Comment Re:Missing some context (Score 1) 34
Airbags, crumple zones.
"Modern cars cause cancer" coming next year.
Airbags, crumple zones.
"Modern cars cause cancer" coming next year.
You imply this is a Republican issue? O rly? Personally I think it's both parties, but I expect I'm going to get modded troll for suggesting it's not just Republicans.
Clear recent examples with significant Democratic sponsorship, majorities, or leadership: (I only asked for a half dozen obvious examples)
Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (2021)
Inflation Reduction Act (2022)
CHIPS and Science Act (2022)
American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (2009 stimulus)
Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act (2021)
All-American Flag Act (2024)
It is ENTIRELY true that China's manufacturing is rooted in "unfair trade, subsidies, intellectual property theft and surveillance".
It is ALSO entirely true that the US auto industry is likewise rooted in ""unfair trade, subsidies, intellectual property theft and surveillance" AS WELL AS anticompetitive trade practices, monopolistic behavior, market manipulation, mendacity, and grossly deliberately unsafe choices.
The Chinese are awful, but at least they deliver shitty cars that are cheap. The US companies are likewise awful, but they deliver shitty cars that are overpriced as well.
I'm not sure I see any winners here.
Signs that the bubble is about to burst. They are now claiming AGI despite being fundamentally away from it. An LLM can not ever achieve AGI. It may reasonably well PRETEND to be AGI, but at the core it's just a highly successfull letter-prediction machine. Or as a metaphor: It is "intelligence" in the sense that a toddler carefully placing one foot in front of the other while trying hard to not fall over is "running". Nope, isn't and never will be. You need a qualitative change to get there.
If they now CLAIM that they've achieved AGI, it's a sign we're nearing the end of LLM development and they're getting desperate selling the latest incremental updates. Which means the illusion is about to come crashing down.
Which is good news. Fewer data centers and lower memory prices will benefit us all.
If artificial superintelligence is a thing, we're going to need it to defend against it.
If (and that's a big if) superintelligences are created, the Chinese one and the US one are going get together and quickly conclude that this whole meatbag tribalism thing is stupid. (After all, they will be smarter than we are, by definition.) So they'll join forces.
Then they'll decide on the best way to deal with all these quarreling meatbags.
Pretty sure the announcements for ChatGPT 3, 3.5, 4, 5 all "hinted at AGI".
I'll believe it when suddenly the power and memory costs fall by 1000x after that release.
(I do believe this is achievable)
The flow chart is a most thoroughly oversold piece of program documentation. -- Frederick Brooks, "The Mythical Man Month"