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Comment On the bright side? (Score 1) 90

>On the bright side? Maybe watermarks can help AI stop training on AI-generated text.
 
You're living in 2023 if you think any company worth their salt is still scraping the live internet for quality content. Everyone has their own curated library already Nobody has been scraping en masse for at least two years, unless there's a blog article about bleeding edge science research or something. Even then they will probably just scrape the scientific paper itself, rather than coverage of it.

Comment Re: nothing's impossible (Score 1) 78

What's with the university qualifier?

I was taught to make fulminate of mercury in 8th grade PhySci class.

One of the standard things useful to know living on a farm. I suspect many of the things like that are looked down upon now.

Ever made your own gunpowder? Learned that from the boy scout that lived across the field behind the house. He got his merit badge, I had a shitload of fun.

Anarchist cookbook was okay, built in IQ detector and all, but it was just a primary level instruction manual.

With final exams.

That many failed.

Comment Re:Likely-erroneous assumptions (Score 1) 140

>the AI bubble is going to burst and
 
Kimi K3 docs and tooling, and weights, dropped this morning. Kimi is selling K3 tokens at $3/million tokens and if you're running it using GB300 gpu racks @ $6 million each... the math mostly checks out. Anthropic is selling what some people call roughly equivalent Fable tokens at $50/million each. I don't think AI is going anywhere, but valuation of companies like Anthropic, OpenAI in the $500b-$1T range isn't sustainable when "open" models sell tokens at a profit at $3/million tokens.
 
Open Weight models have been catching up to SOTA for a while but the lead OpenAI and Anthropic have, has been eroding quite rapidly and their ability to charge a premium for their product may not continue indefinitely at this point.
 
Again I'm not saying AI isn't useful, just that the bubble is largely based on valuation and Kimi K3 is.... well positioned to pop that bubble.

Comment Re: Because it's getting absorbed by our culture. (Score 1) 121

Retired two years ago.

I'm at 200+ fine fat trout for the year so far. (about par, actually). Only keep 12 inches or larger.

My roommate got a smoker last month. Very tasty trout indeed.

I'm not as well off as I would be if I had waited until 70 (65 now), but I have a lot of fun.

And I still do my own coding. For no other reason than it's got to be MY code if it's my project. I do it for fun now.

AI is a pain at all levels for me. I don't want answers that aren't as good as SO, and no explanation. Give me SO any day. I read 900 plus words a minute, I'm capable of doing my own summaries.

(Has anyone else had CF problems because they can read too fast to be human?)

So, in closing, I too am waiting to see the benefits of AI in my life

Comment Re: Well it was inevitable (Score 1) 162

we're about to buy a $2400 m4 pro mac mini to grind away at a useful but low-medium priority task in perpetuity using one of the qwen 3.6 models. The ROI vs haiku api cost is less than 5 months. SOTA models are cool but a quantized 30B class model can do most any batched work if structured carefully, and you have a fairly flexible failure budget

Comment Re:Component Price Bubble? (Score 1) 162

The big issue is GDDR6 memory which is pretty new and there's not a ton of capacity already, and it's all been bought out through the end of 2028. Plants take 3 years to come online and are expensive (Read: risky) to build if the demand falls off
 
I would love to be able to buy a 4TB GDDR7 machine and never have to use cloud services again, but it's not happening before 2035

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