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Comment I'm sure the stall has nothing to do (Score 0) 16

With the fact that arrests have dropped from 44,000 per year to about 11,000 per year because so many federal law enforcement agents have been taken off other beats and put on immigration enforcement....

Seriously look it up. If we had a functional media it would be much bigger news. Most of the Democrats sucks so hard in messaging...

Comment we heard this with Final Fantasy Spirits Within (Score 1) 53

I'm not particularly alarmed. I figure that most movies will be generated by small studios and indies using AI in the coming years. The big studios spending hundreds of $millions per movie will fall to the wayside. There will be an explosion of creativity as costs go down and the price of failure is reduced.

Bold proclamation, but 25 years ago, Sony publicly predicted on their press tour that CGI would replace actors...it never did. Will AI be integrated into entertainment?...absolutely....will anyone want to see that slop?...I doubt it. Sony was proud of Final Fantasy Spirits Within and back in 2000, I thought it looked really rad...now it looks like a PS4 game. But even in 2000, I knew it wouldn't replace the real thing. I honestly didn't like it very much. It was tolerable, but not an upgrade to live action, even in 2000, when we weren't spoiled by good CGI.

I think CGI is a better indicator of the future of AI. Sure, Star Wars prequels and Sin City, tried to make everything green screen...and it sucked. Audiences didn't like them. The only box office draw was due to them being popular existing properties, so yeah, Star Wars fans lined up...same with Frank Miller fans. However, we got bored of it. Few bothered again.

No one wants to pay top dollar for CGI and the same applies for AI slop. Someone will make a movie in AI...it will suck...people will stop...AI footage will get mixed in with CGI and live action, but the future of movies will have VFX look just like today, only better, and maybe cheaper, but the most talented CGI artists can't replicate the look/feel of a set with practical effects. It's doubtful AI will do so much better to put everyone out of business.

25 years ago, everyone said what you said about CGI...that it would replace sets and drastically cut costs...everything will be filmed in front of a green screen. Today, we see that that's not true. It augments old-fashioned filmmaking...never replaced it...and looking at today's LLMs and how they've progressed, I see no indication they can replace anyone...augment? absolutely...replace?...well...if ChatGPT can actually replace your job, you weren't very useful. I use Claude daily...it can't write Java with correct syntax reliably...and that's easy!!!!...neither can ChatGPT or CoPilot. It shows little progress from generation to generation...seriously, it has no idea where to put commas or semi-colons. That's a MUCH MUCH MUCH easier problem to solve than created a fucking movie!!!

Comment So hear me out on this one (Score 4, Insightful) 35

What if, and I'm just spitballing here, the news media barely covered this and certainly didn't cover the corruption angle at all because the news media is now completely owned by billionaires like something like literally 90% of the news media is owned by billionaires.

So almost nobody hears about this and then the news cycle eats the attention of anyone who does and we all just move on and forget about it. Does that work for you?

In project 2025 they call it shock and awe. Everything is a distraction from the previous terrible thing Trump did and everything Trump does next is a distraction from whatever he's doing at the time. Meanwhile the economy is continuously collapsing due to mismanagement so you're too busy trying to keep your head above water to care about anything else.

Then you mix in a little voter suppression and the fact that a billionaire Trump sycophant just bought the company that controls all of our voting machines and maybe do a few hundred billion dollars of propaganda right before the election and Bob's your uncle Trump gets a third term or at least JD Vance gets his term.

Then we had 25% unemployment, world war III takes off and goes nuclear and we Fermi paradox ourselves. I don't think the billionaires are planning on that last one but I don't think they are thinking any of this through either. They're just too busy trying to set themselves up as feudal Kings.

Comment Sounds like an export tax. (Score 4, Interesting) 35

I'm no lawyer but this sounds suspiciously like an export tax. I think Nvidia now has a solid case that A) it's illegal (only congress can tax stuff, right?) and that B) a ban is unwarranted because of the attempted illegal export tax.

Kinda seems like the grifter just shot himself in the foot again.

