Comment I'm an astronomer who studied supernovae ... (Score 4, Interesting) 23
... and can say that the question, "how does the luminosity of type Ia supernovae depend on redshift?" is a very, very complex one. The number of factors which come into play is large (metallicity, age of the binary system, extinction in the local environment, extinction in the intergalactic environment, corrections for photometric calibration as a function of redshift, etc.), and it's easy to fall into the trap of finding one correlation that seems to explain everything.
I'll add that it's particularly easy, in my opinion, for theorists to fall into this trap.