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Comment Hit and miss (Score 1) 4

I've used it only occasionally on things I knew nothing about (new communication protocols or programming languages I don't know). The 1st two attempts were abject failures: I was trying to get it to write a GreaseMonkey script to modify specific webpages on the fly as I don't know JavaScript. It should have been no more than 2 lines of code (my estimate) but after 8 prompt attempts that were complete failures, it was generating over 100 lines of garbage.
The 2nd attempt was with a very obscure communication protocol, and poorly documented too. I was trying to get it to generate some Hello World and it never generated anything remotely close.
Recently I've used it on things that are more mainstream and it's okay to get started on new projects, to generate demo programs. But after that I do all the coding. I want the bugs to be mine.

Comment Re:Does this mean Sam Altman's going to prison? (Score 2, Informative) 32

[...] Do you want to have heart surgery performed by someone who didn't know their shit, and cheated on their exams? Do you want to drive over a bridge design by a guy who doesn't understand structural analysis, or be represented by someone who faked their way through law school? [...]

Indeed. It is a well known 'secret' that other student(s) took Trumps' finals in his place, paid for by his father. The world would be a much better place if this particular scam hadn't happened. Here on finals they check your identity papers (real ones, not an easily fakeable driver's license).

Comment Re: Cool Cool (Score 1) 82

Necessary? I thought we were talking about what was legal. My mistake.

Appropriateness of the response to the emergency is part of the legal considerations. Congress granted the power for a reason. Taking that and assuming it means arbitrary power is not operating within the law, not for Trump, not for Biden.

And you clearly misremember the legal posture of suspended payments and interest.

In what way? Please correct me.

Comment Re:The standard pro self-driving argument (Score 1) 57

If you want to make it a scientific number, you need to compare like against like. Same driving times, same driving conditions, same driving speeds, same roads (for example, Waymo avoids tricky intersections)

Bah. If a human driver increased their safety and reliability by avoiding certain situations, would you call them a worse driver for it?

Waymo would have to be transparent and open with their data.

They provide full access to the regulators, and they've allowed academic researchers full access. Putting it all online would be more transparent, but they're a business and they have up and coming competitors.

Comment Foundry business (Score 3, Interesting) 19

Not surprising. Tesla is its 5th generation (AI5) processor, currently manufactured by Samsung and TSMC. I suppose they imagine there are others that will want to use these for their own purposes. Musk is creating his own supply of chips for SpaceX at his TX Terafab. Having terrestrial customers to absorb some of the supply and provide revenue as that ramps up the obvious thing to do.

Comment Re: Cool Cool (Score 1) 82

Do you honestly believe that mass debt forgiveness -- after COVID was already over! -- was a necessary emergency response to the pandemic? Suspending payments (and interest) during the pandemic made perfect sense, and that was not struck down. I don't recall that it was even challenged.

No, the debt forgiveness clearly had nothing to do with the (already-ended) emergency, it was just an attempt to skirt the law, and the courts were quite correct to strike it down as executive overreach. If Biden wanted to do that, he should have lobbied Congress to change the law. He didn't do that, of course, because he knew Congress would refuse -- even though his party held both houses.

Comment Re:Cool Cool (Score 1) 82

Your comment mischaracterizes what has happened. The Supreme Court has absolutely bent over backwards to let Trump do what he wants in temporary rulings, including jumping in to to stay lower-court orders that no previous court would even have responded to. But their on-the-merits rulings, when they have to issue a full opinion, have been much less friendly to Trump. There have been some incredibly bad ones (e.g. immunity) but Trump has lost more than he has won in SCOTUS final judgements.

Comment Re:who will do hard time hitting a worker can be c (Score 1) 57

who will do hard time hitting a worker can be charged as a felony under the state’s “endangerment of a highway worker” or “aggravated endangerment of a highway worker”

You're treating the current law as a standard handed down from on high, incontrovertible and guaranteed-correct, which must be applied verbatim. And, indeed, laws must be applied as written... but that doesn't mean the laws are perfect forever. Laws are written within a context, and when the context changes, the laws have to change.

In a world where all cars are driven by humans, if you want to protect highway workers one way to do it is to attach serious prison time to killing one and to publicize that fact loudly so that all of the drivers know that they should be especially cautious around highway workers, even more than they would around other sorts of pedestrians (let's put aside the moral debate about whether we actually should protect highway workers more than other pedestrians).

