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Comment: Re:Jane/Lonny Eachus goes Sky Dragon Slayer. (Score 1) 308

Jane's concerned that the enclosing plate is bigger than the heated plate.

I know I said I wouldn't respond, but STOP TRYING TO TELL OTHERS WHAT *I* AM CONCERNED ABOUT. YOU DO NOT KNOW, SO YOU HAVE NO PLACE CLAIMING YOU DO.

I am not "concerned" about any of it. Though you seem to be. And I don't know why, because your analysis above actually verifies what I stated earlier. I've been wasting my time with (my opinion) an idiot.

But Earth's mean radius is 6371 km, and the effective radiating level is ~7 km higher, so these surface areas are only ~0.2% different.

0.2% is not zero. Therefore T0 (if that is the outward extent of earth system) has a surface area of T * 1.002, and its temperature will be measurably lower than that of heat source T. Therefore we have a net heat transfer proportional to T - T0, which is a non-zero quantity.

You've proved nothing here except to verify my point. But let's finish it...

Of course, in a thought experiment this difference can be made arbitrarily smaller. Despite Jane's protests, this doesn't change the fact that enclosing the heated plate makes it warmer.

This argument is HILARIOUS. The only way you can make it "arbitrarily small" is by making Spencer's (and your) whole argument "arbitrarily small" at the same time. I tried to tell you this before, but you just don't get it. That's too bad, because in reality you can't have it both ways.

If the dimensions (and therefore mass) of your "enclosing plate" approaches zero, then any absorption and re-rediation will also approach zero, and any supposed effect it will have on the temperature of the heat source will also approach zero. Even if your argument were correct, you're arguing yourself out of an argument.

So no, this argument is NOT valid with an "arbitrarily small" enclosing mass. It has to have enough to make a measurable difference on the temperature of the source (your argument, not mine) or the whole argument is empty.

You are trying to say you can make the dimensions larger by an "arbitrarily small" amount, without reducing the effect you are arguing for to an equally "arbitrarily small" amount. But the whole argument was about tangible and measurable effects. So you can't have it that way, man.

You sure know how to argue yourself into corners. Your assumptions are pure shit.

Now, I am done arguing. You can repeat the same BULLSHIT over and over all you want, but that won't make it any more valid. If you had the courage of your convictions, you would argue with the proper people about this, rather than trying to pick on (and losing to) a layman who is actually just laughing at your antics. Not laughing at your insults and attempts at ad-hominem and character assassination, no. But your antics, and your arguments about "physics", yes.

Comment: Re:or credibility of the government (Score 1) 120

by Animats (#47587597) Attached to: The CIA Does Las Vegas

It presented a compelling case that the normal, large-scale warfare fought by organized armies which was the norm for most of the 20th century was obsolete in large part because the major powers, and the U.S. in particular, couldn't be beaten in that kind of war. The focus, then, had shifted to much smaller types of attacks frequently carried out by insurgents who were only loosely affiliated.

Many pundits have written that. It's been a subject of intense debate in military circles, and you can read some of the debate in publications like Parameters, the U.S. Army War College journal. Worth remembering, though, is that insurgency is an early phase of a conflict. If the insurgency succeeds, the conflict becomes territorial and more conventional. That happened in Vietnam (the final offensive against South Vietnam involved hundreds of tanks), and it's happening now as ISIL moves from an insurgency to a nation-state. Ukraine is more of a proxy war, but it's about territory. Remember that Russia has already taken over Crimea.

Most of the potential wars in East Asia are straight nation-state conflicts. Taiwan/China, N.Korea/S.Korea, and China/Japan have no insurgent components.

Comment: Re:I didn't realize (Score 1) 352

I don't count as an expert, but I stayed at a Holiday Inn when I took my first Nuke-Bio-Chem defense course as an NCO, and I did manage a few updates and more advanced courses in subsequent years. All my professional training is from before 2001 however, and I'm sure some of it is obsolete. There are some people posting to this thread who really do know a thing or two, even if there are some others who are either channeling the spirit of Tom Clancy or just winging it.

