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Comment Children used to be super cheap labor ... (Score 1) 75

... and basically "just happen" as a side-effect of normal life. You'd have a surplus even with half of them dying off in early childhood. Today they are ultra-expensive pets that can easily cost north of 100 000 Euros for families with demands and expectations in developed countries. And selection isn't brutal anymore, it's basically non-existent with modern medicine. Urbanisation, electric power and lighting, education and other effects have turned producing children into an exception rather than the rule.

An additional effect I'd call it the decadence/affluence effect. Don't know if there is a term for this, although the effect has been recorded in history. The late Roman Empire being a prominent example, but there are other sunken civilizations that went through similar phases before vanishing swiftly.

Instincts that drive mating are fairly low-level and are elevated by positive stress and porking your sweatheart being the primary highlight of your daily life. Overtune those with other distractions and a non-scarcity environment, modern contraception and virtual sex and people have less reason to engage in mating which becomes more and more complicated as standards rise into the absurd. The result also being less mating and birthing. See Nigeria vs. the rest of the world today for details.

This is also the prime reason why revelation cults that have "pushing out babies" as a basic duty actually have an evolutionary advantage and anti-theists are prone to dying out once they emerge in high cultures. Being an anti-theist myself I've recently been discovering more and more distinct advantages of adhering to the mind-virus of an abrahamic revelation cult such as Christianity or Islam. The cultists do and will survive the decline of high civilization(s), that's for sure proven IMHO.

Comment Re:Us too (Score 1) 27

The problem I am addressing here is that man (most?) people see AI and think it is an alias for LLM. The general term you are looking for is "AI Stack", for which AI is the short form. An AI Stack can (and currently typically does) include a LLM, but there is much more to the stack. One possible layer is the machine vision component you describe. There is a difference between generative and agentic AI, but a complete AI stack these days has both as part of a complete AI system, as well as additional components. IBM has quite a few videos on Youtube that go into great detail about all of this.

Comment Re:It might be more than one person (Score 1) 82

It's a common trope, but there are at least two problems with it. The first is that it assumes no two people ever died with a shared secret, which is absurd. The second is that the game isn't over yet unless they are all dead. Someone could still come forward on their death bed to reveal that it was a team.

Comment Re:It might be more than one person (Score 1) 82

Who said it is a "single coding style"? Imagine a small team. One is a system architect, another is a domain expert, yet another is the person who authors papers and release emails, and two more people write code. It has been speculated that a single person would have to have deep knowledge in multiple domains, and nobody has provided irrefutable evidence it isn't a team who happens to know what code reviews are and how to use them.

Comment Re:Us too (Score 1) 27

This is a core misunderstanding that is often repeated by people who haven't researched AI system design. The new models are not LLMs, though they do have one component in the stack that is an LLM. What you are doing is talking about a web stack as though it was just a database, then talking about what databases can and cannot do ... essentially saying "databases can't create user interfaces!" ..."I really hope people will stop over-hyping these database thingys." For the record, the linked video doesn't paint the whole picture, but is merely intended to make the point that the picture is much bigger and more nuanced than all of the "LLMs can't ..." types are aware.

Comment It might be more than one person (Score 1) 82

People always seem to assume that Satashi Nokimoto is a single person, and if it isn't then there will always be some evidence pointing to "this is the guy" and some other evidence that "this isn't the guy", but I suspect it is team. Solving a puzzle basing the approach on a false assumption is a great way to guarantee you can't solve it.

Comment Re: Hubble out of support (Score 2) 129

There are two categories of realtime: soft and hard. Realtime is complicated, and no OS can guarantee hard realtime if the hardware is not up to the task (excuse the pun.) For example, if you are running an OS written in assembly language on am Intel 8051 microcontroller clocked at 10 Mhz you cannot handle events that could easily achieve hard realtime on a modern system, because the task switching overhead alone precludes such capability, even if your application is just an infinite loop.

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