting close to the cost of the raw materials, rather than waiting untill after the fact?
  • Melt em! (Score:5, Insightful)

    by FireBug ( 83228 ) on Friday January 26, 2007 @09:28AM (#17767236) Homepage
    Just stop making pennies and let the public melt them down - that way the Mint won't have to deal with disposing of them and they'll be put to some better use (recycle! or something) ... but that's just my 10 cents
  • Inflation! (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Anonymous Coward on Friday January 26, 2007 @09:29AM (#17767254)
    Weird how you focus on this topsy-turvy.

    The U.S. is suffering inflation. It's not that the cost of metal is increasing, it's that the value of your currency is falling. Fast.

    This week it very, very, nearly reached £1 = $2 for the first time in my lifetime.

    You REALLY NEED TO WORRY ABOUT THIS INFLATION, not the value of the metal in your coins.
  • by Anonymous Coward on Friday January 26, 2007 @09:34AM (#17767318)
    A proper libertarian government would immediatley enact strong legislation to safeguard the free passage of coins abroad.

    Only because the only way libertarians can think of to stop inflation is to destroy the currency. Seriously people, the vast majority of today's inflation is based strictly on the interest rates charged for everything, the rest is simply competition. That nice house you want in the nice neighborhood you want to live in next to the school you want your kids to go to is not too expensive because of inflation, it's expensive because everyone wants to live there, and nobody wants to produce more housing because the housing megacorps stand to make more money from forcing everyone to compete for the nice house than by spending the money to build enough nice houses to go around. The hamburger you bought is not expensive because of inflation, it's expensive because everyone in your neighborhood is mortgaged to the hilt with 20% interest piling up on them just to afford that nice house, and those people won't take a minimum wage job. Then there's the companies gaming people's irrationality (expensive = better), and I still haven't even gotten to people caring how much money some bank somewhere has when thinking about how much to sell things for.
  • by Vengeance ( 46019 ) on Friday January 26, 2007 @09:51AM (#17767506)
    What ARE you talking about?

    Housing is expensive because of supply and demand, not because of a lack of new construction. Indeed, there's far TOO much new construction around here, and I live in one of the more expensive counties in the nation. Every little scrap of open land is developed. You even SAID it yourself "it's expensive because everyone wants to live there". You just needed to stop right then and there, because the next step you took was illogical and wrong. These so-called 'housing megacorps' are hurting right now because people aren't ordering nearly as many NEW houses these days.

    As for your interest rate argument, welcome to 1978! Twenty percent? What? My mortgage is under six percent, and I believe that current rates are only slightly higher, although I haven't checked in a while.

    And besides, 'inflation' isn't some phenomenon that makes prices get higher. Inflation is just what we call it when they do so....
  • by KKlaus ( 1012919 ) on Friday January 26, 2007 @09:55AM (#17767558)
    Reevaluating existing currency? Maybe if we were as desperate as the Germans in the 20's, but at least they evalutated down. I mean hell, why don't we just reevalute 1's to be 5's, 5's to be tens, and on down the line with bills too. Look how much wealthier everyone is! An instant boost to the economy as they go shopping with their new found cash! Or maybe not.

    A defense could be made that there isn't enough money in penny form to matter, but it would still be an ugly, embarrassing solution, that might even have an impact on the security of the dollar. Much better solutions would be phasing out pennies, or changing their material so they are no longer overvalued. That wouldn't stop a period of melting, but then at least the problem would be over with. Making pennies worth more to prevent people melting them down is like mailing a stereo to someone before they steal yours. It's not really solving the right problem.
  • by fossa ( 212602 ) <pat7@gmx. n e t> on Friday January 26, 2007 @09:55AM (#17767562) Journal

    Oh the humanity! There was a time, as the summary implies, when one could pay with half-pennies and quarter-pennies (in Britain at least). A loaf of bread cost a dime at some point in the past. Below twenty cents (dime + 100%), there are only twenty possible prices, thus the price of some loaves was probably a little higher than it should have been. Today a loaf is around $2. There are 200 different prices between $3 and $1 ($2 +/- 100%). Do we really need this fine grained pricing? Why didn't we need it in the past? Axeing the penny gives you about 40 different prices in that range. If the penny is more trouble than it's worth, let's ditch it. Keep in mind that prices are already rounded to the nearest cent, so you're already paying tenths of a penny more or a less. Also keep in mind that price is determined by what people are willing to pay. I understand Austrailia has done away with the penny, final price is rounded up or down at checkout, and the economy has not collapsed.

