Do you like their methedology [sic] now that they show clinton winning 72%?
Whoops - "methodology". You are right that I should take the time to spell-check my postings. I blame the parents. Oh, and my spell checker says that "clinton" [sic] should be capitalized.
In any case, I like their methodology regardless of who it predicts, since I am trying to use it to get information about probably outcomes rather than to convince myself that a particular outcome is likely to occur.
Granted, I am generally happier when my preferred outcome is indicated as more likely, but like weather reporting I would prefer accuracy over inaccuracy, even if the forecast is for unpleasant weather.
Besides, my favourite candidate never seems to perform well in these models:
Yes, first-past-the-post is a bad bad system, because it inevitably leads to situations like this. The sensible response, however, is not to pretend we don't have first-past-the-post, because we do!
The sensible thing to do, from a game-theoretic viewpoint, is to vote strategically (because that's provably the best thing to do with FPTP), and, in the mean time, try to get other voting systems accepted. My city uses instant runoff (IRV) instead of FPTP. If more cities used IRV or Single Transferable Vote (STV) or similar, then we'd be able to talk about getting the state to do the same, and if enough states switch, then maybe we could get the country to switch. Then you could vote for your favorite candidate without worrying that you'll case the worser of two evils to triumph. In the meantime, however, vote using your brain, not your gut. You're supposedly a nerd, unless you're on the wrong site, so that shouldn't be a difficult concept.
(And again, "vote strategically" does not necessarily mean "vote for the lesser of two evils". That's simply one possible--albeit frequently useful--strategy of many.)
Good advice! I like STV a lot.
I'm not sure what you mean by tactical voting, as opposed to any other kind of voting, but I would argue that the problem is the system, not the users. There are any number of alternative election or voting systems we could be using instead of a winner take all representative democracy. Many of those would at least better represent public sentiment, if not provide more desirable outcomes as well.
I think I supposed to say something hip like "This!", so show my heatfealt agreement.
Actually, it's not. Trump only has one path to victory, and that involves winning Ohio, where he has 0% support among blacks. So, even though the media would like you to believe that it's an ongoing contest, so they can keep you reading articles and watching pundits, the election is already over.
I suspect that you are broadly correct, but the polls agrigators over at fivethirtyeight.com actually have Trump with a 60% chance at winning Ohio.
I like their methedology.
So cops never solved crimes before telephones existed?
Of course they did - But 100 years ago it was much easier to get away with crime.
If you robbed or killed someone in Boston and then hopped a train to Chicago to start a new life, odds were very good you'd get away with it - Unless someone paid Pinkerton's to track you down.
Do people in the USA lack the basic ability to get along with others?
When I travel to the USA on business trips I'll sometimes go to a movie in the evening (otherwise I'd just be doing email and it's not like you're going to go on a summer stroll in the evening in somewhere like Houston). There are lots of Americans in the theatre behaving well and having a good time.
It's people on Slashdot that lack the basic ability to get along with others.
Try doing your job the old fashioned way..
The "old fashioned" way used to be to get a warrant and tap your landline. Can't do that anymore because the phone is encrypted, or the suspects chat via text. "OId fashioned" way used to be to get a warrant and search your house for evidence - Can't do that any more because the evidence is in an encrypted file...
How picky is the Xbox One's DLNA client, compared to (say) a living room PC?
I dunno how picky it is. We're a Windows household, so I turned on DLNA on the home PC and presto I was ready to go. Also works on my Sony Blu-ray and Sony TV.
Consoles provide a computer that, relatively, easily plays games. No tinkering or fussing required.
They also do other stuff, relatively tinker-free, that you'd want to do near your TV & sound system -
- Connect to streaming music & video services
- Play CDs, DVDs & Blu-ray
- Connect to video and audio content libraries in your home
- Control your TV with your voice.
Yeah, yeah, I know you can do all this stuff with a PC as well, but with an XBOX it's set-and-forget (and, most importantly, wife-friendly).
Can you name a single example where taxing people more, improved things?
Norway. Great standard of living, happy people with good lives.
but man listening to Art Bell on AM was awesome.
Yes, but did you ever buy a C.Crane radio?
Genetics explains why you look like your father, and if you don't, why you should.