Journal Captain Splendid's Journal: Laying out some markers 33
Set in stone:
-Clinton will be the Democratic nominee for President
-Biden will never enter the race for nomination
-Neither will Warren
-Trump will not secure the GOP nomination for President
Highly probable:
-Trump will not go third party*
-Warren as Dem VP pick
I got no fucking clue:
-GOP nominee for President
-Whether it goes to convention or not
Happy to eat crow if I'm wrong. Mainly putting this up as a sanity check for all the political media I have to consume daily.
*I got a bad feeling I'm wrong on this one, but human laziness is as powerful a force as vanity. Always bet the long game.
Maybe (Score:2)
I think Biden's ego puts his hoping into the ring into questionable territory.
I'd also say that while I can't see Trump getting the nomination, I do see his draw forcing the Republican nomination going to the convention.
If I had to pick the top 3 possible Republican nominee they would be Walker, Rubio and Bush. Maybe Kasich as a dark horse.
But the further right the Republicans have to turn to get the party nomination, the further they will have to walk it back to have a chance in the general election. Kind
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-Man, if it goes to convention, it's over. I kinda doubt it will go that far, but to see it happen in my lifetime would be something else.
-Walker is toast. I suppose this early in the process he can still turn it around, but there's literally 3 replacements lined up behind him.
-Rubio's pretty much in the same boat. The only reason he gets that slight bump is that he's still technically the establishment's second choice.
-K
Wrong on all counts (Score:1)
Warren/Sanders or Sanders/Warren
Trump/Rubio or Trump/Bush
Aliens invade Earth on Nov 6th
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That would be lovely.
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Aliens invade Earth on Nov 6th
That would be lovely.
No, not the sexy ones from BSG, the other ones.
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Of course aliens will invade, every time any country is invaded it's aliens. You can't invade your own country!
I was an alien once, but I didn't go to Thailand to invade it.
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As for water, that war was lost a long time ago for most regions, and even the ecosystems that are still highly viable face an uncertain future thanks to climate change.
Interesting (Score:2)
As for the GOP, my only invariant is #NoMasBush. If he thinks he can win the election on his own, let him.
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It's that kind of hackneyed thinking that's making you losers.
You do know spending the last few years having your words fawned over by your cultish imbeciles isn't doing you any favours in the analysis department, right?
Which reminds me: What does Stacy pay you with, peanuts or promises?
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hackneyed thinking that's making you losers.
Remains to be disproven, though.
Stacy pay
Oxymoron.
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No, y'all are just still in the denial stage. Remember the polls in 2012? The ones that were ignored so badly that Karl Motherfucking Rove, of all people, was shocked?
Actually, there's that really great Christian parable about the dumbass who refuses aid 3 times then asks God why he wasn't there for him. Have a re-read, see if it sparks anything.
Oxymoron
Oh dear. That means you're dumber than I thought. [thebaffler.com] Nothing better than free money after all.
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Shoulda read past the first paragraph. I hold no strong opinion on politicians' mendacity save that they have some.
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*cough*
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They held it, but lost eight seats. Not like the House has gotten much done under Boehner anyway.
And then two years later they got the senate too?
Yawn. Off year elections are almost useless for comparison to general election years.
There's a lot of morons out there.
Yup. Cuts both ways though.
Ted Cruz can still win.
As I've said before, show me an America that could elect a Canuck with a whiny voice and cultural tastes older than he is.
I'm still hoping the feminists get (Score:2)
The Year of the Woman: Clinton vs Fiorina. The lady who deals with opponents by murder and who has never successfully managed anything in her life vs the lady who deals with opponents by layoff and who has, despite appearances, saved three businesses that had previously been stuck in ruts of corporate culture.
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Yes, what's with all the random blue spam links attacking slashdot today?
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To whom would she lose to? Trump will flame out, no one, including himself it seems, wants Jeb anywhere near anything and Walker went from hero to zero faster than Perry did last cycle. The rest are a collection of clowns and one nobody, none of whom would be able to seal the deal 10 years ago, let alone today. Hilary might have problems, but losing the general election isn't one of them.
People forget that the polling difference between Obama and McCain was within the
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Not really. It's actually a fairly recent development that is still on the ascent. It seems reasonable to think it's going to get worse for a while yet before it gets better.
They'll do it grudgingly, but they'll do it.
Technically, yes, although lack of enthusiasm was certainly a factor in Romney's loss, and the trend is certainly borne out this cycle, what with Trump, Carson and Fiorina g
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The so-called 'liberals' are just too timid and submissive to get anything done, and they are too easily pacified by tokenism. It took a lot of republicans a long time ago to get the big civil rights we enjoy today. Today's crowd just blows with the wind. Leaders they are not. But it's all just philosophical masturbating anyway. Count deMonet.
Reasoning with democrat and republican voters is futile. As is frequently confirmed here. They have their story and they're sticking to it. Standard fanaticism is an i