  • by ortholattice ( 175065 ) on Friday January 26, 2007 @10:02AM (#17767664)

    No, ideally in that case you would pay 1.95, if the item came out to be 1.98 then you would pay 2.00. At the end of the day or month or year you should be even or close to it.
    I would venture that the 1.98 item would also be adjusted to 1.95, due to the psychological price point of "under $2" that induces more sucke^H^H^H^H^H people to buy.

    Or, if it's going to be 2.00, might as well make it 2.95. That's what will really happen, probably.

  • by Anonymous Coward on Friday January 26, 2007 @10:06AM (#17767696)
    In the last 70 years or so the value of US currency has dropped 15 fold. This means that a quarter today is worth less than two pennies in the 1930s. The only reasonable thing to do in this case is to retire the penny and the nickel since they are almost worthless. Keeping them around is just wasting the time of a lot of people.

    In my opinion the US should retire the penny, the nickel, the dime, and the half-dollar coin while at the same time replacing the $1 and $5 bills only with coins (7 and 33 cents value equivalent for the 1930s). This will result in just 3 coins and only 2 bills that would commonly be used (the $10 and the $20 bills). Alternatively we could simply just drop off the hundredths place and retire the penny, the nickel, and the quarter while reducing the half-dollar to a reasonable size to carry around (and still retiring the dollar and five dollar bills). This would result in 4 coins. Either way is certainly better than our current system of 6 coins in which 2 are worthless and having two bills that should be coins.
  • Re:Inflation! (Score:4, Insightful)

    by slughead ( 592713 ) on Friday January 26, 2007 @10:11AM (#17767766) Homepage Journal
    The U.S. is suffering inflation. It's not that the cost of metal is increasing

    Actually, it's both.

    There's a higher demand for copper nowadays and supply is remaining constant.

    All the metals are in higher demand because of little things like oh, I donno, China?

    I agree, inflation's a huge problem (and getting worse), but it's not solely responsible for this.
  • by Aladrin ( 926209 ) on Friday January 26, 2007 @10:15AM (#17767840)
    I'm definitely for dropping the penny. I'm not sure about the nickel... That's a bit much, I think.

    As for the dollars becoming coins... I can agree with $1 bills being coins, but I think $5 is too much. I can't say 'Oh well, I lost $5. I won't even bother to look for it.' A $1... I'd still look for it, but I wouldn't be heartbroken if it disappeared. That's what happens to coins. They get dropped. Bills don't get dropped because they are easy to put in a wallet. (If you suggest a coin wallet, I'll slap you. That'd be huge with the number of $1s I carry for the vending machine.)

    Pennies, I never look for it they drop. Dimes I usually look for.
  • by numbski ( 515011 ) * <[numbski] [at] [hksilver.net]> on Friday January 26, 2007 @10:30AM (#17768058) Homepage Journal
    You stopped short of the "bitter reality". Not everyone here has studied economics, so you're going to have to spell it out for them:

    When inflation hits a certain point, your currency becomes worth next to nothing, salaries fail to keep up, mortgages are too high (those real estate deals people are so happy about making cash off of...), and we fall into a deep depression. Happened in the early 90's, happened when the tech bubble popped, and the parent is talking about us being on the verge of it happening again.

    It's a lousy hole to dig yourself out of, because it's a cycle that no one knows exactly how to break. It just seems to take time (and lots of it) for values to fight their way close enough back to equilibrium and life goes on.

    It makes me sick every time I see articles about people flipping real-estate. They HAVE to know properties are over-valued. They just have to. With each sale, the next owner expects the property to either keep its value or go up. When people are flipping properties so quickly, everything has a sale price higher than its actual value. Here in St. Louis, the impact of it has already started to take hold: no one is buying. The market will only bear so much insanity.

