Comment Re:Wait a minute (Score 1) 69
See the thing to remember is those people is that what they accuse the other side of doing, just blind ideology.
It's just a variation of the Goebbel's playbook, which the Trump administration loves to follow - "accuse the other side of the thing you yourself are guilty of".
- Try to rig the upcoming election while yelling loudly about how the other party consistenly cheats - and without evidence, of course.
- Make up stories about how crooked the Dems are, while actively grifting yourself.
Regardless, it's nice to see Congress occasionally showing signs of having a spine, finally. It'd be great if they'd also figure out that the revenge dismantlement of NCAR is also going to cost money and lives.
I'm not even sure if it's that deliberate, or it's just the fact that Trump is thinking about rigging the election... so he talks about rigging the election.
But it's hilarious how consistent the pattern is. Normally with something like that there's just a few occasional examples. But with Trump if he says "Democrats are kicking puppies!" chances are that we're about to find out that Trump kicked a puppy.
Comment Re:The SpaceX Valuation is Insane (Score 5, Insightful) 67
SpaceX is worth more than Microsoft or Amazon at this point. It boggles the mind how much people are betting on the future just because Musk is a genius. If he gets sick the stocks craters 80% easily and this $60B is more like $12B.
He's not a genius, I sincerely think he's average to slightly below average intelligence for a software dev. Just look how clueless he really is when he pretends to be a technical guru in front of actual experts.
That doesn't mean he doesn't have some exceptional skills, but IQ isn't one of them.
First, he's hard working, at least in spurts (during critical deadlines), and he's willing to make and implement big decisions quickly. Just look at DOGE, Republicans have been trying to lay waste to the US government for decades, but Musk is the only one to actually do it. It was a complete disaster, but it wasn't ethics or common sense that stopped the previous attempts, that's a legit talent for Musk.
Second, CEOs aren't allowed to lie, but Musk has figured out that you can get around that by building a cult of personality and then making ridiculously optimistic predictions and then sell minor advancements as progress. The result is he has a core group of retail investors that buy his stocks based on vibes and refuse to sell once in. Since these retail investors prevent the stock from going down too much institutional investors also jump in on the ride. It's basically tulip bulbs.
Comment Re:After Close Encounters, am I surprised? (Score 1) 102
What are you referring to by "no breakthoughs"?
If you go back a century and half then most of modern physics has not been discovered yet!
Comment Re:The speed of light (Score 1) 102
We don't understand dark matter, don't understand black holes due to not understanding physics in that realm (no unified theory), don't know how to interpret quantum theory. We know that entangled quantum particles act in synchrony over arbitrary distance without any signal between them being transmitted at all
Even if did know it all, what if the thing traveling has a lifetime of millions or years, or in an AI, maybe traveling at near light speed?
Science simply is not in the business of saying what is impossible - it is in the business of predicting what happens in an experiment where we have an adequate theory. When the prediction is wrong you revise the theory.
Comment Re:Everything we know about physics (Score 1) 102
I meant NOT nonetheless.
Comment Re:For real or for the marketing? (Score 1) 102
Obviously he wouldn't know unless has had personally seen them.
One of the alien rumors is that Nixon wanted to impress his buddy Jacky Gleason and showed him some proof of aliens, and presumably if that did happen then the military would have learnt their lesson (as the public did) about the untrustworthiness of politicians and presidents, and kept them out of the loop in the future. I would not be surprised if the president is kept out of the loop on the most secretive black projects. You'd have to be an idiot to tell Trump something and expect him not to leak it.
Comment Re:Everything we know about physics (Score 1) 102
The universe is too big for anything that is extremely unlikely to nonetheless have occurred billions/trillions of times, and for all we know there may have been (or still be) multiple forms of life in our own solar system that have independently arisen. We have barely started looking.
As far as advanced life that may be trying to contact us, or at least be detectable by another civilization close-enough by, there are all sorts of reasons why we may not have detected it, such as making a whole bunch of wrong assumptions about what to look for, at what power level, etc.
