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Comment Re: Is this fine, really? (Score 3, Interesting) 52

Two great sources to get you started:

Michael Burry, the guy from The Big Short who foresaw the housing crisis of 2008. This guy know his numbers: https://michaeljburry.substack...

Ed Zitron, investigative journalist. He's been cataloging the AI bubble for a few years now, demonstrating that AI is not profitable and not AGI: https://www.wheresyoured.at/

These guys are in-depth, detailed, and thorough. You'll have to put a few hours into reading them to really understand all the details, but you can get a pretty good AI summary quickly, ironically enough. They both say essentially the same thing: LLMs might be a useful $1000B SaaS vertical, but they are not a $5 Trillion replacement for human labor - and we're investing capex like they are the latter. This is a bad thing.

Comment Re: Is this fine, really? (Score 1) 52

AI gooners are always telling us what it *will* do if we just wait a few more years - AGI is just around the corner! -The plain fact is that LLM inference systems are plateauing, with exponentially more power needed for smaller and smaller gains. The limit they are hitting is real and far below AGI.

Comment Not even close to justice (Score 4, Interesting) 36

Meta created the mental health equivalent of smoking, and all they get is a slap on the wrist. Go read The Anxious Generation by Haidt or Girls by Freya India. They profited off suicide, bullying, objectification of girls and sexualization of children; itâ(TM)s all in there. However angry you are at social media companies, itâ(TM)s not nearly angry enough.

Comment The same problem as AI (Score 3, Interesting) 215

AI is proving to be a useful augment to skilled humans, but not a replacement. We were promised a robot and instead have invented a robotic arm. I think LiDAR based driving is headed in the same direction.
 
The systems they have invented are a great augment to human judgment, but not a replacement for it. I would love to buy a car equipped with Waymoâs lane and collision detection, but I would certainly not trust a Waymo in most cases and especially in serious weather.

Comment Lidar falls short too (Score 3, Interesting) 215

Snow, rain, fog, changes in roads, construction, flooding. There are hundreds of novel situations Waymo fails at. It is easy to trash your competitors but far harder to deliver true driverless cars.

  And before the Waymo gooners show up to defend them, lets just get this out of the way: Waymo has millions of short trips, but all of their miles combined are just rounding error on the number of trips that happen in a single day in the United States. The plain fact is that they are largely unproven from a statistical perspective, especially on highway and novel situation driving

Comment An open standard... or a moat? (Score 4, Interesting) 19

Sandisk and SK Hynix are fleecing everybody - pc and phone makers, NVIDIA, the Mag7 - which means we are all paying a ton more for their products. They are essentially an oligopoly along with a small handful of memory makers. Did they do this out of the kindness of their hearts, or to create a standard they control to their own benefit?

Comment Reddit has become an echo chamber (on most subs) (Score 1) 83

If you step out of line, even a little, against the accepted narratives on subreddits, get ready to be harassed, bullied, and banned. Reddit still has some truly awesome subs with great communities, but all the major ones (/humor comes to mind) are sad shells of their former selves.

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