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Comment We need humility, not arrogance (Score 4, Insightful) 151

"The defects are finite, and we are entering a world where we can finally find them all."

We may be entering a world where we can find 99.44% of bugs and we may find the "easy to find ones" a lot faster than we would find them today, but it's very arrogant to declare "we are entering a world where we can finally find them all" given how many unknowns are still out there.

Yes, the progress is good, but we need some humility and we need to be realistic with our expectations.

Comment By 2030 this could be very bad and very good (Score 2) 14

On the very good side, this will lower the cost and lead times for new drugs.

On the bad side, nation-states, terrorists, and even just Evil Agents Of Chaos[TM] who have access to tools like this and the knowledge to (ab)use them will be able to unleash biological chaos on the world.

Imagine if someone created a virus that infected everyone, spread rapidly, but was asymptomatic or had only common-cold-like-symptoms on everyone but their intended target, but it killed their target. The target could be an individual, a family that uniquely shared a mutation, or an entire ethnic group where the mutation was common in that ethnic group but rare outside of it.

Even worse, once unleashed, the virus will likely mutate and people or groups that are not the intended target may die, including the people who unleashed it.

I fear this is what is in our future.

Comment Yes, but ... (Score 1) 1

... instead of doing 300 unrelated experiments, do 30 experiments and independently replicate each one 10 times.

At least then you'll know if you've got 30 repeatable experiments, 0 repeatable experiments, or something in the middle.

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