Comment What the actual fuck editors. (Score 1, Flamebait) 61

This is conservative/right wing agitprop clickbait bullshit of the absolute lowest quality.

no, social media is not creating debt laden people low wages and monopolies raising prices is.

Fuck what a particularly nasty piece of clickbait. But you got me I clicked it and I commented so you win I guess.

When the species of super intelligent raccoons or beavers take over from us after we drive ourselves to Extinction through sheer stupidity I wonder what they will think of this crap.

Comment LLM: Fantasy progress, real bargaining chip (Score 1) 31

LLMs are far less useful than promised, but they're a great bargaining chip...oh, you want a raise? I can replace you with AI and pay you nothing...how does that sound? Is it true?...no, but you're probably not going to call their bluff and find out as either way, you're out of a job. We saw this with offshore outsourcing 20-25 years ago. I'm more scared of what people think AI can do than what it can actually do.

Comment So no they're not getting regulated or fined (Score 1) 82

It seems that way because you see headlines that they had such and such multimillion dollar fine levied but they appeal and don't pay the fine or it gets reduced to a tiny fraction of the profits from the illegal behavior. But funny thing the news media never seems to cover that...

I know of companies that literally have a classification system where they figure out which laws they can break. You will be shocked to find that the laws that affect rich people are generally in the list of ones they can't break while the laws that affect you are in the list of laws they can break...

Even under Biden it was difficult to get consumer protection laws enforced and the fines actually levied and paid and now the Trump is president worst case scenario you buy a little bit of trump coin and the problem gets solved.

Comment The problem isn't China's growth (Score -1, Troll) 37

The problem is we can't sustain this many billionaires let alone the number who want to be trillionaires.

And we can't take the billionaire's money away because if you try a bunch of old people who grew up on Cold war propaganda are convinced you're going to break into their house and steal their toothbrush. And anyway those billionaires earned it because if they didn't God wouldn't have blessed them /s

Comment Re:Was it a Russian drone? (Score 1) 139

Depends on what the person was doing at the time. If the person who didn't pull the trigger was holding up a liquor store and the police shot the wrong person, there's at least arguably mens rea, which is how we get things like the felony murder rule.

Not quite- that's how you get the proximate cause felony murder rule, of which only a couple of jurisdictions in the US, and none outside of the US in the Western world recognize due to its obvious injustice.

No, it's how you get mens rea for the felony murder rule. You didn't carry the gun with the intent to kill, only to intimidate, but you still had a guilty mind, and if you then used the gun to kill someone in the heat of the moment, there's your mens rea.

And remember that actual cause does not mean literally pulling the trigger. At least in the U.S., the courts apply a "but for" test. If the event would not have happened without the previous event, then the previous event is considered the actual, not proximate cause. The police would not have shot the other person but for the perpetrator pointing a gun at someone (and possibly shooting at the police).

IMO, that's not meaningfully different than involuntary manslaughter convictions for allowing unsafe working conditions at a construction site or leaving your loaded gun out where a child can take it, both of which have happened.

Comment Re:Typical company approach to accounting (Score 1) 55

Using the numbers above, if Meta had the same pre-tax profit of $60B now but was using the 3 year depreciation schedule they used in 2020 vs the current 5.5 year, then instead of depreciation being $13B it'd be $23.8B, meanding they'd lose nearly almost $11B in recorded profits, just from a calculation. So in essence this boosts their stock price by making them look more profitable than they are.

True, but only momentarily. At the end of the first depreciation cycle, assuming purchasing of hardware is not accelerating, you're depreciating 5x as much hardware over 5x the time, and your momentary bubble in the stock price is gone.

And even if hardware purchasing is growing right now, eventually, that will flatten out, and the above will be true.

The only real question should be whether the depreciation rate is reasonable. If you're still getting substantial use out of the hardware after five years, then depreciating it over 3 years is questionable.

Also, the more slowly you depreciate it, the less you save on taxes each year. Faster depreciation is beneficial if you think the tax rate will go down and you will lose the benefit of that depreciation. Slower depreciation is beneficial if you think the tax rate will go up and you will benefit more from depreciating it later. So this may also mean that these companies are expecting corporate income taxes to go up. Make of that what you will.

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