    As for the mints running money like mad, he's mostly right. For each dollar in circulation, the less each dollar is actually worth. The catch there is circulation. I know many older bills have been coming out of circulation, but I don't know at what rate, so I can't start jumping up and down at that point just yet, but he may very well be right. So we're over-valuing the land we live on, we over-value our money. We're in debt up to our eyeballs to other nations, and we're fighting a war with no clear-cut objective for victory or retreat. Without any bias toward or against our president, we are nearing par with Vietnam, the difference here I have to say is that our body count is not anywhere near the same (thank goodness!) and there is no draft.

    Those who study economics have to realize something here too: all of our really serious depressions in the past have been resolved by wars. War creates jobs. War stirs the economy, makes individuals wealthy. Morality aside, each time we've gotten into a bind, a war has bailed us out. This may very well be the first time that *while* at war, this is happening. A war won't bail us out this time (or at least, we'd all best pray it doesn't, because if it does, it means we as a country p*ssed off the rest of the world and they come here to set us straight).

    It really is sad to see. I bought my first home 3 years ago. I *thought* the value was a bit high, and managed to buy it just short of what it was appraised at, and was praying my wife and I didn't become too screwed by the real-estate market bombing. Here's to hoping. :\
  • by Rob the Bold ( 788862 ) on Friday January 26, 2007 @10:32AM (#17768076)

    You REALLY NEED TO WORRY ABOUT THIS INFLATION

    OK, OK, Jeez. I'm worried, OK? If I promise to worry, will you quit yelling at me?

    Actually, you're referring to the dollar/pound exchange rate, not necessarily inflation in the US. Since most goods and services purchased in the US are denominated in dollars, not pounds, the relative strength of the pound has little to do with prices in the US. In fact, consumer and manufacturer price inflation is pretty low.

    British products may be more expensive in America, but this only really affects the price of my cheesy comestibles. That's not trivial, but I can make do with less. In the meantime, you should take advantage of the situation and purchase cheaper US goods. I wish I could recommend a visit here to you, but ever since the "Department of Homeland Security" was created this country has had all the charm of a prison camp.

    Exchange rates are rather volatile. When I was visiting Canada on vacation in Fall 2000, the USD:CAD exchange was 0.65 USD per CAD. Canadians I talked to were concerned about two things: that their currency was going to become worthless and that it looked like a bloodthirsty Texas redneck might get elected US president. At least their currency rebounded.

  • by dunkelfalke ( 91624 ) on Friday January 26, 2007 @10:45AM (#17768260)
    other countries have changed bills quite a lot of times and it worked. the euro zone has switched to euro from 12 different currencies without any large problems.
    and the only people who should care about the looks of the money are collectors.

    your "major realities" are just showing laziness and unwilling to change, nothing more.
  • by Homr Zodyssey ( 905161 ) on Friday January 26, 2007 @10:49AM (#17768322) Journal
    Getting rid of $1 and $5 bills is madness! Think of how it would affect the adult entertainment industry! You can't stuff a $1 coin in a G-string.
  • two points (Score:5, Insightful)

    by circletimessquare ( 444983 ) <(circletimessquare) (at) (gmail.com)> on Friday January 26, 2007 @11:04AM (#17768594) Homepage Journal
    #1. your points about vending machines are completely valid. they are a major impediment to change. however, any currency change would be gradual and would be planned in tandem with vending machine manufacturers. it's not like someone is going to snap their fingers and suddenly one day we're all using plastic monopoly money. if given a 10 year window to change, simple retirement of vending machines as they wear out is enough. then the cost involved is minimal, as new vending machines have to be built anyways, only the redesign needs much effort

    and if you say any cost is unacceptable, then you really aren't in mental acceptance of the obvious shortcomings of current us currency. any minimal cost involved in a changeover will be greatly overshadowed by the cost gains due to currency with a superior design: efficiency, ease of use, etc. but that you don't seem to give much weight to these factors brings me to point

    #2.