In a world where some cars are driven by software systems, that strategy doesn't really work -- as your question correctly points out -- but the right conclusion isn't "Therefore self-driving cars shouldn't be allowed", or "Therefore we must identify some scapegoat human at the company to put in prison". The right conclusion is "Therefore we need a different kind of regulation to keep highway workers safe from self-driving cars". What should that be? I can think of lots of possibilities, both pro-active (e.g. require self-driving vehicles to demonstrate in rigorous testing that their vehicles stay far from highway workers, with whatever minimum distance you want to specify) and reactive (severe penalties, up to heavy fines and/or immediate loss of permission to operate). The point is that the law should choose an approach that works with the new context.

Comment Re:The standard pro self-driving argument (Score 2) 57

So, for example, if self-driving cars today drive 10% better than the average driver, this also means that they all drive worse than 40% of human drivers out there.

And? They still drive 10% better than the average driver. And I realize that number is just an example, not intended to be accurate, but I still feel like I should point out that, statistically, it's too low.

The fact that the self-driving cars will all concentrate their worst behaviors in the same regions of the space of all driving conditions doesn't change the fact that, on average, they're quite a bit safer than human drivers. This wouldn't be true if the roads somehow changed so that the problematic-for-self-driving scenarios predominated, but they don't.

I considers these vehicules, in their current state to be too dangerous to be on public roads.

So you consider most human drivers too dangerous to be on public roads.

But I'm sure the usual binary-thinking simpletons will simply put me in their little "against" box anyway

You're taking a binary position (too dangerous to be on public roads), so you should expect people to evaluate your position in a binary way. Your other position, trying to position Waymo safety within the wide continuum of driver safety, is more nuanced.

My position is that if they're statistically safer than average human drivers, which makes them far safer than the worst human drivers on the road, then replacing human-driven cars with self-driving cars makes the roads safer. This is straightforwardly obvious. It doesn't mean the companies shouldn't be held accountable for their failures, and certainly doesn't mean that we shouldn't expect them to to continue working on improvements.

Comment Might work on the easy problems (Score 1) 53

This might work when there is a simple, easy search that can verify a fact. But that's often not the case. In my experience most cases of hallucination are cases where the LLM needs a fact mid-response, and the fact check requires both a non-trivial query and complex evaluation of the response data, sometimes involving judgement calls. When that happens, the LLM just gets lazy and goes with its guess rather than doing the check.

I'm speaking in the context of advanced models, mind, not the kind of thing that was available in 2022, nor the kind of thing that is available in Google search's limited-capability model, or open source models. Those are far more prone to hallucination. I won't say that, say, Claude Opus never hallucinates, because it does... but the hallucinations are common only when the models is being pushed hard, operating near the limits of its capacity, which makes it prone to taking shortcuts.

Comment Stupid headline and stupid statistics (Score 5, Insightful) 17

36.1% pass would be worrying if this was a qualification test of things it needs to be able to do. It's not. This is a benchmark, and it SHOULD have a low pass rate. That's how you know if you're making improvements.

We could quite easily create a different benchmark where it passes 99.9%. That wouldn't mean the device being tested is good. It would just mean we have a useless benchmark.

I have no opinion on whether AI is good or bad for this use case. I just hate when statistics are used to mislead people.

Comment Re:Cool Cool (Score 2) 82

Trump could waive student debt and the republicans would stand up with tears in the eyes yelling bravo sir! Biden tried it and was immediately stopped by the courts.

Well, I think Trump would be immediately stopped by the courts, too. Probably faster than they stopped Biden, since they've very reasonably gotten intensely skeptical of almost everything this administration does.

Partisanship aside, presidents really should obey the law. If the law is bad, the solution is to change it, not to break it. Yes, that means we need a functioning Congress, something we haven't had for quite some time, but that's still no reason to break the law.

Comment Re: this sure reminds me of a time (Score 1) 69

I am late to the party and I was just going to read rather than comment, but your comment brought home the whole conversation here. Even when trashing people that have no respect for the truth or for you, it is of importance to you that the trashing is an accurate and fair comment. It so epitomises the difference we are talking about between people here. Sadly the Internet is not kind to people who enforce truth.

Indeed, truth and accuracy is important to me, and I think it should be important to everyone. It baffles me that so many people don't seem to care about whether what they believe or say is true. I recognize that those people who care are often in the minority, but that just makes it harder to understand, not easier.

Comment Re:this sure reminds me of a time (Score 1) 69

Had to look up his name to confirm this actually happened as I remembered it, but this reminds me of that time former Arizona Senator John Shadegg asked during a late 90s tour of a NOAA facility "Why do we need NOAA when I get my weather from the internet?"

Is that true? I can't find any reference to it, and it seems like the kind of thing that would be documented, if only to make fun of it.

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