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Comment Re:Okay. (Score 2) 64

With one important difference, this reminds me of the 1974 Emergency Highway Energy Conservation Act, which established a national speed limit of 55 MPH. States had to either adopt a state speed limit of 55 MPH, or else lose out on funding, i.e. get punished.

Of course, that was a law enacted by Congress, not an Executive order. I guess, traditionally, they say that for first quarter millennium of America, Congress held the purse strings because some inky piece of paper said they were supposed to, as if Congress could ever handle that much responsibility! Can you imagine?! Anyway, we've decided Fuck That Tradition, let's try something new and put a thieving tool in charge of the purse.

Comment Re:we have to many Ph.D's and when you need to do (Score 5, Insightful) 37

we have to many Ph.D's and when you need to do this to keep your slot = the college system is broken.

They are students not PhDs. And you don't "need" to do this to keep "your slot". Nobody is entitled to a slot. What you have to earn is not owed to you.

It's a competitive system, and you have to maintain certain level of merit and academic progress.

There is a right way. Either follow the rules or quit, and go do something more productive. And somebody deciding to become a criminal does not mean the system is broken.

Comment Re:Now adjust the price (Score 2) 24

True, still not at the peak, but speaking of adjusting for inflation...

Cisco from 1998 to 2001 had a crazy anomalous valuation that was the biggest of the big examples of the dot-com bubble run amok. That behemoth of a company had an inflation-adjusted market cap of about a trillion dollars. Microsoft was in same ballpark, with Oracle and Intel a bit less, but still big examples of the dotcom bubble.

This time around, Google is 3.8 trillion, Meta is $1.6 trillion, Microsoft is $3.6 trillion, Amazon is $2.5 trillion, nVidia is $4.4 trililon, Apple is $4.1 Trillion....

This bubble is just massively bigger than the dotcom bubble, with just one of the big players this time being valued even adjusting for inflation more than all the big players of the dotcom era put together, and there being a fair number more of them this time. It dwarfs the 2007 bubble in these top few players alone. When this pops, it's going to be mind numbingly severe fall..

Comment Re: Competition is good (Score 1) 46

Why shouldn't google buy openai?

You're just trying to be provocative. You have to spend money to make money, but OpenAI is already spending other people's money, so Google would be buying that debt. Then it still would not secure the market for LLMs, because anyone can do it, others are doing it well enough. If you consolidate to raise prices sooner, they'll look better and better. If your plan is to loose money but outlast everyone, why would you buy their debt piles, can't wait?

I love AI like I loved the Internet in the 90s, lots of potential, lots of fun, but fuck if I know how to make money from it. Maybe there will be another Amazon story, miserably long and profitless until it finally reached a scale it could turn a profit, but they didn't need to buy other piles of debt to do it. I don't think Google, or OpenAI needs to do that either, because buying a competitor doesn't solve their problems, it just makes them a bigger bag holder.

Comment Re:Great, just what I always wanted! (Score 1) 40

from my overpriced Disney+ subscription was user-generated "AI" slop.

The article says a selection. Presumably terms will let them cherrypick videos they like, so it will probably be not slop, but whatever generations they deem high quality. Likely involving extra work by the end user, since actor voices aren't included for the characters.

Comment Re: AI: Humanity's Worst Invention (Score 1) 83

You don't need more than one guy to have a corporation. I have one. But that's really a modern legal and tax thing. Corporations were invented to make it easier for groups of people to act together.

I suspect the "replace the corporation" thing is just dumbassery, but it does potentially have a real meaning as above. You're also correct, other technology has also had that effect. There are lots of one-person operations, incorporated or not, that previously would have required the pooled resources of a group. Automation of all kinds does that. We also have a tendency to just dream bigger, which I'm sure will happen this time around too. And we also have a tendency to invent more bullshit jobs to fill in too.

Comment Re:Asymmetry problem (Score 1) 31

Yeah, this is one area where LLM can certainly make one side more successful. A screw up means either the attack fails, which no worse than not trying or messing up the target system, which may not be the ideal outcome, but it's not like the attacker really cared that much about the target system...

Comment Re:This is disgusting gatekeeping (Score 1) 31

You think the companies are deliberately keeping their models from being professional grade because of some sense of social responsibility?

That is hilarious. They are pushing as hard as they can and hyping it up even more than it is capable of performing. Any shortcomings on their part is not by lack of trying or somehow holding back.

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