    As a major force in the worldwide economy, the US would resist bills that look like play monopoly money. There is a certain elegance and history to the look of the bills, which was established centuries ago. The resistance to candy colored cash is in part to protect that heritage and image.
    this argument baffles me. that the us currency must always look the way it does is a sort of mindset i can't comprehend. why is this so important to you? doesn't functionality and intelligent design trump sentimentality and nostalgia? it doesn't even make sense from a point of view of a traditionalist: look at how different us currency is from the 1800s. what did you say?: "There is a certain elegance and history to the look of the bills, which was established centuries ago." excuse me, what are you smoking? centuries ago? you need to familiarize yourself with the history of american currency to a level that a casual elementary school coin collector already grasps

    you could be saying that the us needs to be conservative about its currency since its so important to the world economy. well that's completely wrong. #1: the euro has only been around for a few years and is already supplanting the dollar as the de facto currency for reserves/ exchange on the international market. so much for the value of tradition. and #2: counterfeiting, especially the extremely good north korean kind is an argument for a radical redesign in the interest of preserving the hegemony of the american dollar in international exchange. in other words, you have it completely backwards: international confidence in the dollar is served by radically changing its design, and is undermined by allowing it to stay the same, in its easily counterfeited form (for the excellent north korean forgers). recent changes to the $50, $20, and $10 in fact is exactly because of this kind of counterfeiting. too bad the us mint only considered counterfeiting, and not ease of use, in their recent redesigns (and so much for your vending machines can never change argument too right?)

    i really don't understand sentimentality and nostalgia as the prime motivating factor when it comes to currency. frankly, who the f*** cares what the currency looks like? usability, a concept a website populated with techies should easily grasp, trumps all. or at least this concept should trump all, but it obviously doesn't with you. the concept that seems to trump all in your mind is inertia. i frankly don't understand how your thinking on the subject has any value. sentimentality and nostalgia are completely useless subjects on the topic
  • by Control Group ( 105494 ) * on Friday January 26, 2007 @11:09AM (#17768690) Homepage
    I was going to lay down a thick bed of sarcasm here, but instead I'll just ask you to consider the surveillance, privacy, economic, and tax implications of replacing a fungible, untraceable medium of exchange (cash) with one that's inextricably linked to your identity, records every transaction as an inherent part of the transaction, and can be watched in real-time from anywhere on the planet.
  • the equating of the look and the feel of the american dollar and its "heft" is just a subconcious connection that depends upon factors going on in your emotions, not in any intrinsic value to the actual design or look or feel of the bill. pick up a roman coin and you will think "gee, nice old coin" and thats it. but a germanic tribesman from roman times though would pick up the same coin and fell the "heft" you are talking about, because he equates that coin with the dominant military and economic machine of his time in his mind. same with you

    you have no such equating going on in your mind about the roman coin. and that same germanic tribesman, upon seeing an american dollar, would not feel the "heft" you speak of either. he'd just think it was pretty paper, and probably wipe his ass with it. so the design of the dollar itself is not what gives you the feeling you get when you see it, it is your own mind. therefore, the design of the dollar can be changed, and 20-30 years from now, assuming the usa remains a strong country, a younger canadian tha yourself would feel the same "heft" you speak of, no matter what fruity colors a new radically different dollar would sport

    i remember picking up a nazi coin in a friend's collection of coins when i was a teenager, and the thing had menace. i thought it was evil. it definitely had "heft" in my mind. but in actuality, it was quite worn and light weight and cheap looking, since the nazis needed all of their valuable metals for their war efforts. in essence, there was nothing intrinsic about the design of the nazi coin that gave it the "heft" i felt... in fact, it was quite cheap in design. my feeling about it was all psychological, and it all went on in my mind, and that feeling depended completely upon factors that had nothing whatsoever to do witht he actual look and feel of the coin itself. same with your feelings and the american dollar

    in short, your canadian currency is superior to american currency. simply because its more usable than ours. and that concept completely trumps your weird psychological feeling of "heft" that you speak of
  • by Waffle Iron ( 339739 ) on Friday January 26, 2007 @11:31AM (#17769068)
    That may happen for a day or two. Then normal competition will set in, some rival vendors will set the price 5 cents lower to grab sales from would be "penny skimmers", and on average everything will even out to exactly the same price as today.
  • by Gonarat ( 177568 ) * on Friday January 26, 2007 @11:32AM (#17769082)

