Wait, 1 service down 1% chance, 4 down ...

Pretty sure the announcements for ChatGPT 3, 3.5, 4, 5 all "hinted at AGI".

I'll believe it when suddenly the power and memory costs fall by 1000x after that release.

(I do believe this is achievable)

... of these. Ethernet and wifi are terrible interconnects so perhaps they have developed a clever dispatch scheme below the headlines.

Too bad home power bills are up 70% in some locales.

Still, nVidia is smart to get that many people are rejecting enemy-hosted models.

"The best thing about AI is we've finally developed a capable predator for the Human Race". -- some techbro next year

Worse. It's like the HR lady who writes the telephone sanitization SOPs and has no background in microbiology, health or any relevant field. They're making it up as they go along.

to the point where the model reasons entirely or almost entirely in latent space

Early models did all their work in latent space. Then someone figured out that you could run them repeatedly so they could do things step-wise and called that "chain of thought." Then someone else (re)discovered that you could reuse some of your layers and get better results for more computation but the same amount of parameters and memory, which is what "recurrent depth" seems to be. That's just like adding more layers, which nobody cares about, but someone gave it a fancy name so now its the end of the world.

https://sebastianraschka.com/b...

Anyone who says we need to do X to solve climate change is wrong, because there is no one "X" that does it.

We need renewables, nuclear, electrification, synthetic fuels, forestation, mangroves, direct air capture, BECCS, biochar, enhanced rock weathering, cloud enhancement to increase albedo, possibly orbital solar shading, ocean alkalinity enhancement, and more that I don't know about including things maybe no one has yet thought of.

We created this problem through a wide variety of mechanisms, burning many different kinds of fossil fuels in many different contexts, and we're going to need an even wider variety to fix it.

It's called a carbon tax. Maybe you've heard of it? Maybe you've voted against it? Lots of people have.

I grew up in a rural community. The farmers all think global warming is a liberal conspiracy. But they're also happy to tell you how it just doesn't get cold in the winter like it used to, they're constantly worried because the spring melt isn't ever as much water as it was twenty years ago, and the weather has just been crazy unpredictable the last decade or so.

We aren't going to stop flying, we aren't going to setup a factories in every country to reduce global shipping, we're not going to stop eating meat and we're not going to all magically transition to an EV that's backed by 100% clean energy.

We will if it gets hot enough. Almost no one flew a hundred years ago because they didn't have enough money. If there are food shortages, water wars and mass migrations from coastal cities and the tropics most people will again be too poor to fly, meat will be a luxury and goods shipped around the world will be exotic luxuries, just like they were a century ago.

If you work on a project of any size, you're never going to be able to avoid working with programmers who are worse than you.

And even if they happened faster, it still wouldn't be enough. The focus on emissions reduction to the exclusion of everything else is going to kill a lot of people.

The only way we're going to fix this is to get to net negative, and while emissions reduction can help it will never be enough. That being the case, we should be investing a lot into capture and sequestration research.

Absolutely. We should admit that we're in for some more CO2 rise before we can make it fall, no matter what we do, and invest in geoengineering research focused on techniques to directly reduce insolation and ocean acidification.

None of this is either/or. We need to be doing all of this in parallel: Electrification, renewables, nuclear, and synthetic fuels to reduce burning of fossil fuels, carbon recapture, especially at high-intensity carbon sourced (e.g. cement plants), but also from the atmosphere, and geoengineering to directly cool the planet and increase ocean pH. And we can... but the laser focus on renewables and electrification and renewables is harming the future.

Compounded by the fact that people can write a lot like AI if they want to (consciously or unconsciously).

> As soon as he had insider information, it becomes criminal. Somehow this person does not strike me as very smart.

Are you a lawyer with expertise in laws about training and gambling? It might be criminal. It might not be. It probably depends on the exact wording of the laws.

Somehow, a person who makes such pronouncements without the relevant expertise and knowledge is not so smart.

That seems like it would be relatively easy, and safe as long as no one makes a suicide cord and tries to use it to power the house. I don't know if any of this class of equipment provides it.

No, you're wrong. You're also a moron.

Why are you a moron? Because you took your opinion of something and assumed that everyone else has the same opinion. It's also a mistake a four year old might make. By the time you reach age eight, you realize other people have different opinions.

I mean, if youÃ(TM)re running AIs, youÃ(TM)re gonna want 128GB at least, and a fast GPU. At that point, it being a MacBook Pro isnÃ(TM)t going to make much difference. ItÃ(TM)s gonna cost $7000, which I grant you is a lot of money, howeveræ now find me another laptop with a GPU around the performance of the laptop 5080, and 128GB of RAM the GPU can access.

A laptop or desktop with 128GB of RAM will likely be around $7000, with RAM costs being what they are. Even a 64GB laptop is already around $4000-5000.