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Comment Offshore vs on shore cost - wrong metric (Score 1) 328

The cost of installing wind isn't the economic driver. It's the spot price when the wind blows. In Ohio, Pennsylvania and Ontario the wind blows the hardest a night in March and April. This also coincides with the lowest demand for that region. The spot price actually would go negative. Offshore wind, in the most valuable locations, blows the hardest at peak demand times. On January 26th this year the spot price for electricity in Boston hit $0.66/kWh. In February 2021 prices in Texas hit the price cap of $9/kWh for several days. So generating electricity at the correct time is very important.

Also we are dumb as f$#k in how we manage the grid and are incapable incentivizing residential and commercial electric consumers to match their demand to supply.

Side note. We still can't economically store electric energy. Batteries and pumped hydro still have too high of maintenance costs to recoup their costs even with the large swings in prices. They are both currently used more for grid stability. There will come a tipping point, when batteries become less expensive and have more charge cycles when we will see a huge increase in grid battery storage.

Comment Rust and AI are trying to solve the wrong problem (Score 1) 31

A programming language is a language that you use to explicitly describe what you want a computer to do. If you can't describe what you want the computer to do no amount of AI or new fangled language will help. I sort of liked Rust over C in that it stops idiots from doing stupid things (and smart people from accidentally doing dumb things) but in the end all it does is makes the idiots slightly harder to spot. You and your company actually need to sit down and figure out what you want before hammering on the keyboard or you will always get crap.

Comment Fruit of the poisoned tree (Score 1) 114

Anyone with a good lawyer and lots of money can get out of a conviction now if they show any of their location data was harvested illegally by a third party and the US government bought that data and might have used that data to gather further evidence. As if the US justice system wasn't already a two tier system...

Comment Re:Match demand to supply - political problem (Score 1) 135

In this case OG&E and their investors wanted the new solution. They had already invested money, taken the risk and seen a return far beyond what they expected using the new pricing model. Everyone involved saw this as a revolutionary shift to matching demand to supply. It would have significantly increased the value of semi predictable renewables like wind and solar. For the public utility regulator, who's job it is to keep rates low, this should have been a no brainer. They were just unwilling to even consider changing the utility profit model that has been in place in all of North America for the last 100 years. I have never been so frustrated in all my life.

Comment Match demand to supply - political problem (Score 2) 135

Trigger warning - this comment contains political stupidity that may anger technical people. Before May 1, 2025 the spot price of electricity in Ontario, Canada, Ohio and Pennsylvania would vary in March between $-0.02/kWh and $1.50. In the summer it might break $5/kWh. Other than a few industrial consumers, most people didn't pay this. The over price consumers paid during low demand paid for the subsidized price they pay during peak demand. This removes any incentive to switch when you consume electricity. Today, with the added fees that are charged per kWh, the change in price between peak demand and low demand, don't make it worth anyone's effort to shift when they consume electricity. I'm not going to finish doing laundry at 1am for a 20% savings in electricity.

I once worked on a pilot project to have people pay closer to the spot price and to give them the ability to automatically shift some demand. At the end of the month people were given the old billing price and the new spot price method and only had to pay the lesser of the two. The median savings for people who took advantage of the new pricing was $50/month (people in Oklahoma have huge air conditioners and no home insulation). The monthly savings to OG&E were non trivial per customer and they would have saved 2.2B by not needing to build peaker plants.

The politics of how Electric utilities are funded meant this wasn't viable. OG&E's profits are guaranteed to be 12% of whatever capital they have built. The 2.2B in peaker plants were already approved and would have increased OG&E's profit by 260M a year. Investors would have borrowed at 3.75% (US prime rate in 2016) and gotten a 12% return. Expanding the pilot from 100,000 homes to all of Oklahoma, if successful would have meant not having to build the peaker plants. The Oklahoma regulator would not budge giving OG&E any reason to go with the cost saving approach so the project was scrapped and the peaker plants built.

Comment Copyright should be void if no copy (Score 0) 52

If an entity has lost its copy of a creative work then the copyright should be voided. There is no possible way the entity could further profit from something they can't distribute and they have violated their part of the contract with society by not giving the work to society when the copyright expires. This should also be true of any media if at the end of the copyright society would not be able to fully enjoy the work of art. This means for video games or computer programs if the entity owning it must produce the working program, the code to compile to make the program and a working machine to run the program on.

Comment Services, Light industry and consumer products (Score 1) 384

Building planes and ships and fast cars always seems sexy but how many car companies are profitable for decades without subsidies, government bailouts, tariffs, special tax breaks and the ability to externalize costs like pollution? If we look at the path to becoming a high income country, heavy industry is not the path. Services, software, toys, appliances, luxury items, computers, are the path. The old communist countries were making almost as much steel, ships and planes as the west and their incomes were a fraction of what we have. My kids want walkable cities. They don't want to spend 20% of their disposable income on buying, maintaining and insuring a car. The sooner we stop politically choosing industries to protect and let market forces decided what to make the better.

Comment The President was always king (Score 2) 393

Americans just didn't know it. There are no consequence to the US president violating the constitution. The US constitution isn't a legal document in the sense that it doesn't clearly state rules and consequences for breaking them. Most of it reads like campaign promises. The US congress has always been useless and corrupt. The concept of a nation state wasn't invented (reinvented) until Napoleon. The USA was at its founding a union of 13 independent countries. The slogans, er, constitution never worked. The American civil war was a lie, it was a conquest by one group of countries over another. The US congress was useless as the executive of the government so the full time presidency was invented, and then given all the power to run a government that the US constitution never envisioned. So the President became the sole controller of the armed forces and the executive of the government. Almost all US federal government workers answer to the President. The President can tell those workers to do anything he wants and there are no guards against it. So even if the President violates the rules, if the majority of congress let him, there is no other mechanism to stop him.

Comment Was it worth what we gave up? (Score 1) 78

We jail punish people to
1. deter others,
2. to protect society from criminals
3. to reform criminals

I very much doubt jailing this man will do any of these three things. In the mean time we have given up our privacy and allowed the government yet another powerful way to track us.
So, other than revenge, can anyone say society is better off because of this new power to solve old crimes?

Comment Just tax green house gas emissions (Score 1) 141

And let the free market decide the best way to solve global warming. Full buses are so much more environmentally friendly you could run them on coal and be better for the environment than all the cars they replace, even if those cars were electric. Cities should only be deciding what busses are the cheapest to run. They shouldn't be betting on technologies or virtue signaling with their purchases.

Comment Everyone wants the taxes and the service (Score 1) 24

Everyone wants the services the data centers provide. They want their data in their country, they want facebook, slashdot...and but those all need ads as well. People want to work from home and their companies don't want to host their own data. Oh and voters want the taxes, the construction jobs and the good pay jobs running the data center. The electric grid wants a large, paying customer that has a predictable electricity that doesn't have a peak at the same time as the rest of the gird. So everyone wants the data center just no one wants it near them. Kind of like landfills, homeless shelters and new housing. NIMBY

Comment USA is 75% of the market - rest not enough (Score -1, Troll) 247

Americans are 5% of the worlds population but pay for 75% of the commercialization of new drugs and procedures. As much as the rest of the world criticizes US healthcare we are fine leaching off it and accepting the new drugs it produces. In fact of the remaining 25% of bringing new stuff to market the Bill and Melinda Gates foundation has been responsible for some of it. They don't spend a lot in global terms but they are very effective in what they do spend on.

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