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Comment Re:If I had to bet (Score 1) 14

I would bet they are lying They will never install fiber in my area

Even if it even exists, I would expect the $20 rate will be deemed non-viable within a few months of implementation. Everyone knows government contracts have zero teeth for enforcement against corporate entities.

Eventually, yes, but you forgot a bunch of steps:

  • Hide the information in a tiny little link at the very bottom of the terms and conditions that nobody reads.
  • Cap the speed and/or amount of data in a way that makes the service completely unusable for 99% of real-world customers.
  • Impose income limits that make the service unavailable for nearly everyone who wants to apply.
  • Require such a complex application process that nobody who needs the program can figure out how to use it.

Then, after about three years, they show the government that nobody wanted $20 Internet service, and ask permission to stop providing it. And the CPUC, being an industry lapdog, quickly agrees to whatever Verizon asks for. And *then* they stop providing it.

Comment Re:Waymo pickup from tricky location? (Score 1) 11

I always have trouble with rideshare pickups from my apartment. I can plant an X where I want to be picked up but then this gets translated to an address on a neighbouring street that is not in my complex. I always have to send a clarifying message to the driver. This is challenging because I can't send it until the driver is assigned, which is when I'm rushing around trying to be ready in time. It would seem that Waymo might skip the step of converting to a human readable address. That might help. But if, it doesn't, texting the robot driving the car doesn't seem to be an option. Has anyone here tried to get a Waymo pickup from a similar tricky location?

It probably helps to use a ridesharing platform that doesn't use multiple map providers. If all your map data is from one source, you don't have these problems. It's when you start to mix multiple map providers that things go horribly and irreparably wrong, because the workarounds for one platform don't work on a different platform. Given that we're talking about Waymo, I assume Google Maps is used for everything, so I wouldn't expect those issues to occur. But no way to know without trying it at your specific location.

Comment Re:It isn't that simple (Score 1) 54

"Just invest in rail."

No, it's not that easy. Trains are slow to get started, they need a significant amount of time to stop. Most trains weigh way more than a truck with full load. But trains need to be managed carefully. Enough distance between the trains, a quality management system for switches and signals, good trains, good personnel.

Before that, you need to design your network such that it's attractive enough for people to use it. With public transit this generally means: put stations at places where people want to get on or get off or want to transfer to other modes of public transport (such as buses, subways, trams) which can bring people closer to their final destination.

And note that this will change over time, but your rails can't change over time. This is the peril of rail for intracity transit.

Rails make a lot of sense in ultra-dense areas (think Manhattan, *maybe* downtown SF, but not any of the rest of the Bay Area, etc.), because the roads can't handle even a fraction of the passenger volume.

Rails also make sense for long-distance travel. If you're traveling for several hours, you probably don't want to drive that, so it is worth the inconvenience of not having a car at the other end. Also, if the trains are fast enough for their average speed to exceed the average speed of a car, then after two or three hours, you've probably broken even with the extra travel time required to get to and from those fixed endpoints.

But for the most part, rail *doesn't* make a lot of sense, because they're too much slower than air travel for long distances, and they're too much slower than cars for short distances. If you really want rail to work, we need 250 MPH (minimum) bullet trains from city to city so that they are competitive with airplanes. And provide ample parking at the termini.

All of these modes of public transport need to be efficient, arrive at least twice (preferably more) per hour throughout the day, be safe and clean.

Twice per hour makes a transit system borderline useless unless you are traveling for multiple hours. Your average latency is half of that, so that means on average you will waste 15 minutes waiting for every train. That means to break even, even before factoring in the extra time to get to/from the station, you need to save a whopping 15 minutes by using the train. And if you have even one connection, that makes your median latency thirty minutes. When you're wasting half an hour just waiting for the train to arrive, you're not only uncompetitive with driving; you're starting to be uncompetitive with bicycling.

Successful transit systems run avery 3 to 5 minutes during rush hour, and no more than about once every ten minutes late at night or on weekends. If you can't keep trains running at that frequency, you aren't dense enough to need a transit system, and you probably will regret putting one in. You'll end up repeatedly reducing the frequency to keep the trains at high enough occupancy to be worth doing, and then you'll be confused when ridership drops because nobody wants to wait that long for a train, and eventually you'll end up with a massively subsidized waste of taxpayer dollars like VTA.

Comment Re:No more mergers, at all. (Score 1) 14

I've really come around to this idea that we should simply stop any mergers or acquisitions by businesses, full stop. I don't think any major merger in my lifetime has ended actually postitively to where we can all say "wow, sure glad that happened!". Have we ever seen the lower prices promised?

Want to make a business then you make your business to be a self sustaining entity and not just have the end goal of being purchased.

