Follow Slashdot stories on Twitter

 



Forgot your password?
typodupeerror

Comment Framework for Revolutionary Tech (Score 1) 30

Here is a pretty typical framework for tech innovation. I will use cars as an example.

1) New Tech appears. Disruption happens. More jobs, but people realize old jobs will go away.
Cars invented. Lots of new employees hired to build cars. Everyone involved in the horse based transportation system feels a chill.

2) More people being hired, but old jobs start vanishing. Still more jobs than before, but everyone can see the writing on the wall. Multiple car companies appear. horse trainers, raisers, carriage makers, all begin to lose business. Some go into the new business, others are in trouble.

3) Old business vanishes. New business is so much cheaper that poor people start using the new business, something they could not afford to do. Things that were rare become common and new related businesses start to rise. Less than 1% of people still using horses. But workers at car factories can afford a car, people start bussing kids to schools, and gasoline stations start appearing. Surprising, STILL more jobs than before. Why? Gasoline is a huge business. Where there was one horse per rich family on the block, two car families are common.

4) Even more uses/ businesses start to appear. New problems are created AND solved. Car racing is easier than horse racing. Government need to police the car owners, regulate the businesses and the vehicles themselves. Cars need new tricks - including air conditioners, towing capabilities. RVs appear. Car Insurance appears. Refrigeration trucks appear. People use cars for minor trips to the neighbor 20 blocks away (god, the kids are lazy....). The total number of jobs has actually risen far beyond what the horse based transportation system allowed.

5) New tech totally disrupts the old one - go back to step 1. Electric cars and self driving cars.

Comment AI written article (Score 4, Insightful) 32

Note the article says it is AI written.

It also shows no link to Microsoft. Nothing supporting it's claim.
Nor a link to let you sign up for the claimed service.

Not saying it is definitely a hallucination. Just saying that if it is not a hallucination, it is typical of what bad writing looks like. A competent human would have put some link to Microsoft in the article.

Comment I am shocked, shocked to find gambling here (Score 2) 44

AI is not smarter than a human. It is much, much dumber.

Fools think it is smarter because we teach it to specialize in one specific task that it easy for software to do.

It is like thinking a dog is somehow smarter than a human because it can smell drugs.

Our current AI works (on the tasks it is expensively trained to do well) about as well as an intern (on tasks the intern is simply told to do).

It lies, ignores simple instructions that were not part of the training, and generally fails except on very specific tasks.

Comment Re:If only we had a true meritocracy (Score 1) 79

Sports guys are not elites. They are well paid slaves. Think roman gladiators.

Anyone that cannot quit their job and move to another company is not an elite.

Any profession where drugs that interfere with your professional performance are prevalent, is not elite.

Any profession where the only real contract negotiation is about money is not elite.

In addition, their managers etc. tend to put their own needs above their players. They COULD have negotiated the right to things besides money but the agents only get a portion of the money - not the things besides money.

Musicians are in a similar situation. Low level actors as well, but high paid actors have gotten out of that trap.

Comment Moores's law works on all but the battery (Score 1) 38

Everything else has been shrunk down to microscopic levels.

While we have had significant progress in batteries, battery improvements have been linear, while most of the rest of the components have had exponential improvements.

So the battery grows while everything else shrinks. Now the battery is the largest component. Likely to stay that way, too.

Comment Re:If this isn't Law School 101, it should be (Score 2) 37

I disagree. Just say:

No AI citations allowed at all.

Any legal AI should be programmed to replace citations with:

"Insert full 1992 Citation here.". Then the lawyer can go through looking for all 1992 citations to find one that fits.

The purpose of legal paperwork is not to make it easy, but to make it accurate. Given AI's total failure to make it accurate, they should be banned from giving a full citation and the real lawyers should do that work.

Comment Article is extremely misleading (Score 1) 118

There are two kinds of innovation - revolutionary and incremental.

You cannot gain an insurmountable advantage in revolutionary tech. You can only do so in incremental tech. Because nobody sees the revolutionary innovation coming.

The main topics they have discussed (solar, wind, batteries) have had consistent incremental advancement for decades.

They talked about the 'failure is our goal' strategy that China uses - and it is very successful. The US uses a similar system, though not to the same scale - in part because we have 1/3 the population.

Many people focus on the US's manufacturing problems - which generally consist of high safety regulations and high salaries demanded by workers. Those exist for GOOD reasons and they are not worth giving away to gain manufacturing jobs.

We do not want the bad jobs that poisons the workers and evey one that lives near the factory. We want better than what they strive for in China, and for the most part we have succeeded. We export a lot of things, including computers, oil, vehicles, etc.

Part of the issue is that the export categories are large and often we export one thing but import another in the same category (We export a lot of oil, but also import a lot for example).

The US's biggest exports are aircraft (including spacecraft) and fuels. A lot of that is military aircraft. It also agricultural and meat.

The largest non-export industry however is finance. Lots of foreigners use American banking services. While some of that is investing in American corporations and property, (many consider it a safer investment than their own country - particularly Chinese investors), it also includes US companies doing the financial services for other countries.

Comment Make it free (Score 4, Interesting) 259

I'd accept a Fridge that had ads if it were free. Otherwise I can't see it. A fridge can last a decade easily and you can get them for less than 2 grand. 2 grand a decade = 200 a year, and that works out to less than a dollar a day. My time is worth more than that.

So unless the ads paid for the entire fridge I can't see paying cash for it.

Comment Someone made a deal with the devil (Score 1) 36

I cannot imagine any other reason to WANT that brand.

It is synonymous with fraud, deception, and incompetence.

Either someone wants to change that more than they want to make money, or someone made a deal with the devil and the devil said "OK, you can own a big corporate brand, but is has to be an EVIL one. Ha ha ha ha ha"

Comment Re:Gets rid of all internships (Score 1) 50

Worst take on AI, if only because it is common. Everyone misunderstands how AI works and what it does. AI DOES NOT THINK.

It predicts. It is not getting qualitatively better at all. It is getting quantitatively better. They are adding more computers and algorithms that work more efficiently. They are fixing minor issues, like the ability to understand "not", and encouraging it to say "I do not know".

AI has no reasoning. It predicts. Interns are allowed to not think. All of the significant jobs require reasoning, not prediction. AI will not replace those.

Not saying something else won't replace it. But it will require a paradigm shift. Nothing we are thinking of doing with AI will ever achieve AGI, ASI etc. etc. We have learned how to make something that is like the brain of an insect, not that of a man.

Slashdot Top Deals

Would you people stop playing these stupid games?!?!?!!!!

Working...