Comment: Re: Extremely Useful (Score 1) 76

by plover (#47587473) Attached to: Georgia Tech Researchers Jailbreak iOS 7.1.2

Agreed. GA failed lesson one in jailbreak release 101: wait until the next major release comes out before you give away the exploit.

Actually, they figured out Advanced Jailbreak Releasing 301: advertise the hell out of the version that has been jailbroken, but give Apple no clue as to how to fix it. Allow as many as people as possible to download and install 7.1.2 in preparation for jailbreaking.

Apple's pattern of responding to jailbreaks is very predictable: the day after someone announces the jailbreak, Apple will spring into action, releasing a patched version, and immediately preventing anyone from downloading or installing the now-vulnerable 7.1.2. This advertising campaign maximizes the vulnerability window in a way that Apple cannot yet prevent.

Comment: Re:Eegads! (Score 1) 352

The best analysis based on how much various samples have mutated differently from others indicates HIV entered its first human host about 1908, most probably in what is now Cameroon, but with a fair probability of it being in what is now called the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Your estimate of the 1920s is barely possible, but that's about as late as it could possibly be, There's also some chance of it being as early as the late 1890s, but again, thats the other extreme of the margin of error range, and the probability for this is a bell curve-like distribution. Source for transmission was overwhelmingly likely a chimp, and the mechanism was most probably someone cut themself or had an existing wound and got chimp blood into it, while cutting up a chimp slaughterd for bush meat.

Comment: Re:Thanks for the pointless scaremongering (Score 1) 352

I'm not sure what you're saying about a chemo patient's equivalent of interferon and the subject hating it. My Ex was on Interferon for a year for a stage 4 Melanoma. The effects were milder than typical chemos, I'd say much milder - After getting through the first two weeks when the IVs were daily, she went to once a week, and had only ntermittent nausea on the day she actually took the IV drip, usually controlled with just oral Dramamine, and she was usually able to eat within a few hours of leaving the clinic, The first two weeks took simultaniously administering IV painkillers, anti-nausea and anti-fever drugs, and she still felt like a bad case of the flu, but after that 2 weeks the dose came down form literally billions of internal units to just millions, and it got pretty tolerable. Sometimes she still felt lousy the next morning, but usually she was feeling fine by 2 or 3 hours later. Pain management became Tylenol. This whole treatment may have made her Arthritus start up earlier, but it probably had no effect there and she likely would have developed RA just the same. Bad effects like joint pain, high fevers, and just possibly even memory loss are known with these tremendous doses, but they all have very low chances, i.e. less than 1% of patients, and without getting at least one of those, most patients wouldn't say they hated it. It's not like the endless weeks of nausea, extreme fategue and pain that's pretty damned common for regular chemo.She made friends with a dozen people on conventional chemo at the same oncologist's and she and the other interferon patients frequently discussed what troopers those people were and how much easier the Interferon group had it.
          Conventional chemo is not usually as effective in advanced Melanomas, as these really, really massive doses of Interferon, and it certainly worked in her case, or one of the odder experimental things we also tried did, because she beat literally billion to one odds with an initial tumor over twice the diameter that typically gets classified as stage 4. Her oncologist said the first 6 months on Interferon had probably done everything Interferon would do, but If it wasn't too bad, she might improve her odds a little more by sticking with it a full year, and she had no hesitation staying on it. Upwards of 65% of people who are treated this way manage to stay on Interferon IVs for the whole year, and the biggest reason to stop earlier seems to be if the person has bad veins and the clinic is worried about damaging the circularory system further when they may need to try other treatments.

Comment: Yes (Score 2) 139

Local elections are the only ones that are important. The national system is so rigged that nothing individuals can do will make a difference.

However, be aware that local elections are the next target of corporate types. In the past two years, the Koch brothers have spent millions on school board elections, and not in the areas in which they live.

If you do get involved locally, be prepared to make a real fuss, and make sure you don't get busted for pot or beat your wife. In fact, don't even allow yourself to get into a situation where you can be framed for a pot bust. People have tried to get involved in local politics and have had their lives destroyed for their trouble.

And if you try to fight what has been cynically referred to as "election reform", be prepared for death threats.

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