    Do what Canada did. Once the Loonie (One Dollar Coin) and Twonie (Two Dollar Coin) was in circulation, they stopped making the $1 and $2 bills (I'm not sure what the time frame between introduction of the coin and the end of bill production was since I'm a Yank). The bills in circulation were allowed to remain in circulation until they were pulled due to wear and tear (I believe the average life of a dollar bill is about 18 months -- I would guess that the Canadian dollar bill's life was about the same). Over time the $1 and $2 bills disappeared and the coins took their place.

    That is what we need to do in the U.S. if we want the dollar bill to go away. As long as there is a choice, we will continue to use the bill. Allowing the dollar bill to naturally disappear not only makes the transaction easier, but allows bills that are found later to still be used (I believe that the Canadian Dollar bill I have in my drawer is still legal tender).

    Pennies and nickels are different since they are metal and not paper. Dates would have to be set for banks to begin pulling them out of circulation since the life of a coin can be decades instead of months. I'd say pull them after a certain date, but keep the coin as legal tender so that coins can be redeemed as they are found.

  • by Mr. Underbridge ( 666784 ) on Friday January 26, 2007 @11:38AM (#17769174)

    Horseshit. Inflation has exactly one root cause - the use of fiat ("non-specie") currency.

    Horseshit. Gold has no more innate worth than any other currency. Not to mention that you can be proven wrong by example, namely that inflation was quite well known in economies in the past that HAD NO PAPER MONEY.

    Long-term, productivity increases force prices down, not up.

    That's quite correct, which is why you see inflation in recessions quite often.

    Why is it worth less? Because the man behind the curtain has printed a few trillion copies of the dollars in your pocket, and handed them out to his best friends, making yours worth less/worthless. Wasn't that nice of him?

    This is an incredibly simplistic view of things, and still doesn't go back far enough to the root problems of macroeconomics. The problem isn't some clown with a printing press (unless he's as dumb as Germany was between the wars; that's how they paid off their war debt and screwed their economy). The problem is that more money is coming out of banks and being spent than is being saved during an economic downturn, at the same time that fewer goods are being produced. This increases prices. Note that this effect would be the same regardless of whether the currency is digital, paper, gold, or cowrie shells. It doesn't matter a bit. This is something I'll never successfully pound through the heads of the gold nuts who have absolutely no grasp of economics.

    The dangers of fiat currency are legion and well-known of old; we were warned, well in advance, that the establishment of a fiat currency provides limitless, subtle, and inevitably abused powers to its wielders. We're still being warned, today. Few listen, even as the signs of such abuse are evident.

    This naive approach forgets that any currency, by definition, is NOT something of innate value. EVERY currency is a fiat currency. Go study the gold/silver fights in England of a few hundred years ago; that was the man foisting a gold standard on the populace to keep money at a denomination they couldn't afford, thereby disempowering the poor. Any currency can be wielded as a weapon by those in power. Also, if gold wasn't accepted as a type of currency, what the hell would you do with it? Make rings, for God's sake? That gold you're hoarding is only worth a damned thing if someone comes around and buys it from you. So it's still a fiat currency as much as anything else. Who says it's worth anything? Only those with a false sense of security who feel that a bit of metal will serve as their security blanket. And what happens if people decide they don't want it? It's not useful at all on its own outside of the semiconductor and jewelry industry. What do you do then?

    If the shit really hits the fan, the only worthwhile currency will be food, so I suggest you cash in your hoard of gold and invest in baked beans and twinkies, those things last forever.

  • by Anonymous Coward on Friday January 26, 2007 @11:50AM (#17769400)
    We have a free market economy. The government cannot dictate (although they can influence) the price of milk nor the value of a dollar.

    To make this work in a free-market, you would have to divide everyone's existing wealth by 10. Otherwise, those with cash-in-hand instantly become 10x richer.

