Comment Re: Pepperidge Farm remembers! (Score 1) 12
I know, I know, this is Slashdot and I should be happy you read past the title, but c'mon man, try a bit harder?
People thought that I was crazy for wearing this sharply angled black stealth suit.
Who's laughing now?
I suspect most of the amplification of right wing noise has something to do with the left wingishness of the complainers.
My stance comes from seeing it from the other side. I'm comfortably right of center and my previous experience with Twitter (x is a stupid name) is that it absolutely was a left wing echo chamber. It indeed was rather calmer because of the aggressive pruning of any conservative voices.*
I believe the algo serves you aggressively oppositional views to spur contrary posting and raise engagement. It's a rather simplistic but effective tactic. If you're leftish, you get served the worst of the right, along with a strong current of fringe left views to affirm you are "reasonably left, not like those crazies". If you're conservative you get the worst of the left, and a current of toxic right wing enough to affirm that you're not that far right.
My "for you" feed is exclusively militant socialists, feminists, pro trans activists, leftist local politicians (not hard to find as I'm in MN) all just ceaselessly toxic people.
My "following" is like wise a cess pool of right wing commenters, the worst of the worst shouting all sorts of racist, anti women nonsense, interspersed with occasionally interesting comments about ttrpg games and science subjects that are actually interesting.
I joke that "for you" is comments entirely from people I completely disagree with and despise. "Following" is only *mostly* people I disagree with and despise.
(I actually "follow" only maybe a dozen people in science, tech, ttrpg gaming, and work-related subjects. No politics, no dogmatics of either side. Certainly no politicians.)
As a result, I spend almost no time on Twitter
*(Nota bene to this day I still have a banned account from just before musk's takeover for a post in a David Axelrod thread, observing that transsexual strippers & burlesque dancers seemed to militantly insist on the right to dance in front of children to "express themselves" but I'd failed to see any comparable insistence to dancing in front of the elderly.)
About the most succinct, blather free summary I've seen.
Unfortunately, and definitely not to credit the legions of ai snake-oil sales going on, Jevons paradox probably means that rather than ai ushering in some sort of low-work utopia, we'll more likely indeed just figure out how to use it properly and end up back at 40 hour work weeks with (likely) an explosion of increased productivity.
I don't know how we get there personally but that's the sort of blindness we have before paradigms genuinely change, like the coming of the Internet.
New here? Slashdot has been suffused with politics for two decades, as tech stories are largely replaced with a feed that's more and more like the usual social media cesspool of left and right wing dogmatics shutting at each other.
When a candidate is granted a professorship based on race, and then militantly (irrationally) defended again largely based on race, how is nobody supposed to bring that up?
Whether we like it or not, whether we use Windows or not, Microsoft is going to insist on adding the tax whether the PC comes shipped with Windows or not. This is illegal bundling, Microsoft has essentially ignored prior rulings, and it's pretty much a certainty the courts will be fine with this.
My university did the opposite, and to this day I think it was good.
At the end of the first semester, you were given a test in the three most important subjects for your field. If you failed, you could re-take it after the summer break, before next semester starts. If you failed it again, you could repeat the first semester and try a third and final time. Fail that, you're out.
It was hard, too. In my class, we were just over a hundred when we started. We were 28 in the 2nd semester. But of those 28, almost everyone made it to the end. Everyone who would've failed somewhere along the way had already been weeded out.
It was brutal, it was stressful - but IMHO it was the best way to do it and be respectful of both student time and university resources.
We had that in 1st grade. Not university, school. So students starting university have now regressed to the level of 6-year-olds ?
I get that it's stressful. I don't get how "managing stress" has vanished from the requirements of getting a degree.
Investors are chasing a company that achieves some kind of AI singularity. Let's set aside the fact that there's no reason to believe there is anything but diminishing marginal returns by making marginal refinements to current frontier models. Let's imagine someone hits the jackpot and gets, not even AGI, but a system that's as far ahead of today's frontier model are ahead of 2020's GPT 2.0 in performance.
Globally AI revenues are 150 billion, against a cumulative burn rate of 450 billion. A model that is a generation ahead of others would almost certainly capture the lion's share of that revenue.
If AGI magically appears as a Sam Altman has promised investors it will, a hundred million is way too low. Add, maybe, another zero to the revenues.
Conservatively, a safer assumption is that frontier models will get marginally better based on refinements in training and reinforcement and the other bits and bobs that go into these systems. The nobody is winning the lion's share of anything, at least overnight. But you have to define "safe". By "safe" I mean unlikely to lose money. But some investors are clearly defining "safe" as "having the greatest chance of owning a piece of the biggest thing ever."
I'm not following this super-closely, but if Anthropic is pursuing adding multi-step model based reasoning to their system, that could be the basis of a generational leap in capability. But if that is an approach that looks like it has a chance of working, then their competitors are no doubt pursuing the same thing. In that case you'd expect the revenue pie to grow as the scope of model utilty increases, but that growth to be split among several competitors. This could credibly result in a revenue stream for some of them that is as big as the entire industry's revenue stream today. But there's going to be hell to pay on the data center impacts end of things.
If the original ToS on Twitch grants Amazon a license to create derivative works then they don't have anything to worry about.
It's like your local superstation had the rights to run ads on Star Trek in addition to the license fee they paid but they didn't therefore get a right to create a new Star Trek series or publish a "Best Moments of STTNG 1989" show around the holidays.
Now if they had gone to Paramount about the Best-Of show in theory they could have negotiated a license for that, having already been media partners. Heck, some software company got Riker to pitch their product from the Bridge.
The big authors' settlement with OpenAI sets at least some precedent in this nascent field of IP law (which is enforced whether we like it or not).
But I've never heard of a Twitch streamer talking about a derivative work that Amazon created from their show using their words or likeness.
To be fair Youtube does indeed do a yearly "best of" show.
Who knows, maybe we'll see an AI Hassan Piker doing and saying some wildly ill-advised shit in the near future. Would not be entirety shocking.
To the landlord belongs the doorknobs.