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Comment 100,000 HOURS of training. [Re:Like AI training] (Score 1) 86

of course we do. Humans need about 100,000 hours of training cycles before they're really useful. Heck, they need something like 10,000 hours of training cycles before they can even confidently master bipedal locomotion. We just think of it as "growing up".

what?? this isnt even close to true. its 10,000 to MASTER something.. 100,000 hours for what??

Start by learning to crawl. Learning to understand English (or whatever language you grow up with. Learning to speak. Learning to stand upright. Learning to walk. Learning to read. Learning to write. Learning all the thousands of rules of society. Learning arithmetic, history, all the stuff you learn in first grade.

These take literally YEARS.

10,000 hours to master something? That's about a year and a half of waking life. Call it two years, since one year old babies sleep a lot. Show me a two year old who's mastered anything.

Comment Re:Like AI training (Score 0) 86

It's a bit like an AI after training. The difference is we don't need zillions of training cycles and zillions of samples to train our "AI" modules.

of course we do. Humans need about 100,000 hours of training cycles before they're really useful. Heck, they need something like 10,000 hours of training cycles before they can even confidently master bipedal locomotion.

We just think of it as "growing up".

Comment Re:why is it all these earth like worlds but no li (Score 1) 58

The popular press is fond of throwing that term around, but at best, right now about all we can say is "we don't know that it isn't earthlike."

I think it's HIGHLY likely that there are numerous earth-like planets. Even if we haven't found any yet.

We are talking about different things.

I am talking about things like the press release we're talking about here saying that the planet LHS 1140 b is "a rocky, Earth-like planet in the habitable zone."

You seem to be talking about whether the galaxy has earthlike planets somewhere.

Comment One of the better tech journalists (Score 1, Informative) 62

I remember reading his articles in the late 90's and I have to admit that I got to like his style.
The one I remember the most (which unfortunately I cannot locate anymore) is an article about, well, the 90's.
The gist of it was "good riddance to the 90s". He was particularly critical of the wars of that decade in which high-tech, remote-controlled weapons were just starting to appear.
Therefore he referred to them as "the joystick wars". Too bad the term did not catch on on mainstream media.

Comment Re:nobody can predict the winners (Score 1) 92

Yup. This is precisely the situation. The investment bubble is undeniable. It is, however, not a given that it will collapse. Not all bubbles do.
But beyond the investment bubble- AI itself is very real.
When the dotcom bubble burst, it's not like e-commerce went away.
All the datacenters that were built- they didn't go away.
2 of my organizations datacenters were dotcom datacenters that were abandoned by Verio and picked up by us on the cheap, where we utilized them profitably for going on 2 decades now.

Comment Re:nobody can predict the winners (Score 1) 92

You do know that insults where the other side has strong proof they are not true do not work, right?

Look at you- lol.
You construct this fantasy bubble around yourself where you did not just insult me while offering zero refutation of actual factual points I made (bun Rust rewrite)
And you continue to act as if that is not how we got here.
You are so fucking deluded. Again- if you teach anyone, it's a fucking crime for that institution to still employ you. But I'm betting it's not actually true. I'm betting maybe it was true at some time, and you can't get past the fact that they let you go long ago.

Well, probably that is already beyond you. This is Kindergarten level though and not flattering for you. You may at least want to try to be a bit original, not completely dumb in your attempts to insult. This is just boring.

Your alzheimers seems to kick in just a few sentences after you start writing- it's incredible.

Can you breathe better with your head buried in the dirt?

Comment Re:Survivable crashes are now rare (Score 2) 63

Crashes are now rare in general. When I was a kid, it seemed like there was a major air crash in the US almost annually. I may be wrong, but I don't remember a full-sized airliner (bigger than a regional jet) having a catastrophic crash in the US since shortly after 9/11 when that Airbus lost its tail and crashed in NYC. (Being a natural pessimist, I find this outcome hard to believe and would have lost a good deal of money if I had bet on it.)

However, there still continue to be a large number of hard landings, runway slideoffs, engine fires, cabin fires and other emergency situations where the passengers still need to evacuate quickly because their lives are at risk. (Not to mention the "Miracle on the Hudson".) The safety briefings are still relevant in all those situations.

Comment Re:nobody can predict the winners (Score -1, Troll) 92

Your problem is that you are "full of shit".

lol- I know you are but what am I?
Your sub-100 IQ never ceases to amuse me.

Since you cannot see that, you dump on others pointing things out that are inconsistent with your misconceptions. You also massively oversimplify things and hence do not see what is actually going on. Common mistake.

So you have no refutation whatsoever to what I said... you could have just said that ;)

For reference, I teach this stuff to a larger number of students

Well, that explains why the world is getting dumber.

many with professional experience, every semester. And there is an evaluation every semester. Seriously, I KNOW where I stand. You do not.

You don't know shit. If you do indeed teach people, you are doing them a harm.

Comment Re:nobody can predict the winners (Score 3, Interesting) 92

I so very wish you were not full of shit.
But you are.
Even Anthropic's most eye-watering token cost is vastly cheaper than a developer salary in terms of work done per dollar.
The bun Rust rewrite for ~$160k in 11 days for what's estimated would have taken a team of developers a year pretty much settles it.
That's about 90% of my salary at about 5x my estimated performance.

For reference, bun was 535,000 lines of Zig.

Of course, it can't do all things this way, but imagine it had been done with GLM5.2 instead of Fable 5.
1/10th the cost.

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