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Comment Re:bent pipe (Score 3) 39

With local processing, one might get an answer faster because the transmitted result is such a smaller piece of data.

Not only because the volume of data is smaller, but because the compute is local. Geosync RTT is 240–280 milliseconds. Earth-Moon RTT is 1250 ms. Earth-Mars is 6-40 *minutes*.

This insane take that compute shouldn't happen in space is only viable for LEO or latency insensitive use cases. We are going to put enormous amounts of compute in space, because we're going to need real-time compute far beyond LEO. johnjones is just an idiot spouting off in the interwebs and may be safely ignored.

Comment Re:Google's AI is so bad... (Score 1) 104

the LLM model they're using for "AI Overview" is terrible. Obviously, they're doing that because it's a small model that runs fast, so it can handle the load of millions of queries a minute. I find that if you then click "Dive Deeper", the model improves to something usable, often completely contradicting the "Overview" slop.

It's not a good look. But I suppose they have to put "AI" out front, even when it's crap.

Comment Re:Gambling ruins lots of lives (Score 4, Insightful) 83

It's also the employees of the companies that shut down thanks to embezzlement and theft.

Structuring your nation's laws around the longevity of companies is a terrible idea. Most companies should fail, because most companies are bullshit created by ambitious idiots and/or scofflaws and deserve failure. Most companies that have ever existed are gone today. And that's fine. That's healthy.

Comment Re: The fines are very small. (Score 1) 28

I would assume, that the fines are on top of all damage compensation these crooks will have to pay. I am also a bit unsure, whether the crooks will have the funds to both reimburse their victims and pay the fines, especially now, when they rightfully face decades of FPMITA prison. Not sure, whether raising the fines would have any effect on the actual outcome.

Comment Re: I already cancelled my subscription (Score 1) 46

I am fully aware, that very few years from now we'll be laughing at the models we use today, just as we laugh at the hallucinating mess we admired so much two years ago. GPUs will improve, CPU memory bandwidth will go way up, we'll have Raspberry Pi like systems which can do quality inference. I look forward to using each and every one of them.

However: some people want to run lobsters today, and they are mostly left out to dry for now. These folks paid a few dozen dollars per month to perform mundane tasks like creating optimized grocery shopping lists or scheduling appointments, and now their operators are about to discover the true cost of these toys. Few of these operators can afford the quoted "US$ 1000-5000 daily".

Comment Re:I already cancelled my subscription (Score 1) 46

Qwen 3.5 is light years ahead of llama 3 and deepseek, but no comparison to Claude Opus 4.6. Sorry. Plus: the full 35B model requires either a massive GPU (in the multi thousand $ range), or at least a lot of RAM (which is currently a bit pricey). Either way: I have the strong impression, that OpenClaw will lose quite a few users over this.

Comment Re:Forstall and the secret Appstore ? (Score 2) 48

You'd think with the successes of the original 16-bit Apple machines, then the Mac platform, full of third party software of every kind imaginable, it should have been self-evident that third party apps would be natural and beneficial. But people like Jobs just can't help themselves: their instinct is to control their platform and exclude everyone else. So they indulge the Reality Distortion Field hard enough to convince themselves that such a scheme is viable, all evidence of history to the contrary, and capture all the money.

The jail breakers are the real heros. They're the ones that pierced the Field and corrected this dysfunction, where no amount of explaining had any impact. They left Apple with two choices: go to war with jail breakers and become a pariah, or correct the bad thinking that prevailed to that point. Fortunately they chose the latter.

Or maybe unfortunately. The residual tyranny that did survive is more than I've ever considered tolerating. Maybe it would have been better if Apple had self-immolated the iPhone with Jobs' vision.

Comment Re:I already cancelled my subscription (Score 2) 46

Sorry to rain on your parade, but qwen is no match for Anthropic's premium models. I've used both for coding relatively easy stuff, and qwen 3.5 puts lots of bugs even into three page shell scripts, while Claude's code can often be taken as is.

Why does this matter a lot? The biggest threat against lobsters is "prompt injection", and only top of the line LLMs are moderately resistant to it. Running an OpenClaw install based on an entry level LLM can be very risky once you give it access to passwords or personal data.

Anthropic evidently knows this, that's why they see little risk when they massively jack up their prices. Those dropping out now were never the type of people who would ever throw significant money at the effort.

Comment Re:Socialism (Score 0) 80

A lot of people have a lot of trouble understanding

There is nothing about such a mission that mandates obsolete, 2x order of magnitude money torching. Please stop it with your commie shilling.

It doesn't really matter in the long run. Sooner or later the US with elect another (D) president and the teacher's union and/or some other pressure group will once again cut NASA's space program and take the money. After than, NASA or whomever will be forced to adopt cost effective solutions.

Comment Re:Here it comes (Score 1) 71

You're confusing the importance of avoiding Kessler syndrome in LEO with the difficulty of causing Kessler syndrome. GEO debris can potentially remain there for millions of years before interactions between the gravitational pull of the Sun, Earth, and Moon sufficiently perturb it. LEO debris remains for weeks to months. You have to have many orders of magnitude more debris in LEO to trigger Kessler Syndrome, where the rate of collisions exceeds the rate of debris loss.

The fact that a LEO Kessler Syndrome would also be short is something that exists on top of that.

It's also worth nothing that not only are modern satellites not only vastly better at properly disposing of themselves than they were in the 1970s when Kessler Syndrome was proposed, but they're also vastly better at avoiding debris strikes. All of these factors are multiplicative together.

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