Comment Re:No reason to keep it secret (Score 1) 102
Government panicked and mishandled it - the public just responded in as logical a fashion as they could given the misinformation that was being fed to them (due to government incompetence).
Comment Re:No reason to keep it secret (Score 1) 102
Who knows the motivations for keeping things secret (which they certainly have been doing, regardless of what the UFOs are) - it may be more about potential military secrets rather than spooking the public about the existence of aliens.
Even if the military suspects this is foreign (not alien) military tech that they don't understand, and can't replicate, that could also be seen as reason not to tell the public.
Comment Re:Aliens = God (Score 1) 102
The whole premise of the movie is that aliens are real, and that the evidence has been covered up
It's inconceivable that life doesn't exist elsewhere in the universe, whether it has visited us or not. Given that humans have gone from gaslight and horsedrawn buggies to electricity, radio and space travel in about 100 years, it's would be expected that another species who started this technological journey sooner than us (even a 1000 years earlier, but could be 100 million years or more) would be a lot more advanced, and may well have tech that appears like sci-fi to us, just as our tech would have looked like black magic to someone like the romans.
Comment Re:After Close Encounters, am I surprised? (Score 1) 102
Who knows. Some of the UFO reports are certainly intriguing - air force pilots recounting flying objects seemingly disobeying the laws of physics with massive acceleration, changes of direction, etc.
The thing with science is that it only predicts what you've previously observed and understood - it doesn't say what's impossible. Imagine discovering quantum behavior like entanglement at arbitrary distances for the first time - science fiction stuff that turns out to be true. Some of the UFO reports certainly sound like science fiction - we can't understand them - but that doesn't mean they are not true.
Comment Just saw the movie last night ... (Score 1) 102
It's a long movie - 2.5 hours, and the time went by quickly enough, so somewhat entertaining at least, but I was hoping for something much better.
What spoiled the movie other than a lame single-dimensional plot (it's basically a chase movie - government hunting down a leaker) are (mild spoiler alert) :
1) It's utter reliance on a magical alien device that gives whoever holds it a bunch of superpowers.
2) Some really poor CGI of bug-eyed aliens (their only appearance for maybe 1-2 min out of 2.5 hour movie)
What would have made a better move would have been to cut the magic and make it more believable, much more focus on the cover-up - what the government was actually seeing/collecting/studying etc, maybe more like a documentary than fantasy. MUCH more effort should have been put into the CGI, and the aliens could have been a bit more imaginative, not just bug-eyed air-breathing humanoids.
Comment Re:Queue the jealousy and entitlement (Score 1) 315
Musk has risked almost every penny he has on multiple occasions.
I agree he has an extremely high risk tolerance, though that doesn't make him a good person.
He has created, commercialized or drastically improved four things (five if you count the boring company). The 1T of his wealth benefits society in the products we all consume, the environmental gains (he was the first to mass produce electric cars profitably), the jobs he has created and the taxes paid by him, his companies and his workers.
His car company is pretty small as car companies go, SpaceX means some new satellites, but Starlink is the only thing that's really making a difference to normal people. And Neuralink might help a lot of people in the future, but it largely R&D now.
His wealth doesn't come from what his companies have done. It comes from his ability as a promoter and its ridiculous effect on the stock price.
the environmental gains (he was the first to mass produce electric cars profitably),
He worked hard to get Trump re-elected, if he was in fact the tipping point, he has harmed the environment far more than he has helped.
Not to mention all the potentially hundreds of thousands of people who died due to his cuts to DOGE.
Do you see any socialists doing any of these things? This is one capitalistic person. He's done more for the environment than any green party. He's created more wealth and better jobs than all communists combined.
It sounds like this is more to do with your ideology than Elon Musk.
Comment Re:Racism. (Score 2) 227
The entire original argument for Brexit was based on racist nationalism.
They wanted to kick the foreigners out (while still letting their own elite vacation in Europe).
Humans are tribal, in modern times that tribe is usually their nation, and they care deeply about the survival of their tribe.
If immigration is seen as changing the fundamental nature of that tribe (nation) people will resist it.
We need to figure out a way to deal with that fact if we want to continue to have relatively open borders.