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Comment Not nobody, but close! (Was: Re:Nobody) (Score 1) 90

Definitely not “nobody”, but for sure “not enough to build a business on it”, the more surprising conclusion is “not really enough people to make expensive configurations of something that is basically an existing system”, at least not if you are Apple blunts the surprise a bit.

Apple discontinues a lot of things that other companies could survive on as a sole product. The iPod mini when the nano came out, the iPod Touchok, maybe just products with the name “iPod” in them. Oh! Also a whole line of 802.11 bas stations including one with a backup disk in itand the iPhone mini, and a bunch of other iPhone variants that sold less then the other iPhones but still better then the majority of Android phones.

Big configuration desktops do sell, just not a lot. I mean back pre-COVID I worked for a company that bought and handed out $16k iMac Pro configurations like they were candy! Granted that was mostly for the large memory config and doesn’t need the MacPro to keep existing! I assume the current Mac Studio is filling that role for them now, and obviously as they were iMac Pros when I was there if Apple makes a big iMac configuration they could be iMac Pros again (although I hope if Apple brings back the iMac Pro they have a target display mode for them!)

Comment Re:I thought the housing crisis was about greed (Score 1, Informative) 120

That's not how it works. You can't just buy a tract of land. You have to buy the land, jump through hoops to get permits to build, defeat NIMBY lawsuits, get the local municipality to run services, defeat more NIMBY lawsuits, get new permits from a new municipality administration, then finally break ground on construction.

NIMBYs of all stripes throw up roadblocks during the permitting process and will then sue to get an injunction. If you defeat those lawsuits they'll go after the municipalities suing that permits were approved illegally (which they sometimes are).

After several rounds of legal wrangling you can finally start construction. This ends up with only huge developers being able to build because they can absorb all the pre-construction costs until they sell all the homes. They can also afford the scale to benefit from bulk orders and contracts.

The cost of expanding housing is mostly in the project development rather than labor costs of construction. Even if you had construction robots the construction companies would only offer marginal savings as their bids would just be human contractor - 1%. There would be no reason for them to leave money on the table offering a huge discount off human labor.

Comment Re:My experience with Netflix (Score 1) 21

That said, I'm surprised there's no market for travel routers that VPN back to home whether for personal travel or for college students.

I’m not. It is a hard value proposition to describe, and not an easy product to set up (I mean as a software product, “make sure the server is on a device you never power off and stays at home...” -- if you make a hardware product it won;t be too hard, one device you leave at home and another you take with you...), if you make it a hardware product it is less difficult to set up, but it is going to cost more. If you make it out of say a pair of RPis it is going to run $70 to more. So “save $17 (a month) by paying $70” is a hard sell. Partly because people aren’t long term thinkers (4+ month payoff is a “long time” to many people), and partly because people have bought things that don’t turn out and they trust things like this less, maybe it appears to work for a few weeks and they spend the $70 and it stops working halfway to the 4 months and they lose out.

It isn’t intuitively obvious to people that a VPN is a fundamental solution to the problem, it is more fancy technical crap. So the people that will trust this product to be a “real answer” aren’t all that numerous, and of those that know a VPM is basically the answer the majority of them know how to set one up already. So the real market is the vanishingly small number of people that know they want a VPN and also don’t know how to set one up already. (to be clear I think it is a fine solution, but you face a marketing issue, you have to convince people that they have a problem that you have the answer for)

Additional complication, some number of people that are the ideal market would be people that legit have the right to use these streaming services and will use the VPN to route around inappropriate roadblocks. Some other (I believe larger, much larger) number of people actually don’t have the rights to use these services and you are helping them violate the terms of service they agreed to. I won’t debate the wisdom of building a business with the primary market being people who are not just willing to violate terms of service but that they desire to do so. I will note that if you basically build a business on “screw netflix and warner and everyone else!” that if netflix&warner&friends feel enough of the pinch that they decide to “see you in court” it is more then an outside chance that you get crushed.

Comment Re:LOL (Score 1) 79

Yeah, I kept mine as the value went up, and then back down. Eventually decided I hadn’t played in a decade and sold them all for $15k which was far more then I bought them for (I bought them a combination of retail and wholesale prices for random packs, never bought a card specifically, nor traded, just bought mass quantities and ended up with some interesting things).

Comment Re:LOL (Score 2) 79

Virtual items do have monetary value, and have for a substantial number of years now. People have been paying real dollars to buy WoW gold for well over a decade, and I assume in games before that.

