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Comment Arrokoth is such a neat body. (Score 1) 12

For those who didn't follow it, it's not that it's a contact binary that is so neat in and of itself, it's that when they modeled it, they determined that, the collision that formed it was less than 5 meters per second (less than 11 mph / 18 kph). Like a parking lot fender bender, but with the cars being ~750 billion tonnes.

Comment Re: This is a good thing (Score 1) 140

So you think that repeating Hitler's and Napoleon's mistake was a better idea? Damn. Sure, the Soviets got a shit-ton of weapons from the Allies, but all that did was move the defeat of Germany ahead a few years. Invading the largest country on Earth is never a good idea, especially when it consists of a population who has refused to submit to invaders EVER.

Comment Re:Why? (Score 1) 155

Yeah, there's two main problems:

1) People entering the wrong fields. For example, medicine really needs workers, at all levels, but not enough people are going into it.

2) Certain manual labour fields, like field work and home construction, because... well, I think we all know why there's a shortage of workers in those fields.

Comment Re:oh look (Score 4, Informative) 27

They're desperately trying to keep the Chinese models out, but I doubt they'll be successful. Chinese AI is mostly outcome-based, they train a bot to wash dishes, a drone to recognize an insect infestation, or mining machinery to find and follow a vein, and equipment purchased from China is going to come with their AI baked in. Sure, they'll play with chatbots and AGI, but most of their work is devoted to actually accomplishing something besides stock manipulation. Once Chinese AI is seeded throughout the economy in machinery and devices more advanced systems are going to follow.

Comment Re:I am shocked (Score 1) 31

That's the normal outcome of a legal system run by and for lawyers. I was once added (without my permission) to a class action suit against Seagate. We "won" a coupon for $15 off our next Seagate drive of 500 mb or less (a month after Seagate had stopped producing 500mb drives). The lawyers made $5,000,000.

Comment Re:LLM output is Grey Goo and Ecophagy. (Score 2) 155

Or let's put this another way. Show of hands - how many of you "spicy autocorrect" / "stochastic parrot" people had "AI will start mass-solving Erdos problems" on your forecast list a couple years back? Huh, none of you? Fascinating!

Take some time to reassess your priors. And while you do so, understand that, yes, they are doing logic / reasoning.

Comment Re:LLM output is Grey Goo and Ecophagy. (Score 4, Interesting) 155

They weren't discovered by an LLM. They were known conjectures that were proven by an automated solving language that was linked to an LLM.

I'll take "Things That Didn't Happen For $200", Alex.

Only a handful of meaningful proofs have ever been done by automated formal theorem solvers (the Four Colour Theorem being the most noteworthy example - but its proof is so long that humans can't verify it). By contrast, AI tools have been solving Erdos problems en masse. The majority of them just bog-standard commercial models. In case you need help, the only ones on that list that were hybrid (AI / non-AI) in the actual solving phase are:

1) AlphaProof / DeepMind Prover Agent / AlphaProof Nexus
2) Aristotle (Harmonic)
3) Seed Prover / Seed Prover 1.5 (ByteDance)
4) AxiomProver (Axiom Math)

In each of the above, LLMs come up with the lemmas / strategies but then use Monte Carlo search ("brute force") or likewise to investigate what they came up with. These are a minority. In the "AI Standalone" category, these "hybrid" tools made up only ~20% of attempts and successful proofs. Hybrid tools actually made more of a contribution in the "AI Alongside Literature" (related literature found afterward) and even more of the "AI Building On Literature" (related literature known beforehand) categories, which is the opposite of what people like you expect.

And even with the hybrid tools, it's still the AI doing the heavy lifting when it comes to strategy. Non-AI theorem solvers, again, don't have a spectacular record for churning out novel proofs to unsolved problems. Tools like Lean are more about mathematical rigour - a passive environment that requires a driver (a human or AI) to feed it actual strategies, lemmas, and proof steps. And no, you cannot brute force "strategy" in the vast majority of cases, which is, again, why automated theorem solvers don't have much of a track record with unsolved mathematical problems.

Let's take a random example: the disproof of the unit distance conjecture. It was solved purely by a general purpose commercial GPT model, not custom-trained to mathematics, with no external tools. Read what the various mathematicians reviewing / commenting on it have to say (sections #3 and onward). Seriously, don't skip reading them, actually read them. This was one of Erdos's favourite problems. He mentioned it commonly in his lectures. Essentially every mathematician working in complex geometry has thought about this problem. The approach that the model came up with was highly novel approach, based on CM-fields and class field towers.

I know you don't want to accept this reality, but it is the reality, so you better improve your ability to accept it,. The field of mathematics is already doing so.

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