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Comment Re:I don't understand why this is considered... (Score 3, Insightful) 180

Reddit doesn't owe you anything. Facebook doesn't owe you anything. Twitter doesn't owe you anything. Slashdot doesn't owe you anything.

The law says they do owe me something.

Turn your brain on.

On second thought, I think Bill Gates still owes me $100 for helping him test his email tracking program back in 1998 when I forwarded that email for him.

You do know that wasn't Bill Gates, right?

Comment Re:Ivermectin is better (Score 1) 207

I'm friends with a couple who took their 6 year old daughter to go live in a country with malaria endemic for a year. Docs put the kid on ivermectin for the whole time

I want you to understand that your post makes you sound like an anti-science delusional nutcase.

Why? Because data about ivermectin side effects is available, but you decided to listen to the the self-comforting anecdote.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

Comment Re: Is this fine, really? (Score 1) 71

More references if you need direct sources. These are on the youtube video but it's good to have them here as well:

REFERENCES
A Neural Scaling Law from the Dimension of the Data Manifold: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2004.108...
First 2020 OpenAI Scaling Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2001.083...
GPT-3 Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2005.141...
Second 202 OpenAI Scaling Paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2010.147...
Google Deepmind “Chinchilla Scaling” Paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2203.155...
Nice summary of Chinchilla Scaling: https://www.lesswrong.com/post......
GPT-4 Technical Report: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2303.087...
Nice Neural Scaling Laws Summary: https://www.lesswrong.com/post......
Explaining Neural Scaling Laws: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2102.067...
High Cost of Training GPT-4: https://www.wired.com/story/op......
Nvidia V100 FLOPs: https://lambdalabs.com/blog/de......
Nvidia V100 Original Price: [https://www.microway.com/hpc-tech-tip... GPU model,Key Points](https://www.microway.com/hpc-tech-tip...)
Great paper on scaling up training infrastructure: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2104.044...
Eight Things to Know about LLMs: https://arxiv.org/abs/2304.006...
Emergent Properties of LLMs: https://arxiv.org/abs/2206.076...
Theoretical Motivation for Cross Entropy (Section 6.2): https://www.deeplearningbook.o...

Some papers that appear to pass the compute efficient frontier
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2206.144...
https://arxiv.org/abs/2210.113...

Comment Re: Is this fine, really? (Score 1) 71

Sorry, I should have claified: Ed Zitron and Michael Burry have both referenced studies by AI researchers showing that we have discovered certain scaling laws. Here's a primer video to get you started: https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

So short version: computer science experts say it, and it fits with the financial problems we are seeing. OpenAI and Anthropic know this is an existential problem yet are silent about it.

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