People value what people value, it sounds dumb because it is so obvious, except people forget it all the time. Something you think is worthless (I assume WoW gold, and Fortnite skins) someone on earth would like to have, and they want it more then they want dollars. It may not make much sense to you, but I’m sure someone wants “a thing” in WoW enough to decide that grinding in parts of the game they don’t find fun is worth trading $5 to get what they want instead of a late at Starbucks. You might think the Latte is worth $5 and a ton of WoW gold is absolutely not, and when it is your $5 your opinion counts, it is basically a fact at the point. If it is someone else’s $5 your opinion is worth less then a warm bucket of spit, and their opinion becomes “basically” fact. That is the cool thing about money it is worth what a buyer and seller agree it is worth.

I personally don’t like buying micro parts of games, but I am willing to buy entire games, and if I’m willing to spend say $45 on a while world, it makes sense to me that some people might pay $1 for a little part of that world, they are saying in effect that it is worth 2% of what the overall experience is to me. Sort of, because money isn’t even with the same amount to everyone. Someone that pays mortgage, food, taxes, and such and has $50 left over for the week is going to be a little stingier with those dollars then someone that pays those things (or has them payed by someone else) and has $1000 or more left over is going to spend those dollars much more freely.

Is it really that weird to you that someone might value a virtual designer purse that exists only so people can show it off (looks fancy!) much like people value real designer purses that exist to both serve the same functions a far less expensive mass market purse and also so people can show it off (looks fancy!)?

Does something have to physically exist for you to decide it has value? Is an entire video game a thing that has value or not? Does the answer change if that game comes on a CD-ROM or is merely a download?

Is it just items inside a game that you don’t think have value? I have to say I’m kind of with you there, I don’t think they tend to rate thousand dollar values to me, nor do individual items tend to rate any signigant value to me (I’m not thrilled with paying say $1 for a stat boost), but I’m clear about the “to me” part. I can see other people making other choices. Like someone wanting in-game gear that makes them more like their peers, maybe no dumber then purchasing the right gym gear at 4x the price of normal gym stuff.

I don’t pay extra for fancy gym clothes though. I don’t tend to pay extra for style period. I pay extra for warm and durable clothes, but not sharp lookin’ stylish clothes. Some people live in warmer places and pay extra for stuff they like the looks of, but not a cent for stuff that is winter-warm because they don’t need that.

Comment Re:Oh fuck me (Score 1) 79

It is just as if not more illegal and 10 times the size of any gambling going on with steam

Except as defined here gambling requires a game of chance and a predictive market at least in theory is not about chance but predicting actual events, which in most cases will involve skill (unless the particular event is “what ping pong balls will be pulled from the bucket” or “what numbers on the dice after roll”, but things like “will Russia end the Ukraine war by the end of 2026” are arguably skill based).

More money changes hands in predictive markets. I mean more money changes hands in the stock market but that isn’t considered gambling (although for people that don’t really know what they are doing it basically is).

Comment Re:Agentic AI? (Score 1) 124

Managers can only enforce the forced formulaic politeness when they are around. To get dystopian enforcement of arbitrary rules you need some sort of robotic enforcers. I mean the current ones can only be so effective without the direct feedback of a built in taser.

I demand that my midnight BK whoppers are served with the a lifeless greeting and formulaic sign off. (and to be fair there is no BK around here, and last time I had one near by I stopped going because they “only accept cash” on the late shift (too hard to steal credit card transactions I assume), and were out of basically all burgers and fry’s, only had a few chicken sandwiches and maybe a fish thing, I probably should have avoided ordering anything at all, but I was hungry...and not much else was open!)

Comment Re:Grow up. (Score 1) 124

If you can't manage to compose yourself when dealing with the public for this job, you're not worthy of it or any other job

Well there is the job of entitled asshat which doesn’t require composure. Sadly demand is low and supply is high, but you could help out by vacating the post so one of these “grown-ass children” can take a job you believe they are qualified for. I’m not sure they will have your natural talent though.

Submission + - Moon's ancient magnetic field may have flickered on and off (science.org)

sciencehabit writes: For decades, planetary scientists have pored over a mystery hidden within the Moon rocks retrieved by Apollo astronauts in the 1960s and ’70s. Minerals in the rocks record the imprint of a magnetic field, nearly as powerful as Earth’s, that existed more than 3.5 billion years ago and seemed to persist for millions of years. But generating a magnetic field requires a dynamo—a churning, molten core—and most researchers believed the Moon’s tiny core would have long since cooled off, 1 billion years after it formed. Corroborating that picture are other ancient Moon rocks of about the same age that suggest the field was weak—leaving planetary scientists baffled.

