Comment Re:Old Boeing and Today's Boeing (Score 1) 124
The reason Boeing isn't making a new narrowbody is the cost to certify a new airframe and get pilots trained on it (because you have to be type-certified on a particular airplane to fly it; just because you can fly a Boeing 737 doesn't mean you can fly an A320) is prohibitive. If they can't get enough fuel savings from it to interest the airlines enough to take on the pilot training cost, and to cover the airframe certification cost, there's no point in making it. Better to keep making 737 variants and talk the FAA into accepting that they're basically the same thing.
The cost of not doing it will bite them in the arse even harder.
Airbus can't open it's order books fast enough for the A220 and A320 families, Boeing is struggling to sell the 737-8 MAX in a market screaming for 150-200 seat narrowbodies.
The longer they wait, the longer the deficiencies in the 737 will hurt them. Airlines love the A320 because it's a more efficient aircraft, lower turnaround costs (B737's are so old they can't even accommodate ULD containers in the hold, so bags and cargo have to be loaded manually). Passengers hate the 737 because they've become so incredibly cramped (same with the 787). A clean sheet design to replace it is needed but Boeing refuses to commit because it will affect the bottom line in the short term, of course this will affect the bottom line in the long term but that doesn't pay their bonus this quarter.
If Boeing doesn't start on a clean sheet design, there is a chance COMAC may actually get their act together and become a serious competitor (or Embraer, although that's unlikely).
I think the 737-8 MAX is eventually going to require a new type certification. They haven't fixed the problem and the issue with MCAS is worse than most people think (it isn't just an anti-stall system, it's designed to make a plane with different aerodynamics fly like the old model by fudging the inputs). I think we'll end up having another incident, I just hope it's not a fatal one. Boeing have tried to "manage" their way out of an engineering problem and that never works.