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Comment Re: Edge cases (Score 1) 134

I get your point, but would also point out that law and order are separate. Additionally, both seem less relevant under the Trump administration. Courts can only resolve issues after they have occurred, whether or not those incidents involve law enforcement personnel. In other words, some aspects of outcomes may be enforced by courts applying laws, but actions will not always conform with those laws.

Comment Re: Where's the talent going to come from? (Score 1) 125

OK guys, here's the current deal. I do not intend to make any negative statements about your mother; I am simply stating what I believe to be the facts. But when I say "mom decided", I mean "mom controlled our decision." After mom and I met (1999) and before we married (2000), we agreed that: We would not buy property in the USA. We would not have children. We would move to Canada or Asia. We would retire by the time I was 35. Then: In 2004, mom decided we would buy the condo in Albany. I think in 2007 or 2008, mom decided that we would have children. This prevented us from moving to Canada or Asia. After you were born, my grandmother funded your education accounts and I funded your UTMAs. A family trust has always paid for expenses such as your private schools. At the end of 2016, we moved to Singapore. Mom chose not to work there. In 2018, eight years after we had agreed to retire (by which time we had originally agreed to live Asia, which would imply not owning property in the USA), mom decided that we would return to the USA. In July of 2018, a few days after I returned from Asia, mom and I agreed to divorce. In October of 2018, I returned to Laos and started going there about every second month. In November 2019, Wendy was born. In approximately February of 2019, COVID started, making it impossible for me to visit Laos. Mom initially agreed to joint petition, which would have minimized cost and conflict, but then decided to get her own lawyer. By April 2022, I had ensured approximately $1,000,000 in mom's accounts for the purpose of raising you assuming mom had 75% parenting time. After the incident where mom put her mother on the phone to say bad things to you about me (technically, a violation of a parenting through divorce agreement that we had both signed), we reached a settlement regarding the divorce, with no child support payments, 50% parenting time each (every second week), joint custody (neither of us can make parenting decisions), and an agreement that our family trust would pay for private schooling. In September of 2022, I started going back to Laos approximately every second month, but increasingly staying in Asia. I considered the parenting plan to be flexible and netotiable and always got approval from mom before traveling. In approximately April of 2025, mom started trying to renegotiate the divorce settlement, specifically pushing for full custody, child support, and an parenting plan that could never match our actual needs. In March of 2026, the United States restarted the war with Iran. Hopefully less vague:

1. Can we agree that LLM is a subset of AI?

2. Can you indicate where I claimed certainty about anything?

3. I think I stated a perspective that others would recognize as opinion. Premises are very different from opinions.

Going back though the entire thread:

1. I am not sure where relevant talent is available, but I expect it is extremely sparse, in demand, potentially even oversubscribed, potentially remote, and potentially compromised in some number of ways. I would love to go back to the 1970's, but no way does anything relevant to physical production happen in California in 2026.

2. I believe that modern fabs are not labor intensive for construction, though operational labor skills seem to be either extremely general (security, facilities) or rare (whitesuit). Fab machinery, management, maintenance, and other considerations may be more indicative of cost and other considerations. Relevant machinery is almost completely unknown to me, but I understand this is the most machinery equipment developed by humankind, though not even remotely comparable to the human brain.

3. There's a comment that touches on something like molecular modeling. Topics like that seem to be where non-LLM domains of AI may be relevant.

Good to be back in college again, writing essays/debate prep like this. As usual, I honestly don't know WTF I'm writing about. I appreciate such interactions. I don't claim knowledge or intellect, I just like to explore definitions, facts, arguments, logic, possibilities, perspectives, theories, etc. It's something like crowdsourced debate that helps us reach optimal conclusions.

Comment Re: He might pull it off (Score 1) 125

>> When it comes to building physical engineering companies

This phrasing to which I responded isn't specific to fabs. My comment about China was more general. China seems absolutely incredible at building almost anything. To be clear, none if this is any area where I have any expertise.

All of that being said, and therefore in response to your statement about fabs in China specifically:

I'm not making any political argument in this statement but it is worth noting that Taiwan could at times in history be considered part of China, is considered by some to be part of ("greater"?) China now, and is actually called the Republic of China today. Especially without artificial restrictions, there wouldn't seem to be any reason that China's relevant capabilities could not relatively rapidly exceed Taiwan's and especially those of the USA. And of course, if China somehow takes Taiwan, all bets about fabs are off.

China has certainly demonstrated its ability to move very rapidly on various technological and manufacturing fronts. I expect that China would be very capable of building the fab *facility*. The fabrication *machines* inside are a separate issue. There are at least two relevant considerations here: firstly, China has been working to develop such devices and processes, and again, has demonstrated an ability to make rapid technological progress. Secondly, actions by the Trump administration encourage the entire world to re-align with China rather than the USA; relevant sanctions may lose effectiveness. China also has more of a planned economy than that of the USA, has much better supply chains and lower costs for almost everything (especially since the Trump administration) and certainly sees chip fabrication as strategic, which could provide relevant advantages.

I can't say I disagree with you, but I believe that only time has the answer. To me it seems that China would be more prepared to advance on fabs than the USA is today. Musk and money are not the only considerations; I don't believe that anything about fabs in the USA has been making tremendous headway lately.

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