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Comment Re:Your prejudice against economics is showing (Score 1) 47

It's because the government threw vast amounts of cheap credit into the economy which turned a short-term crash into a long-term depression where kids can't afford houses and the cost of living is increasing by far more than the fake inflation figures economists churn out.

And it's also why we now have a Potemkin economy where nothing really works and we pretend to get rich by selling houses to each other at ever-increasing prices.

The 1930s depression was also caused by economists who refused to let things crash and wasn't resolved until their plans were scrapped after WWII.

Comment Re:The only reasonable move (Score 3, Insightful) 132

Iran has been "two weeks away from a nuclear bomb" for at least thirty years now. It's all been part of Israel's plan to convince American boys to die for Israel in a war on Iran.

Well, they got their war and it turns out that a) no sane American boy wants to die for Israel and b) all those expensive American wunderwaffen don't win wars.

So Iran will do what it wants. If it wants nukes, there's nothing American will do about it. And the Iranians now clearly see that the only way to be safe from American attacks is to have nukes like North Korea does.

As for Sharia law, we're going to have Christian Sharia law or Muslim Sharia law. There's no future in which 'uman rights' and 'wimmin's rights' continue to exist much longer because they're utterly destroying Western society.

Comment Re:Linux Domestic Everywhere (Score 1) 132

Yes. A year ago we were scrapping old PCs at work so I took one home thinking it might come in useful one day. Thanks to the AI Bubble I turned it into a home server this year instead of building something new and it works fine with Linux even though Windows 11 won't even run on it. The only real downside is that it's an old i7 so the idle consumption is around 40W when it could probably be quite a bit lower with a more modern CPU and motherboard.

China could well find they have plenty of old hardware Windows won't run on that they can use after installing Linux on them.

Comment Re:Shocked! (Score 3, Interesting) 52

That is not what they found. What they found is that if you spend 60 minutes doing the homework with AI, you learn approximately as much as someone who spends 60 minutes doing it without AI. If you spend 20 minutes doing it with AI, you learn as much as someone who spends 20 minutes doing it without AI. Etc. The only real difference is that the AI people get way better homework scores, and as a result, tend to stop spending as much time, and thus tend to learn less.

That's what this preprint study found.

Comment Re:Get rid of homework (Score 1) 52

100% this. Even a short 5-minute quiz with just a couple questions at the start of each day will do the trick. But you simply can't rely on homework scores to be a proxy of learning or time spent studying anymore. Brief daily quizzes on the previous day's material will force them to.

Also, It's not like students have the excuse of, "I couldn't study, I didn't have anyone to explain X to me" anymore. The very AI that they might otherwise use to cheat on their homework can also explain to them the things they missed in last year's algebra class that are blocking them from learning this year's calculus, or whatnot. Congrats - you now have an infinitely patient personal tutor who will spend hours dumbing things down for you until you get it. Now you have no excuse - learn the material. It becomes all about actually putting the time in.

Comment Re:Shocked! (Score 2) 52

Yeah. There's been widespread misrepresentation of this (preprint!) in the media. What they actually found: test scores correspond to how much time you spend doing homework, regardless of whether you use AI or not. Which should not be a surprising result! Of course, the AI people, esp. those who had been using AI for more than a few months, stopped spending much time on their homework, and then their test scores fell to match the non-AI users who didn't spend much time in their homework either.

The TL/DR is, in today's age, you cannot use test scores as a proxy of how much time a user is studying or knows the material.

There are of course some caveats, beyond the fact that it's just a preprint - notably that there's nothing to separate why the user started using AI to do their homework, so there's potential confounders in there. For example, if a student is in a poor family, maybe they had to get a job to help pay the bills. But working a job itself can lower test scores - for example, having to work late the night before an exam. So there are some confounder problems with the study. That said, I'm sure the general conclusion is correct: time spent doing the thing = amount of learning the thing (relatively independent of what tools you're using in the process).

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