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Comment Re:Don't get too happy about Chinese "overcapacity (Score 1) 154

China hasn’t lost access to global markets. It’s lost some access to the US market, but remember it never had that for cars in the first place, and it had no toehold in Europe until a few years ago. It has rapidly developed export markets for its cars and EVs in dozens of markets, and there is no general anti-China trade barrier going up across these categories. Chinese solar panels and battery storage are driving a very fast transition away from unreliable national electricity grids in multiple countries, eg Pakistan, and demand is accelerating, not slowing. The talk of factories being retooled is just made up stuff and not an accurate reflection of the broader picture.

There appear to be a large number of people on this site who loathe (the idea of) China so much that they feel compelled to downplay its capabilities. Classic contemptuous underestimation. If you consider China your enemy, you are much better off cautiously *over*estimating its capabilities, rather than the opposite.

Comment Re:Estimates based on conjecture (Score 5, Insightful) 163

Actually, you are the ignorant one here because you want to justify your denial. Because scientists are aware they are just human, there are a lot of safeguards in place. The first one being the scientific principle. But I guess you lack insight into what that actually does and why it was created.

Global warming is a settled issue but we are spending millions of dollars on studies to confirm it on the theory that what is lacking is proof.

This nicely illustrates how deep your ignorance goes. This is not why these studies are done. The reason they are done is to refine and get more detail. That will be invaluable for evaluating the impact of things that could still be done and to prepare for the effects.

Comment Re:The problem is the education system (Score 1) 156

Tables are not knowledge. They are data. They are "basics" for nothing knowledge-wise. What they do is they produce a nice, meaningless rote-learning exercise that can be examined easily to produce an entirely meaningless grades. They are nothing but a waste of time and create a false impression of "something having been learned". Hence, no, we have absolutely no issue if a kid cannot answer "12x11" from _memory_. If an older kid cannot find out what 12x11 is or does not see that it is somewhere "a bit more than 100" and accepts a false result that is one order of magnitude (or more) off, then we have an issue.

It is fascinating how many people mistake data memorization for "learning". Obviously, when you teach actual understanding, then most kids do not do so well. May explain why worthless memorization is still a favorite of many "teachers". May also explain why Math teaching fails routinely and most people fear Math. Math is actually very easy on this level.

Comment Re:Estimates based on conjecture (Score 5, Informative) 163

Seems you have no clue how Science actually works. You know what would happen to climate scientists that did what you claim? Loss of job, in bad cases loss of their PhD. You know why you do not read about that happening? Because these people do not do it. All published and peer-reviewed models say pretty much the same, and hence one being radically different would be immediately obvious ans subjected to intense scrutiny.

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