License your tech if you want to join forces. Gone bankrupt and another company wants your assets? They can buy it then but that's it.

Yup. We're well past the point where the resulting economies of scale benefit the consumer. In late-stage capitalism, economies of scale benefit the corporation and only the corporation.

Comment Re:Train kept a-rollin' / till six PM (Score 2) 54

"Rail produces one-fifth the emissions of cars per passenger kilometer..."

Sure, for all cars. But how does it compare to just buses?

I think the inefficiency may lie not the mode of transport but in our unwillingness to all pile into the same conveyance.

Full or at typical capacity? Lots of bus routes around here average a low single-digit number of passengers for much of the route. Even single-passenger cars compare favorably to that. Assuming a diesel bus at an average of 3 MPG, you need a minimum of 15 passengers on average to break even with driving single-passenger hybrids. And that's not factoring in how much dirtier a gallon of diesel fuel is compared with a gallon of gasoline.

Comment Re:Time to rename the company (Score 1) 41

Thanks, I see, so it is a company without a product that is truly representative of nothing at all.

I guess the conclusion about the impending job market doom is justified then.

I kind of automatically assume that any company that can successfully replace a third of their workforce with AI is not doing anything meaningful. I mean, a company that does nothing but write crappy rehashed product reviews could pull it off, or a company that has no plans to innovate or grow could maybe do it by laying off all the sales/advertising people, but otherwise, it seems like a stretch.

So the question, then, is whether this company is genuinely circling the drain with nothing to lose or just has leadership who have no idea what any of their employees actually do.

Comment Re:Just installed Sequoia (Score 1) 33

Could you hook the hardware up to a Linux system and then get that data to your applications some other way? Looks like Linux still has firewire support, and you can connect to pipewire with ffado.

Ostensibly, yes, I could. I could even use an ancient Mac Mini with a built-in FireWire port to do that. But at some point, the level of hackiness becomes high enough that you're spending all your time dealing with things not working, and that's almost worse than it not working at all. :-)

Comment Re:Just installed Sequoia (Score 1) 33

What model of mac do you have ? I doubt any mac models with firewire ports are supported by tahoe.

M1 Max MacBook Pro. The setup involves a Thunderbolt 3 to Thunderbolt 2 adapter chained to a Thunderbolt 2 to FireWire 800 adapter, which in turn is chained to a FireWire 800 to 400 adapter, which is then connected by a cable to the device. It's dongles all the way down.

Comment Re:Just installed Sequoia (Score 1) 33

OWC makes a Thunderbolt 3 dock that has a FW800 port, that might do the job for you. Although avoiding Liquid Gas is probably a sound decision anyway.

Getting Thunderbolt ports isn't the problem; Apple's Thunderbolt-to-FireWire hardware does that, too. Without FireWire device family support in the kernel, FireWire hardware can't be used, period.

Comment Just installed Sequoia (Score 2) 33

I depend on FireWire audio interfaces, so everything from Tahoe on is dead to me for the foreseeable future.

My problem is that I don't do audio recording often enough to justify spending the thousands of dollars it would cost to buy all new hardware, but I do it often enough that I can't upgrade my operating system and lose the capability. It's that really annoying middle ground that Apple really doesn't support well, though to be fair, I've gotten thirteen years out of it after Apple stopped shipping built-in FireWire ports, so I guess that's not too horrible. :-)

I tried getting off of FireWire a long time ago, precisely because I suspected that this would eventually happen. But to keep costs down, my plan was to buy a MOTU LP32 ADAT-to-AVB bridge so that I could keep using 16 inputs from my existing interfaces and supplement that with a MOTU Stage-B16. The problem is, the LP32 has been on permanent back-order for about two years now, with no sign of things improving.

I'm also a late adopter after lots of bad experiences, so I just downloaded Sequoia so that at least I won't be stuck on Sonoma forever. I'm hoping that by the time they stop shipping security updates for Sequoia, either MOTU will have the LP32 available again, someone will have figured out a way to get IOFireWireFamily to build and run on later OSes, or I will have found some other low-cost solution for a large number of inputs. Not holding my breath, though, on any of the above.

Comment Re:This isnt the win you think it is. (Score 3, Insightful) 94

We’re kidding ourselves if we think EVs are a drop-in “solution.” Building an EV burns about twice the carbon of making an ICE,

More like 1.6x. But they break even by 11k miles in Europe. (The exact number varies by location; this is an average.)

and scrapping a perfectly functional ICE adds nearly another tonne of COe.

You seem to be under the false assumption that Europe is forcing people to scrap ICE cars. They're not. They're forcing companies to not build *new* ICE cars. This is not changing the number of cars that get scrapped at all. It is ensuring that the cars that replace the cars that were being scrapped anyway are efficient.