    Good luck going door-to-door and collecting 90% of everyone's existing cash to keep everything balanced.

    The value of our dollar is determined by a global economy. How could we ensure that our foreign trading partners recognize the new values?

    How do you handle long-term contracts? Your $400 car payment just went up to effectively $4,000 a month.

  • by corbettw ( 214229 ) on Friday January 26, 2007 @12:18PM (#17769950) Journal
    There are two problems with that:

    1) "Hard currencies" and metal only have value because people agree on it beforehand. Gold has no intrinsic value assigned to it by the universe, only by human beings. So keeping your money on a gold standard is only marginally less absurd than our current system.
    2) Money is a reflection of wealth, and limiting the money supply limits wealth creation and distribution. There's a reason why there are more millionaires (and billionaires) in the US today than in the 19th century: there's more money available. With an effectively unlimited wealth base, it's easier for more people to become wealthy, not just the few misers who hoard all the gold.
  • by Control Group ( 105494 ) * on Friday January 26, 2007 @12:28PM (#17770114) Homepage
    Allow me to expand on my concerns:

    1) Now all people with whom I wish to conduct transactions need to be capable of accepting electronic money. I've bought several used cars in private sales from people who were unable to accept Visa. The possibility exists of introducing generally-available third parties who can mediate the transaction (as PayPal already does, obviously), but that introduces a new cost to the transaction that is not necessarily matched for either party: there's no benefit to me or the seller individually (though you could argue we derive an indirect benefit from the society-wide benefits).

    2) All those transactions are now taxed. While some would view this as a good thing, an awful lot of transactions are performed currently that are not taxed, and, in my view, should not be. For example, I helped a friend paint his house a couple years back, and he paid me $100 (plus beer and pizza). I felt no ethical or moral obligation to pay income tax on that money, much less the taxes involved in being a seller of a good or service.

    3) There are privacy concerns, as well. For example, who wants to tip a stripper with a credit card? How will she accept the money without disrupting the show? Even if the logistical hurdles are overcome, who wants that particular transaction recorded in a master government database? Or, more personally, who wants that transaction recorded in a place his wife can see it (as would be mandated under some states' financial regulations regarding marriage)? While you can make a case that these sorts of transactions shouldn't happen in the first place, I think such an argument ignores human nature - not to mention that even if true, since when is it government's job to curtail legal activities?

    4) Truly illicit transactions become impossible to conduct in money. This sounds like a good thing (who wants to make heroin easier to purchase?), but I don't believe it would be. The transactions would still occur (if waiving most of your Constitutional rights isn't enough of a disincentive, I sincerely doubt lack of cash would be), but now they'd be in some more chaotic barter system. I suspect this would lead to increased violence.

    4a) Moreover, the economic impact of that might be significant. How much construction, cleaning, and other menial labor is paid for under the table? I suspect rather a lot. I also recall finding out that the drug trade is Florida's second- or third-largest industry. Whether or not this is a good thing, suddenly taking that out of the economy would have potentially disastrous effects.

    The most important thing, here, is I don't think society as a whole will, in the foreseeable future, shift over to an entirely electronic monetary system. Even if the US government goes for it, I strongly suspect there would be sudden, widespread adoption of non-fiat fungible currency, á la the liberty dollar [libertydollar.org] for all the reasons I've already stated.

    Of course, it's entirely possible I've just proved your point: the government should get out of the business of selling currency, and shift to an entirely electronic system. Then let the free market decide what kind of currency it wants to use.

    Hrm.

  • by Control Group ( 105494 ) * on Friday January 26, 2007 @12:47PM (#17770478) Homepage
    1) "Hard currencies" and metal only have value because people agree on it beforehand. Gold has no intrinsic value assigned to it by the universe, only by human beings. So keeping your money on a gold standard is only marginally less absurd than our current system.
    2) Money is a reflection of wealth, and limiting the money supply limits wealth creation and distribution. There's a reason why there are more millionaires (and billionaires) in the US today than in the 19th century: there's more money available. With an effectively unlimited wealth base, it's easier for more people to become wealthy, not just the few misers who hoard all the gold


    1. While the human desire for gold is, from the point of view of the universe, just as absurd as the human desire for pieces of greenish paper, the key difference is that the supply of greenish paper is limited (effectively) by the issuing government, the supply of gold is limited by the planet, the laws of physics, and the relative scarcity of particle accelerators. This means that the value of gold is tied directly to how much people like gold. The value of greenish paper is tied to how much people like greenish paper, which is in turn tied to how much greenish paper the issuing government decides to produce.

