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Comment Re:right on (Score 1) 57

He actually is right on. His claim wasn't for the future of AI, just as the "maybe five computers" wasn't for the future of computing. 20-30% of code being written by computers in -- as stated in TFSummary -- three to six months is a bang on prediction and all the snark in the world won't make it happen any sooner. Furthermore taking coding from the level of "do a great job in programming competitions" to "do a decent job in the real world" will require something close to AGI. I'm predicting
all decent code for real world more complex projects will be done and/or gone over line by line and revised by humans for the next 12 years. That's every real world coding task involving APIs which change, the need to remember what you were working on three pages up, multiple systems with different interfaces, the need to understand the business you're working for, the need to understand the Pointy Haired Boss's demands or the need to deal with pretty much anything unexpected.

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As you will see, I told them, in no uncertain terms, to see Figure one. -- Dave "First Strike" Pare

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