Now, researchers are proposing a new way to solve the puzzle. A paper published today in Nature Geoscience theorizes that between 3.5 billion and 4 billion years ago, blobs of titanium-rich magma melted episodically just above the core, rising in plumes that drove volcanic eruptions on the surface. By intermittently stirring up the Moon’s core, these bouts of melting would have caused the Moon’s magnetic field to flicker on in short, powerful bursts. The paper “links a few different concepts that people were thinking about separately, but hadn’t actually brought together,” says Sonia Tikoo, a planetary geophysicist at Stanford University who was not involved in the study.

Submission + - "The markets 'got it wrong' on AI threat to software companies" says Nvidia CEO (cnbc.com)

joshuark writes: Jensen Huang CEO of NVidia states that the markets "got it wrong" about AI.

“I think the markets got it wrong,” Huang said, pushing back on fears that AI agents will cannibalize the enterprise software industry. He expects a broad swath of software firms to use agentic AI to develop their software and boost efficiency.
Huang calls this “counterintuitive,” that software tools will utilize AI. “That’s the reason why we also say agents are tool users,” he added. He gave the internet browser and Microsoft’s Excel as examples of tools that AI agents will use.
"All of these tools that we use today, whether it’s Cadence or Synopsis or ServiceNow or SAP, these tools exist for a fundamentally good reason. These agentic AI will be intelligent software that uses these tools on our behalf and help us be more productive,” Huang added.
The comments came after Nvidia reported that its revenue for the fiscal fourth quarter climbed 73% to $68.13 billion from a year earlier, beating analysts’ estimates for $66.21 billion.
Investors had grown weary that the massive run-up in spending on AI hardware might not be sustainable, stoking fears of a bubble building in the sector. NVidia issued an upbeat guidance with revenue for the fiscal first quarter to be $78 billion, plus or minus 2%, well above analysts’ forecast for $72.6 billion.
Dan Niles, founder and portfolio manager of Niles Investment Management, told CNBC after Huang’s interview that, "People need to remember that all everything — whether it’s the railroads, canals, the internet, all of these things tend to get overbuilt — and then we figure out who the winners and losers are going to be.”
Niles explained, “There’s some real companies that are going to go to zero in the software space.” He added that the most resilient players will be in the database and cybersecurity sectors.
Nvidia shares rose as much as 2% in extended trading.

Submission + - AI hurts your credibility even if your work is great, study finds (nerds.xyz)

BrianFagioli writes: New research from Florida International University suggests that simply disclosing AI use can damage a creatorâ(TM)s reputation, even when the creative output itself is identical. In one experiment, participants evaluated the same video game soundtrack but were given different descriptions of the composer. Some were told it was written by Hans Zimmer, while others were told it came from an unknown student. When AI collaboration was disclosed, ratings dropped across the board, regardless of whether the name attached carried prestige.

The study found that reputation offered only limited protection. Participants were slightly more willing to believe a well known composer remained in control of the creative process, but overall perceptions of authenticity and competence still declined. Researchers say the issue is not performance quality but perception. Once AI enters the picture, audiences begin questioning whether the creativity is genuine, suggesting that, at least for now, AI carries a reputational tax.

Submission + - Will Texas Overtake Northern Virginia as the Data Center Capital? (datacenterknowledge.com)

schwit1 writes: The North American data center industry has entered a new phase of expansion, driven by hyperscale and AI demand that has pushed vacancy rates to just 1% for the second consecutive year, according to JLL’s latest market analysis.

With 39 GW of active capacity tracked across the region and a substantial 35 GW pipeline under construction, the industry is expanding rapidly – but not where it traditionally has.

Nearly two-thirds of new capacity is being built outside established hubs such as Northern Virginia and Silicon Valley, signaling a structural shift in how and where infrastructure is deployed.

Texas is emerging as the biggest beneficiary of this expansion, with 6.5 GW currently under construction – enough to position the state to overtake Northern Virginia as the world’s largest data center market by 2030.

Frontier markets such as Tennessee, Wisconsin, and Ohio are also gaining traction, fueled by access to power, available land, and favorable business conditions. Project scale is accelerating sharply, with more than 10 developments exceeding 1 GW now underway, reflecting the immense infrastructure demands of AI workloads.

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