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Comment Re: Has Climate Doom Modeling Turned Into Clickbai (Score 1) 53

makes the point that small changes in controlled variables can cause abrupt climate changes

This is a problem with a model, not climate. Long before industrial age there were massive CO2 dumps (super volcanoes, asteroid impacts, etc.) that we know spiked CO2 past even current levels and it did not result in effects these models predict.

I mentioned this many times in various /. debates on this topic, but we have various historical records, like various Viking sagas, that describe MUCH warmer climate, like Greenland full of forests. In 2025 we are nowhere near historical peaks of CO2 or temperatures. We know from geological records that ice caps did not exists many times in the past. There is even a technical term for it - interglacial period. Which we are entering now.

Comment Re:Fair weather friends (Score 1) 29

I see no reason why it shouldn't be applied to industry.

Because it makes industry shut down and move to a different country. Just look at Germany and on-going de-industrialization after they shut down nuclear reactors.

No industry, no jobs, no real GDP growth and everyone, but rent-seeking 1%, gets poorer. So even if your electricity costs don't spike due to pricing controls, you still too poor to afford it.

Comment Re:The old auto makers are fucked. (Score 1) 211

When I purchased my latest car, which has this crazy 1 year 10K recommended oil change interval (OCI) while using 0w20 oil, I searched and found online manuals from various other countries. In countries where OCI/emissions are not regulated (various former Soviet republics), the car manual states to use 10w30 oil and 5K OCI recommended for the same car.

Comment Fair weather friends (Score 2) 29

The key reason why we are seeing across the board rollback of green initiatives and green policies is that they get in the way of building more data centers. This is a beyond any doubt proof that Big Tech was only a fair weather friend for environmentalism.

Also, fundamentally, you can't build industry of any kind - be it steel production or data centers - on renewables. Manufacturing and now Big Data require stable baseload which can only be achieved by power plants. Fortunately, this will lead to revival of nuclear energy. However, until these come online, this will lead to hardship where high electricity costs will severely impact poorest.

Submission + - European Union May Not Ban Combustion Cars After All (caranddriver.com)

sinij writes:

The European Union's plan to ban new combustion cars starting in 2035 may be over before it has a chance to go into effect, if Germany's leader has anything to say about it.

2035 target was simply infeasible with current technology. While some promising new developments, like solid state batteries, are being worked on, they are not yet ready for mass production.

Comment Re:a much needed move? (Score 1) 211

I am referring to serious ICE (internal combustion engine) issues that all manufacturers are having, including Toyota. I am making an educated guess, based on common pattern of these failures - bearings - that trying to meet CAFE by thinning out engine oil in turbocharged engines is not working out. That is, further improvements require a brand new technology, like electronically controlled valves or variable compression, which won't be ready in time for 2030 or return to Malaise era of severely under powered naturally aspirated engines.

Biden's targets were indirect ban on pure ICE vehicles. Repealing them as overreach of the original mandate is very reasonable.

Comment Re:This is a MAJOR problem (Score 2, Insightful) 53

but if the peer-review system worked as intended

It is working as intended, by enforcing group consensus and making it difficult to contradict "established" science. The issue is that consensus is not formed based on facts but on activism - the axiomatic belief that humanity is the cause and we could and should do something about it. As such, climate science peer review process is closer to medieval scripture debates that modern science, scripture being anthropogenic climate change.

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