Comment Once is happenstance (Score 0) 70
One model going down is happenstance, two — a coincidence, the third one — it's enemy action.
— James Bond
One model going down is happenstance, two — a coincidence, the third one — it's enemy action.
— James Bond
Same argument, govt subsidies for buggy whips. The govt needs to set these rules for the benefit of the people, not to support companies trying to keep selling obsolete and uncompetitive legacy technology products.
A related phenomenon is, Holocaust survivors live(d) longer. There is no good explanation and repeating the experiment is, thankfully, quite impossible...
Simply the Forbes link was enough to confirm this point
Nope. One link is not enough — from the very beginning I asked, that each citation consist of two links: one to the prediction being made, the other — to confirmation/discussion of it coming true. Another rule was, the two links must be at least 5 years apart.
The purpose is easy to understand. A person can privately record 20 predictions of, say, an average temperature somewhere changing from -10 to +9 degrees. Five years later one of them will have made a precise match, and Forbes will write about him. If you didn't know about his 19 other predictions, you'll be impressed... This is why I insist on the prediction to have been published — prominently — ahead of time.
you purposely ignore the arguments
Because I was not asking for arguments — I was asking for citations...
The case against Big Tobacco was based on the fact, that their product was actually addictive. Nicotine is not just psychologically, but chemically addictive for humans.
There is no such case against software. Against marijuana-growers — maybe, but the same actors are surprisingly quiet about that.
Facebook has been pressured earlier into spreading government propaganda and then publicly testified about this pressure. Its current troubles are much more likely to be rooted in that, than in any actual "harm to children".
You're not paying me to be your research assistant.
Voila, asking your kind of science-deniers for scientific evidence usually ends this way.
So you have not read those IPCC documents yourself — while smugly accusing me of doing "anything at all to avoid looking at" same. Take your "L" at the exit, by your left, and don't let your tail get caught in the door.
I've noticed that climate deniers are highly allergic to reading actual science
But you are not, are you? So it should be quite easy for you to provide the citations of nature and in the shape I've asked for: a prediction, and it materializing. Two separate links at least 5 years apart... With the evidence being, supposedly, so abundant, why is it so hard for you to satisfy my request?
1967, the first greenhouse effect model using detailed CO2 infrared spectra and incorporating convection and radiation
Great, what did it predict, that was not trivial and actually impactful, but precise?
here's an article from Forbes that does the same comparison
You're now offering a different link — instead of answering the follow-up question about the earlier ones — does this mean, you concede, that the links you posted earlier are not satisfying the simple rules I started with, and wish to withdraw them? I don't want to be accused of "moving the goal posts"...
P.S. Calling me "an idiot" or "denier" is not going to work
And I'll even help!
Please, sift through your massive documents yourself to cite a couple of "precise, non-trivial and impactful" predictions. I assume, you've read the documents you're offering as evidence yourself, so it wouldn't be much of a burden for you. Thank you!
They not only improved the model's forecasts; they also discovered why some of the model's predictions had been off
Wow, some had been off? Ok, nice to see an acknowledgement of that.
Now, how about a successful prediction? Something reasonably precise, non-trivial and impactful, please — falsifiable, yet not falsified in due time...
If you choose to play, be sure, each citation includes two links: one to the prediction being made, and another — to it coming true within at least 20% of the predicted value (for the quantifiable ones). Crucially, the two links must be at least 5 years apart...
Are they machines? Are they capable of deliberate movement? Do they have any decision-making of their own?
From TFA:
The externally generated [emphasis mine] magnetic fields made the robots spin and tumble through the liquid and squeeze through tiny water-filled gaps in the soil.
So, why are they referred to as robots? If I mulch my bushes — is each chip a "robot" fighting the weeds around the plant? When a brick wall is sanded, is each grain of sand a "robot"?
I gave you the link with all the data citations if you'd like to check the margin of error.
Translation: you don't know the margin of error either.
eclipsing the Dust Bowl's July 1936 by an eighth of a degree
What is the margin of error? Asking for a friend...
If only that was cheaper than hiring a human to do it..
I purchased a used Radeon Instinct MI50 with 32Gb VRAM on eBay for $360 — in December. it is quite usable with llama.cpp under FreeBSD inside an older (DDR3) workstation. I use it to filter incoming email (with a plugin to SpamAssassin).
That same model is now being sold for over $500. On the one hand, this is the first time in my life a witnessing a piece of computer hardware costing more seven month later.
But on the other limb, it is still cheaper than simply providing a Western developer with coffee for a few months — much less than actually hiring him...
The incident raises questions [emphasis mine] about supply chains, audits, and cybersecurity in the British armed forces
Raises questions? No, boys and girls — who slept through the journalist lecturer's implorations against cliches — it does not raise questions. It provides clear and obvious answers...
I do like the idea of building a community sourced govt official tracking network. I'm sick of govt officials, both elected officials and unelected bureaucrats, passing and implementing laws that they don't feel should apply to them.
I wouldn't favor a system that tracks cops due to the specific hazards they already face daily, but I acknowledge that some people would believe that turnabout is fair play.
All life evolves by the differential survival of replicating entities. -- Dawkins