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Comment Re:US fabs? (Score 1) 58

They use TSMC and Samsung, so South Korea, Taiwan, or, theoretically, the US.

Components sourced from U.S. and allied-country suppliers account for more than 90% of the BlueChip prototypes’ component procurement cost.

Both South Korea and Taiwan are US allies.

The more interesting question is what are the 10% that they aren't sourcing from allies?

Comment Re:AI use is like drugs (Score 1) 89

AI use is like drugs. The people using it didn't realize what they are doing to the people around them.

Well said. This is a very succinct way of describing the secondary effects for everyone around someone using AI to feel "more productive". Sending people massive emails you didn't even bother to read, creating huge design documents that are just dozens of meaningless pages and offer nothing of tangible value, or asking fellow developers to reviews 50,000 line code changes you didn't write (or read), etc.

I use AI at work for development and I know that the frontier models in a harness like Claude Code are more capable than many AI critics claim but I also see the results they create in a skeptical light. For a prediction chatbot they are surprisingly good at writing software, but also surprisingly bad compared to a decently skilled human. They can generate massive amounts of design documents and code in a very short time, and easily overwhelm humans trying to read, review, verify, and test the changes. The same thing is happening in other kinds work as well.

Drug use is an apt metaphor. The Dr Feelgood of this decade.

United States

US Designates Helium As a Critical Material (apnews.com) 106

An anonymous reader quotes a report from the Associated Press: The U.S. designated helium as a critical material on Friday because it's indispensable for making semiconductors that are essential to energy generation, and the global supply is at risk of disruption, according to the Energy Department. The designation by the Energy Department means that more federal financing will be available for helium producers and that the government will monitor it more closely. Helium is primarily produced as a byproduct of natural gas processing. The United States is the world's largest producer of natural gas and of helium. Qatar and Russia are the other top helium producers.

[...] Helium makes balloons rise, but that's not why the DOE is interested in it. Helium plays an important role in wind, solar and nuclear energy production, space exploration, medical imaging and research. Assistant Secretary of Energy Audrey Robertson said helium's unique properties make it irreplaceable, such as the fact that it's non-combustible and has the lowest boiling point of any gas. The nation needs an ample supply for semiconductors, quantum and super computing, and superconducting magnets, added Robertson, who oversees the Office of Critical Minerals and Energy Innovation.

[...] Despite environmental concerns with recovering helium from natural gas, there are also opportunities, said Greeshma Gadikota, director of the Lenfast Center for Sustainable Energy at Columbia University. "If we burn the natural gas, there are a lot of CO2 emissions associated with that," Gadikota said. "But if you just extract the helium and use it, the uses of it don't contribute necessarily to greenhouse gas emissions. "So from a climate standpoint, if we are going to continue down the line of extracting natural gas and recovering helium," she added, "I would prefer to see natural gas being used in a form where we directly produce hydrogen and we produce solid carbon." Hydrogen is a clean burning fuel, and solid carbon can provide permanent carbon sequestration and can be used widely in industrial applications, including rubber and pigments.

Comment Re:Where does all the money come from? (Score 1) 69

What I've heard is a market cap well north of a trillion dollars is expected.

Yes. As I said, market cap or "valued at" doesn't mean that's how much money people put in.

It is losing money combined with being a commodity + rapid obsolescence that seems strange to me.

Then don't buy shares. Anthropic is making an offer, which you can accept, or not. I certainly won't be. There are lots of good general reasons why you should never buy an IPO, especially as an individual investor. I'm not sure what's strange about it though. Lots of successful companies deal in commodities, including perishable ones, from whoever you buy your food from to Facebook and Microsoft.

Comment Re:Where does all the money come from? (Score 1) 69

Billions, not trillions. Two trillion is what you get when you multiply the hypothetical share price by the number of shares. They'll just sell a small fraction of them.

And yes, people do it all the time. Notable examples include Amazon, Uber, etc. Most American companies are not profitable at IPO:

https://www.sciencedirect.com/...

Comment Re:Vibe coded huh? (Score 1) 68

This proposal is a bit like the hypothetical "why didn't we use the space shuttle to rescue the Apollo 13 astronauts" question. Yeah, you just go ahead and do that then.

Well, dude did go ahead and do that. Whether it's a useful approach is certainly debatable, but since there's a working prototype, anyone can test it and find out.

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