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Comment Re: Happy cooling and triple redundancy. (Score 1) 94

Well, for things headed out, power supplies are the crucial problem. For things in the inner solar system, solar storms are irregular, but *will* happen. So I'm not really convinced by this test for anything but LEO (as those are temporary anyway).

That said, as long as it's intended for "special missions" it's reasonable. But AI is power hungry compared to fixed electronics, so that's going to be a continuing problem.

Comment Re:master race dreams (Score 1) 94

The problem with testing radiation hardness that way is that solar storms are quite erratic and severe ones are infrequent...but definitely not absent.

This test may work for things intended for low Earth orbit, as those are temporary anyway, but I don't think it's going to validate other uses. A better choice would be to send something to orbit Jupiter, where harsh radiation challenges are predictably present.

Comment Re:"We're not really looking for what's true," (Score 2) 59

Almost nothing on Wikipedia is true, but all of it is "verifiable" in that there's at least one published source making the claim. Even if 99.9% of all other sources say the opposite.

(The Haka is not, for example, a war chant. Which is attested to, but because it's claimed to be online, it is "verifiable".)

Comment Wikipedia has a vast number of errors. (Score 1) 59

The number of errors is huge, the number of "official editors" who know anything about the subject is extremely small, and this has always been the case. This is why nobody reputable cites Wikipedia. Wikipedia is where you go to find out what is potentially interesting, but you ALWAYS obtain the facts from elsewhere, if you've any sense.

Comment Re:LexisNexis (Score 1) 27

Well, if all cars do the same thing, you have a good point. I haven't looked in the last decade, but the last time I did there were lots of alternatives. I admit many posts over the months have been saying that this isn't true any longer...or that this is why they only drive (some model) used car.

But it's still not as bad as Flock (et al.), which doesn't even ask for permission.

Comment Re:"We're looking for what's verifiable." (Score 2) 59

Claiming that "Most psychology experiments are not replicated" is both true and irrelevant. Most psychology experiments are done to satisfy arbitrary rules. When I took a psych class, I had to sign up for, I think, one experiment per week. None of them were either replicated or significant.

There *are* psychology experiments that are replicated. Some survive replication, some don't. The ones that aren't replicated aren't important...and there are lots of experiments in other sciences that aren't replicated unless there's a good reason. Many are so expensive that replication is done only if it appears to be needed. (The experiment was done and it agrees with theory. OK.)

Comment Re:That's not AI Psychosis (Score 1) 164

Actually those two stances are NOT incompatible. I'm not sure they're both true, but they might well be.

Finding a code exploit is a task with an easily validated result. That's where AI is best.
Writing code that doesn't have exploits doesn't have a easy check. So AI is not as good there.

You could use a harness to check for exploits after you wrote the code, but that increases both time and cost, and isn't guaranteed to find all the exploits. (People and AIs think differently, and don't recognize all the same patterns.)

This will probably change. AIs have "jagged competence", but the areas that they are weak have been getting stronger. For now, however (and as I understand it) there are still many areas where humans are more competent than publicly available AIs.

It's quite plausible that sometime next year Yang's reported claims will be appropriate. OTOH, that would imply massive other changes, also. And it's also possible that the claims will still be exaggerated.

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