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Comment Re:politics and/or incompetence (Score 1) 49

I get it when an organization outsources something when they don't have enough work to sustain a team. Like a small town government isn't going to operate their own roof repair division just to repair government roofs (rooves?), you instead would hire a local contractor that has plenty of private work to keep their crew busy.

But some things the government does all the time and it doesn't make sense to outsource, like most office work. Of course outsourcing some temp staff can be practical if one can anticipate things like seasonable demand, but hiring local students if the job and time frame fit (summer job) is better still.

At the end of the day an organization can pay an employee, work out benefits, etc. Or it can pay a for-profit business to take a cut for management, owners, etc and try to cut corners on quality or benefits for the employees. I know how the neoliberal "third way" think, and they'd rather reduce the number of government employees, even if that amounts to giving taxpayer dollars to a private owner and gutting good paying union jobs in the community. It's no wonder the working class is struggling under skyrocketing housing prices, high tuition, and low wages. It's all symptoms of an unhealthy economic system that is the direct result of our political shift in both parties in the US. (and a general trend in much of the West with neoliberalism, especially the anglosphere)

Comment Re: They are popular in JP because they work (Score 1) 165

People here are acting like bigger vehicles in the U.S. are due to some conspiracy around efficiency standards. They're not.

The shift toward massive trucks and SUVs in the U.S. is not a conspiracy as you stated, but it's not purely consumer preference either. It's a direct, documented, and mathematically verifiable consequence of how the U.S. government rewrote fuel efficiency regulations in 2011.

Prior to 2011, CAFE standards were simple: a car company’s entire fleet of "light trucks" had to average a certain MPG number (e.g., 24 mpg). It didn't matter how big or small the individual trucks were. The Obama administration reformed these rules to close loopholes... but they inadvertently created a new one. They switched to a "footprint-based" standard.

And the curve is very steep. If you build a truck or SUV with a small footprint (like the old Ford Ranger or Chevy S-10), the government mandates an incredibly high MPG target, often close to what a high efficiency sedan would get. As the vehicle gets bigger, the MPG target drops significantly.

This means that if a manufacturer tries to build a small pickup or SUV today (about the size of a 1990s Ranger), the CAFE formula might mandate a target of ~40-50 MPG. Achieving such a high MPG requires expensive hybrid technology and advanced lightweight materials. This adds at least $10k to the cost which makes those vehicles virtually unsellable.

Why the U.S. government didn't fix this issue 10+ years ago is a mystery to me. The result has actually been hugely increased gas consumption and CO2 emissions, rather than the desired effect of lower gas consumption and CO2 emissions.

Signed, someone who would love a small AWD SUV, but they're just not economically justifiable (in the U.S.)

Comment Re:Macroeconomics 101 (Score 1) 87

The massive amount of capital put into AI is not going to yield results.

To clarify my own statement. I mean not going to yield results proportional to the amount put into them. You can double the investment and not get double the return. I think this is reflected in the wacky P/E ratios we see in the market for AI related stocks.

Comment Re:Macroeconomics 101 (Score 2) 87

The massive amount of capital put into AI is not going to yield results. There will be mostly losers and only a few winners. This is assuming AI sticks around and is the paradigm shift that many people believe it will be.

If it's entirely fake, just a bunch of nonsense that people wasted money on, then it will pop quickly. But if it's somewhat real, like the dot-com boom. We'll see society transformed, and a lot of failed businesses, some of them very stupid, scattered along the information superhighway.

If this is a bubble like the housing bubble. Well, remember that even though a lot of people were underwater on their mortgage. Those homes never went to zero. It was worth something to someone, but there were a lot of people who lost everything in the exchange. And a handful of people who profited a great deal.

So expect that GDP will go up, even when the AI bubble pops. And that the middle class retirement accounts are going to be absorbing most of the hit. Because someone else, probably someone very rich, is going to still come out ahead. They almost always do.

Comment Matter of national security (Score 1) 253

Our nation is at risk during a prolong conflict or embargo as long as we remain dependent on foreign oil. Reducing the amount we use is the most obvious path out, this allows our own reserves to stretch much further.

But MAGA is not ran by smart people. Evil people sure, but not ever evil villain is an evil genius, some are just thugs.

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