    Of course, you already know this, as demonstrated by your second point, which I also disagree with:

    2. This depends on your definition of wealth. Real wealth is best described as utility: that is, how much stuff you have the power to obtain. That value of wealth does not have anything to do with the numbers used to describe it. For example, at any given instant, you can convert dollars into yen at a particular exchange rate with no loss of wealth (that is, after all, what the exchange rate means). A quick check of Yahoo! indicates it's currently trading at ~121 yen to the dollar. So, if a hundred millionaire switched all her money to yen, she would suddenly become a billionaire, without changing her wealth in the slightest.
  • by shayne321 ( 106803 ) on Friday January 26, 2007 @03:05PM (#17773084) Homepage Journal

    $1 coins would never work for them.

    Actually this can easily be worked around.. See my comment here [slashdot.org]

  • by Mr. Underbridge ( 666784 ) on Friday January 26, 2007 @03:25PM (#17773492)

    Your grasp of macroeconomics is remarkably weak. We live in a world where more goods are being made every day, as China and India rev up their production. Go to your local car dealer, and look at the inventory piled up on his lot. Yet we have inflation, which is actually far higher than the government's posted CPI. (Government and business love to keep the CPI low, as it lets them avoid cost-of-living-adjustments.) Why? Because there is too much money being created, thanks to the US deficits and the fractional banking system.

    Your statements contradict each other and fail to account for the fact that they take place at different timescales. We live in a world in which more goods are being made every *decade*. However, on a year to year basis, the GDP is quite capable of going down, which is a definition of recession/depression. If you're not aware of this,then you're not in a position to question anyone's understanding of macroeconomics. Second, while India and China do ramp up their production, that hardly helps our GDP, does it? Third, what the hell this has to do with money being created no one knows. If we were creating extra money, we wouldn't have the deficit but we would have more inflation. Instead, we have incredibly low inflation (check the numbers, it's below 4%), and a high deficit. So, through your line of reasoning using actual evidence that does exist, we should be printing more money. Fractional banking doesn't have that much to do with inflation, but if done wrong, results in banking disasters like teh S&L crisis in the 80s. This hasn't happened lately, so your evidence is woefully out of date.

    Look at Great Britain from the end of the Napoleonic wars to WWI - a span of roughly 100 years, during which Britain was on a bimetalic standard of gold and silver. It cost 2p to mail a letter when Victoria ascended to the throne; it cost 2p when she died 75 years later. That's price stability. I paid C$3,500 for a Honda Civic in 1975; 30 years later, when presumably it should have moved way down the cost curve, it costs $15,000 for a base model. That's monetary inflation

    Your examples are extremely weak, and the aggregate inflation in Britain over that period was not 0% regardless of what they chose to charge for a stamp. Your Civic example works out to under 5% inflation annually which is quite in the healthy range and fails to account for the fact that the 2005 model is a far better car than the 1975; the real rate of inflation on cars (assuming the same product in 1975 and 2005) is far less than 5% and quite likely would be negative if it were legal to sell a vintage 1975 car today. So again, your point is moot. There's no inflation there.

    As for why gold should be used, it has many unique qualities. First, it makes pretty, shiny things that ladies have liked for thousands of years. So ladies want it. Men have learned that if they give ladies pretty, shiny things, they can get sex. So men want it. Gold is not too abundant, so scarcity makes it desirable. Gold is perfectly fungible - one gram of gold in China is exactly the same as a gram of gold in Burkina Faso. (Diamonds, for example, are also pretty shiny things that ladies like, but they don't function well as a currency because clarity, colour, flaws, etc. mean your 1 carat gem might not be worth as much as my 1 carat stone.) Gold is easily divisible into smaller amounts to facilitate smaller transactions, while retaining its value. (Gemstones lose much of their worth as they become smaller; check out the difference between the cost of a 1 carat solitaire at your local jeweler, versus a ring with "1 carat total weight" of teeny tiny diamond chips.) Gold, unlike copper or silver, doesn't tarnish easily.

