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Comment Re:I was watching anime before it was cool (Score 1) 52

I recently rewatched Space Battleship Yamato over several weeks. My wife found it very corny and eventually quit watching it with me. But I still think it holds up story-wise.

and LOL - I love everything by Leiji Matsumoto, but yea that manga still wouldn't fly with US audiences. Especially given how Star Blazers was targeted to children in the US.

Comment Re:At this point, it’s everyone bar the US a (Score 1) 25

If you don't have a dozen nuclear powered aircraft carriers, it's a good idea to have a back up plan that doesn't require gas pipelines or oil tankers.

A combination of lack of reserve and lack of military projection makes the supply chain vulnerable for most countries. They can put up solar panels and wind turbines, and perhaps buy Thorium mini-reactors from China and fill it from fuel from India. Playing the two adversaries off each other. Or skip nuclear and be entirely self sufficient on locally produced energy.

Comment Re:I may be "old fashoned", but... (Score 1) 175

Kids need to learn how to write code that compiles and runs on the first try. Drop off your stack of cards in the afternoon, and come back in the morning to get the result when you batch finally make it through the queue. Hope there were no silly little errors in your code or you'll have to fix it and send it out for the next day.

Comment Re:Sorry, but... (Score 1) 38

AlphaFold would absolutely have been "called AI" ten years ago.

What's confusing you and the OP is the popular use of the term "AI" to refer to a specific set of language-trained models. This is because humans have difficulty holding more than one concept in their brain at the same time and are also exceptionally susceptible to tech bros trying to sell them shit.

Comment There are two economies too (Score 1) 82

There is the economy that most of us participate in, which will see stagflation: stagnant economic growth and elevated unemployment, potentially elevated or uneven inflation.
And there is the economy that big politic donors live in. Where money continues to move between hyped investments and on paper it will appear that we're seeing a great deal of economic growth. But what we're really measuring is the transfer of wealth from the bottom 99% doing the labor to the top 1%.

Comment Re: Drug delivery (Score 1) 38

More importantly we have hundreds of humans and plenty of animals edited with CRISPR and they haven't died or shown signs of cancer.

The vast majority (all?) of those have been editing cells that are removed, then reinjected. One of the benefits of that is you can discard any suspicious ones.

and they haven't died

Oh yes, people have died.

Comment Re:"AI" is good fit for drug discovery (Score 1) 38

we won't be at a level to skip vivo studies until around the same time as we can make "Real" Human equivalent AI.

The latter is probably considerably easier than the former. We know that "real human equivalent [A]I" can be created. There are ten billion examples walking around. We don't have an example of an oracle machine that can tell you what a drug is going to do when you put it into one of them.

We also have reasonable bounds on the amount of computation that goes into making one of those "real human" intelligences, and they're achievable. There are good reasons to think that figuring out all the interactions that make up a complex biological system is practically uncomputable.

Comment Re:"AI" is good fit for drug discovery (Score 1) 38

That's a nice story, but it's not true. Humans all make variations on the "standard" set of human proteins. Sometimes not important variations, sometimes very important. Proteins aren't one and done either; they're reused all over the place, in different ways. You can target the such and such a receptor on such and such a cell and your drug is going to have off target effects because that same receptor is used in a dozen other cell types to do two dozen other things.

Not to mention drugs don't stay the same in an actual biological system. They get broken down, built up, transformed, internalized, etc. Not to mention a bazillion other things half of which we don't even know about yet.

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