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Comment Re:Cui Bono (Score 2) 70

There's nothing wrong with "learn to code". It's teaching a mental discipline and the rudiments of logic.

There are 2 broad ways that the classical school curriculum teaches mental discipline and logical thinking. The first and slightly older one is philosophy/humanities. Reading and debating the old philosophers sharpens the mind and exposes kids to logical patterns. Arguments attacking and defending religion (eg scholasticism) are especially good for that approach today, as they have always been.The second way is geometry (not just Mathematics). Euclid is the tried and true source of exercises and teaching logic with visual aids. These are the O.G. methods which matter even today.

Computer programming is a modern variant which teaches logic by requiring kids to create something in a world of pure abstractions. It shares with geometry a good balance of logic, experimentation and abstraction.

The most valuable gift a child needs for the future is a good training in using its brain. Someone with logical thinking skills can find a way to thrive in any environment, and there are only a small number of ways to train a young brain to master those skills, which I've listed above, more or less.

What is emphatically bad is to connect a young brain to an AI. That teaches the brain a variant of logically fallacious skills which can be summarized by the phrase "argument from authority". Those skills will not produce a person who can thrive in any environment. Even adults with adequate skills who are exposed to AI workflows lose their edge very quickly, after a year or two at the most. A child who starts with tabula rasa would have no hope.

Comment Re:We all knew the truth (Score 1) 190

"It's the cloud! It's everywhere! It's distributed!" - dumb people who use AWS "Yeah, it's on like one server. Pay us more money lol" - Amazon.

Yep, pretty much this.

When you have a physical datacentre, you take backup off site in case the site fails, when you're in the cloud you're really just in one physical location unless you're paying through the nose for co-location.

"Cloud" has pretty much taken the LCC (Low Cost Carrier, A.K.A. Budget Airlines) model to compute and Amazon is the Ryanair of that world. Sure, they advertise a £19 flight to Magaluf but want a seat that isn't shit, pony up, want to take luggage, gonna cost you, don't want to take the red eye flight from "London" Isle of Skye airport... you get the idea and before you know it that £19 flight is a £190 flight. Amazons price structure is the same, cheap headline price, what you actually pay is much, much higher.

Comment Re:It's all political now (Score 3, Interesting) 127

There's plenty to fear from criminals using AI. The "killer app" of AI (is that even a thing anymore?) is human mimicry.

Speaking in someone else's voice. Impersonating someone in a photo or a video. Writing someone else's signature on a document. Retouching existing pictures and texts. Forging artistic works.

These are all that scammers and criminals have been wanting for millenia, and now Santa is giving it to them.

Comment Re:How specifically could AI kill all humans? (Score 1) 127

There's no scenario that leads to destruction, at worst we could get regression to a pre-AI world like the 1950s, or the 1350s if you're keen.

Millennials like to think that living in a pre-Internet world is a fate worse than death. If you want to see them hyperventilating, tell them they will have to sit next to a corded box called a "telephone" and speak with their voice instead of texting.

I suggest you buy a vial of smelling salts before you try that experiment.

Comment Re:I'm still wondering (Score 1) 190

The gulf aligned against...

The only thing the gulf is aligned against is low oil prices, and the US squabbling with Iran is better than anything they might have hoped for. All the Gulf states are perfectly happy to continue being spectators and losing the occasional airport hanger or pipeline to a flying pipe bomb from Iran/Yemen, as long as that means $100+/bbl oil.

Trump sought out the biggest, wettest pile of shit on this entire planet and jumped into it with both feet.

Comment Re:As expected (Score 1) 125

Also: If he keeps up the talk of doom and gloom, then Amodei will be quite believable when he steps down and lets someone else direct Anthropic.

Whenever The Law approaches too closely for comfort, tech CEOs have a habit of stepping down and sideways into a less exposed role with low responsibility, but a controlling interest.

Comment Re:Hey guys, I have a great idea! (Score 5, Insightful) 113

All of these are reasonable points. I would add one more: AI training on AI outputs.

The initial worry was that AI produced web content would be consumed by the next generation of AI causing model drift and collapse. Since then, AI companies have decided that daily user interactions are a source of clean signal that complements the web . But now that AI agents pretend to be humans, those "user" interactions will just lead to model collapse at a faster rate.

Comment Re:Which is it? (Score 1) 125

Well, one scenario is letting the hype get ahead of the capabilities, and do the 'AI store' experiment, but for real with responsibility for something actually important.

Another is that it is far easier to just screw things up than it is to make things work. I may not have it in me to make a house of cards, yet I can trivially even accidentally destroy a house of cards someone else built without a whiff of understanding.

The assessment of the capabilities based on bottom line certainly is subjective, which is precisely why Jensen Huang is so aggressively gung-ho about we must do everything we possibly can to spend more money on nvidia stuff. The motivation for Anthrophic seems either they have legitimate concerns or are looking to rationalize a plateau after promising the world. It certainly doesn't serve their bottom line to slow down otherwise.

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