Run the numbers: ramping up EV sales by 10%/year for a decade actually adds ~650 million tonnes of COe from manufacturing, even after accounting for fewer ICEs scrapped.

No, it doesn't. The break-even point in Europe is about 11,000 miles, which is less than a year. So by one year after they are sold, they have reduced CO2 emissions by as much as was released producing them. There is no "per year for a decade" here, because by the end of a year of driving, the manufacturing becomes effectively carbon-neutral.

So no, you're not adding 650 million tonnes of CO2. It takes 9 months to break even, which means at any given point in time, the average extra emissions from manufacturing each car would be half of that, so add up the extra CO2 emitted by manufacturing all cars as EVs for 4.5 months, and that's how much you've added. Not cumulative. One-time.

But it gets better than that, because you don't stop driving these cars after 9 months. So after that, they're carbon-negative. That means after 18 months, they've used as much as the next 9-month group of cars produced during their manufacturing, and so have those cars, so your next nine months of manufacturing are free. So after 18 months, the total CO2 from the changeover becomes effectively zero. After 27 months, the total CO2 from the changeover is negative by several months of driving by the cars made in the last 9 months. And so on.

That’s just swapping one carbon-intensive system for another — tailpipes for furnaces and mines. The problem isn’t just the drivetrain, it’s the scale: 75 million new cars every year.

The problem is that you apparently still haven't realized that a car gets built once, but is typically used for decades, and that the emissions for manufacturing are tiny compared with the emissions used during their ongoing operation, so even massive increases to the manufacturing emissions result in reductions in emissions over the relatively *short* term, much less the long term.

The real win isn’t “replace every ICE with an EV,” it’s cutting the carbon out of steel, aluminum, and batteries, cranking up recycling, and maybe even questioning whether churning out this many new cars is sustainable at all.

Churning out the new cars is a drop in the bucket compared with the CO2 savings. Again, nine months after they are made, they've reduced as much CO2 as the excess CO2 spent producing them. Even if we assume that the ICE car wouldn't have been made otherwise (which is not the case), the break-even point would still be only on the order of three years. And after that, they're reducing CO2 emissions more than the total emissions from manufacturing the vehicle. So the time to question sustainability is *after* you transition everyone over to EVs, not before. Doing that now is saving a tiny bit of emissions in the short term while costing you a *lot* of emissions over the long term.

Comment Re:Because the subsidy goes away in October (Score 1) 94

So the cost of an EV shoots up by 7,500. I would expect sales to drop substantially then.

A large percentage of the people buying EVs have too much income to be eligible for the credit anyway. The median income for EV buyers is $140k, and for single people, the cutoff was just $150k. The purpose of the tax credit was to try to get EVs into the hands of people with more moderate income, but I suspect its main effect was cause people to lease the cars instead of buying them, where you could weirdly still get the credit.

Also I think Tesla is in deep deep trouble. Best case scenario their CEO is going to take $29 billion dollars out of the company in the form of stock options that he clearly intends to sell. If he can get away with it he'll take 55 to 59 billion, which is more than the company has ever made.

IMO, Tesla needs a new CEO. The board of directors keeps trying to pump more money in his direction hoping that it will keep his attention and make him focus on Tesla, but IMO, the damage is done and won't magically go away just by convincing him to shut up and stop acting like a cartoon supervillain. Just two words (Mr. Trump's favorite two words), and the company's problems mostly go away.

Comment Re: uh no they do not (Score 1) 73

Which is a discussion between Sega and Nintendo, not the buyer, as the OP just described.

Yes and no. Yes, Sega and Nintendo should talk to each other to figure out how to deal with it. No, that doesn't change the fact that as a non-owner, Sega giving it to a merchant is not adequate for that merchant to gain the right to dispose of it and grant title to it

Again, the merchant's right to grant title exists only if that transfer is done by the legitimate owner of the item or that owner's authorized agent. If Nintendo had done so, then the OP would be correct. If Nintendo had authorized it, then the OP would be correct. But even in the best case, it's legally grey if Nintendo was not involved and can show clear documentation that Sega was not the legal owner, because that would be approximately exactly the same situation as if someone took stolen jewelry to a jeweler and the jeweler sold it.

And just in case someone misreads that, the case linked above hinged on two key facts: first, that the person who gave it to the jeweler was not a dealer, similar to how Sega is not a dealer in Nintendo dev kits, and second, that the company that gave it to that person had an agreement that denied him the right to transfer title in it. So in terms of the material facts, other than the nature of the products themselves and possibly the timing of the events, that case is very, very similar to this one.

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