Comment Re:Erm... (Score 1) 62
Musk certainly is overly optimistic regarding timelines, but "move fast and break things" (for lack of a better term) has been proven to work in space, by SpaceX. It gave us a launch system that was cheap to develop and cheap to operate. Everyone in the business was laughing at Musk for keeping "breaking things" and crashing rockets while trying to land one. Then he did. And got good at it. Now they only make the news when one of their (many many) boosters fails to make a soft landing. As for Starship, I've no idea what kind of data they have and how they are acting on it, but from a distance it does look like there are some major problems to overcome, and making a few changes before sending up another one might not be the right approach. The idea about "move fast and break things" is not to design and test until you are 99% sure, you spend a lot less effort in getting to 90%, and hoping that a failure will point to the error(s) you missed. But Starship smells like it's at 70% right now (or whatever the number are, for illustrative purposes only)
I don't see a major difference between Musk's extremely over optimistic timelines and moving fast and breaking things both lead to the same result, lots of "learning opportunities" a.k.a explosions. I can only re-emphasize that with modern software and AI tools at their disposal I'd expect Musk and his genius squad at SpaceX to get starship done with far fewer "learning opportunities" than they have done so far, unless the efficacy of AI, the genius level of Musk and the abilties of his SpaceX genius squad have all been over-hyped but the article says it better than I can:
SpaceX’s Starship saga is another emblem of this phenomenon. Yes, progress requires trial and error. But we must stop measuring success by launch views and splashy animation reels. When the same core systems fail in similar ways, time after time, we must ask whether this is aggressive iteration or just poorly managed ambition. Failure alone isn’t innovation. Only failure followed by measurable, demonstrable improvement is. For contrast, look at the F-1 engine that powered the Saturn V — still the most powerful rocket engine ever flown. Its early prototypes suffered from catastrophic combustion instability. The engines literally tore themselves apart in violent explosions. But instead of rushing to launch, NASA and Rocketdyne engineers dedicated engineering talent analyzing high-speed film, instrumenting combustion chambers and systematically redesigning injector patterns. They solved it — not through luck, not through iteration by crashes — but through engineering discipline. The result? A rocket that flew 13 times without a single engine failure. That’s how space is done. Not with bravado and broken boosters, but with precision, patience and a refusal to accept “good enough.”
What TFA is doing is not unfairly attacking Elon Musk's genius and the engineering team at SpaceX, the author is correctly lamenting the complete absence of engineering discipline and a culture of rushing to launch without solving all the problems first i.e. "throw money at the problem, move fast and break things!".