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Comment Re:GIGO (Score 1) 36

Government data has been bullshit since well before the mid 1990s when Clinton rejiggered the employment rate calculation.

I enjoy that a number of people are discovering that the government is generally full of shit. Of course, they still think it's JUST THAT GUY"S SIDE but eventually they may figure it out.

Comment Re:who is protecting us? (Score -1, Offtopic) 74

No, he concluded that in 2024 when his not-democratically-selected candidate, a correctly-colored woman whose political career began with blowjobs to a very powerful West Coast mayor - a last minute "fuck you" by Mr Biden to the party that abandoned him - got whomped by an odious, blowhard NY property developer whose multi-year vilification 2016-2020 turned him from a publicity-seeking opportunitist into a hardened "opponent to everything leftist", made fantastically easier by the lefts own purity-spiral politics, driving even moderate leftists and EVERY SINGLE US DEMOGRAPHIC ASIDE FROM WHITE WOMEN to swing their votes rightward.

This just gives him a chance to complain about it again.

Comment Re:This whole AI thing is ridiculous (Score 1) 73

IMO they are pricing in AGI, if they don't get it or if they aren't predicting inference computing costs correctly, there could be a huge rollback. Then we'll have an oversupply of components instead of a shortage. The amount of spend is ludicrous and unrealistic for future needs

We are in an economic mania right now. Governments, corporations, startups, you name it, are all afraid of being left behind. They are buying up memory, disks, computing capacity because, well, if they don't, someone else--one of their competitors--will.

Supply will be expanded and built out while demand remains high.

How long will this take? That's the trillion dollar question. It could be months or it could be years, but at some point, demand and supply will come back into closer to equilibrium. Whether that's because demand crashes or because supply builds up to meet demand is another open question. This has to be one of the greatest repositioning of capital in recent memory.

Comment Re:What I don't like about Dawkins (Score 1) 393

XX = ALWAYS female. No alternative. If you are healthy you have a womb and can bear babies. They are intrinsically connected. You have large gametes.
XY = ALWAYS male. No alternative. You cannot ever bear babies, no matter how healthy you are. You have small gametes.

If they ever dig up your body, this is how you will be identified. Your feelings have *nothing* to do with the matter. Nor does your sanity. They will 100% identify you according to the actual, empirical physical characteristics that make you male or female (or a genetic sport of some sort).

That you keep repeating the delusion just makes you delusionAL.
No matter how many times you repeat 1+1=3, it's still not true and never will be.

Comment Re:What I don't like about Dawkins (Score 1) 393

Facts > Feelings.

If you have XX chromosomes, you're female and thus a woman. Cutting off your tits or bolting on a Frankenphallus just makes you a woman with surgical alterations.
If you have XY chromosomes, you're male and thus a man. No amount of makeup, women's underwear, or stripteasing in front of children will change that.

Anything else is an aberration and, like a one-armed person or someone born without eyes, recognized defective. It doesn't make them less human, but the idea we should just pretend that's normal is a weird delusion.

Comment Re:What I don't like about Dawkins (Score 0) 393

No, you're wrong. Period.
Being transgender, like any mental illness, requires sympathy and care - not pretend-endorsement for political points and virtue signaling.

It's no more deserving of "respect" than any other human being, but it is worthy of pity. Some wiring has gone wrong in their heads; that's not their fault.

It's not 2022. Only the truly dogmatic believes that silly shit any more.

Comment Re:What I don't like about Dawkins (Score 0) 393

I love you guys.
Dawkins when attacking Christianity and religion is a super genius, insightful, brilliant ... Until the moment he departs from the canon, now he's a fucking liar and obviously stupid.

Impossible.... IMPOSSIBLE that you might be wrong.

The frothing left can't stop itself from the purity spiral, driving even your allies right. Dawkins himself had to start looking at his intellectual allies and realize they might be the baddies.

You are great. Keep it up. Never change and certainly never, ever doubt yourself.

Comment Re:What I don't like about Dawkins (Score 1, Informative) 393

There are two sexes. Period.
Anything else is, by definition, aberrant & basically broken. Yes, biology makes many errors. Usually they die. Sometimes they don't.

It doesn't mean transgenders should be mistreated, they deserve our pity and whatever help they can get to be happy in their lives.

But fortunately the world has moved on from this absurd delusion that if you really really really pretend you're a donkey, you MUST BE ONE. That's silly. And... basically insane.

Comment FWIW (Score 1) 103

The process is such that the IEEPA refunds will proceed with the liquidation of the imports.

Customs basically finally closes a file (liquidates) about 315d after the entry. So if something was imported on July 1 2025, then May 12 2026 it would liquidate.
Importers having filed their CAPE data (which was super easy, took me about 15 mins for more than 1200 entries), those entries will be flagged for the return of the IEEPA duties plus interest, which is a usual customs thing.

Note that 'issuing the refund' and getting the refund $ actually might take a bit. Some brokers are suggesting it might take up to 60d for the funds to flow, or, it could just be CBP is awaiting June1, as the White House still has a chance to protest the CITA court ruling until then. (There is no suggestion they will but still, better to wait then have to un-de-retro-re-bill people for refunds that need to come back or whatever.)

Short version, it's not like these companies will suddenly get a giant pile of refunds; they will trickle back at (approximately) the frequency they went out last year.

Comment Re:What a load of... (Score 1) 393

Hah, agreement on something!

But, how do you know that humans aren't deterministic? Maybe my exact brain and body, when given the exact same external stimuli over the past however many years, would produce the exact same results? Can't prove it either way, so are you operating on faith and belief about human intelligence?

LLMs are generally considered a combination of stochastic and deterministic (training, specifically). Critics often use the term "stochastic parrots," for example. Since LLMs rely on randomness, if you have a truly random number source, does that make them non-deterministic?

Probably better to not go down this road.

Comment What a load of... (Score 2) 393

It's too bad, because Dawkins has written some interesting things, and hey, being the inventor of the word "meme" and memetics is a pretty big deal.

His reaction here is just astoundingly ignorant. Reading the dialog where he makes a Trump joke and the LLM responds (predictably) sycophanticly is, to use the modern parlance, just cringe. I would have hoped for a more informed take.

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