    Lame. The love of ladies for baubles is not enough to sustain a real economy in a time of crisis, which is the only time that any sort of paper economy would fail. If the revolution comes, metaphorically speaking, no one will care how much gold you have. Scarcity doesn't make a

  • Re:Inflation! (Score:3, Insightful)

    by Brickwall ( 985910 ) on Friday January 26, 2007 @03:26PM (#17773510)
    It amuses me whenever I hear that the CPI doesn't include "volatile" food and energy prices. I spend about 10% of my take home on gasoline, which, at C$0.75/litre while down from the $1.00 it was last year, is still up 25% from the $0.60 it was two years ago. Unfortunately, I don't have an alternative to switch to that doesn't include huge changeover costs (i.e. buying a new car with diesel/hybrid/whatever power).

    Similarly, thanks to our wonderful milk/eggs/what-have-you marketing boards, the 15% I spend on food buys increasingly less. The good news is I'm finally losing weight.

  • Re:Inflation! (Score:2, Insightful)

    by MacDork ( 560499 ) on Friday January 26, 2007 @03:35PM (#17773744) Journal

    The U.S. is suffering inflation. It's not that the cost of metal is increasing, it's that the value of your currency is falling. Fast.

    Damn it AC. You make a great point and then you go fuck it up by defining inflation based on an exchange rate! Inflation is being caused by the round-the-clock minting of new money. Simple supply and demand. I'd point you to the M3 report as evidence to that fact, but the US Government stopped printing it [capitalspectator.com] and *one* congressman gave a shit. I'll assure you, M3 is the only thing the Fed stopped printing. So stick that in your conspiracy theories and smoke it.

  • by Anonymous Coward on Friday January 26, 2007 @03:35PM (#17773752)

    Horseshit. Inflation has exactly one root cause - the use of fiat ("non-specie") currency.

    Horseshit. Gold has no more innate worth than any other currency. Not to mention that you can be proven wrong by example, namely that inflation was quite well known in economies in the past that HAD NO PAPER MONEY.
    Horseshit x 2. (Horseshit is good for growing mushrooms, though.) Gold has an intrinsic value: you can make things out of it. Paper that's already written on has no intrinsic value (or at least no practical value). Gold is pretty and shiny and females tend to be attracted to it. Paper... isn't.

    Inflation is simply an increase in the supply of currency. Gold-based currency isn't immune to inflation, this is true; when new gold is found, the supply of the currency is increased, therefore making all existing gold worth less than it was before. But compare the amount of known gold to that of newly-found gold; even the Gold Rush was a drop in the bucket compared to what was already in circulation.

    This naive approach forgets that any currency, by definition, is NOT something of innate value. EVERY currency is a fiat currency.
    Not exactly. Currency is a good, just like ham or bread, and value of a given good is relative to the value of another given good. We measure the value of bread in terms of the value of ham, and vice versa.

    It's true that in 100 years, gold may be worthless because either society has lost its attraction to it or we've figured a way to produce it in mass quantities with great efficiency. But the fact remains that the intrinsic value of gold today is exponentially higher than the intrinsic value of a piece of paper with a 10 stamped on it. And in a hundred years, when gold is "worthless", it will still be leagues more valuable than the piece of paper with a 10 stamped on it.

    Nothing is completely resilient in value to the forces of the market, but when you look at gold and its history, it's pretty damn stable.

    If the shit really hits the fan, the only worthwhile currency will be food, so I suggest you cash in your hoard of gold and invest in baked beans and twinkies, those things last forever.
    The best solution is to get rid of the Federal Reserve and let the market decide what is the best currency or currencies. This will naturally bring forth the currencies which the market deems a) most convenient, b) most stable, and c) most affordable.

It's a naive, domestic operating system without any breeding, but I think you'll be amused by its presumption.

Working...