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Comment Re:we’re probably gonna bust past 1.8C (Score 1) 182

unless nature flicks us off like the fleas that we are, i’m pretty sure the planet is gonna sprint past that finish line.

Since all of the climate-warning cutoff values — 3C, 2C, and 1.5C — were taken from papers where they were tossed out as aspirational goals, each with no scientific justification for that value over any other, although dire predictions were ascribed to exceeding these values, such as a 2022 study published in Science titled Exceeding 1.5C global warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points. The IPCC parroted the study: "Exceeding 1.5C could also trigger multiple climate tipping points — such as breakdowns of major ocean circulation systems, abrupt thawing of boreal permafrost, and collapse of tropical coral reef systems — with abrupt, irreversible, and dangerous impacts for humanity." (1.5C: what it means and why it matters) And since the UN has declared we've already blown past this critical temperature goal, we can sit back and wait for the catastrophes that we have been repeatedly told, in increasingly apocalyptic warnings, would happen once we inched past the 1.5C breakpoint. Based on the accuracy of the 1982 declaration by the UN that the planet would be facing an ecological disaster within two decades, its 1989 warning of a 10-year tipping point, IPCC chief Pachauri's 2007 declaration that it would be "too late" if action wasn't taken by 2012, and its recent retirement of the IPCC's RCP 8.5 (aka SSP5-8.5) warming scenario as "implausible" (despite having been used for more than ten years as the foundation of other individuals' and organizations' apocalyptic claims, some of which continue to be made despite their foundation having been pulled out from under them), though, I'm not expecting much from this UN announcement, either.

Comment Re: Just typical Partisan bullshit (Score 5, Informative) 224

"Death penalties should be public, should be quick, it should be televised. I think at a certain age, it’s an initiation... What age should you start to see public executions?"
"We need to have a Nuremberg-style trial for every gender-affirming clinic doctor. We need it immediately."
"You quote Leviticus 19, love your neighbor as yourself. The chapter before affirms God's perfect law when it comes to sexual matters... in Leviticus 18, is that thou shall lay with another man shall be stoned to death."
Stoning gay people to death is "God's perfect law"
Trans people are to blame for inflation: "There's a direct connection to inflation and the trans issue. You say, Charlie, come on. They couldn't be further apart. No, they're exactly the same. They're the same in this aspect—when you believe that men can become women, why wouldn't you also believe that you could print wealth? If you believe that someone can change their gender, why wouldn't you also believe that money is wealth?"
Blacks "were actually better in the 1940s. It was bad. It was evil. But what happened? Something changed. They committed less crimes." (yes, despite the Piers Morgan "fact check", while his reasons for believing black people were better off under segregation was unrelated to segregation itself, he very much did repeatedly argue that black people were better off in the 1940s)
"If I see a Black pilot, I’m going to be like, ‘Boy, I hope he’s qualified.’"
Juneteenth: "It is a neo-segregationist federal holiday, is what it is... The entire point of it, as per postmodernists do and deconstructionists, is to subvert July 4."
We should have "just took care of" trans people "the way we used to take care of things in the 1950s and '60s"
"The Haitians that are in Huntsville that are raping your women and hunting you down at night - it’s only gonna get worse.. There will be hundreds of thousands of Haitians brought into Alabama, and they will become your masters."
"Haiti is legitimately infested with demonic voodoo. I’ve talked to missionaries that have gone there and they say they’ve seen the darkest stuff... people levitating and turning into cats at night."
"Jewish donors have a lot of explaining to do.. Because Jewish donors have been the No. 1 funding mechanism of radical, open border neoliberal quasi-Marxist policies, cultural institutions and nonprofits. This is a beast created by secular Jews. And now it’s coming for Jews.. It’s the nonprofits, it’s the movies, it’s Hollywood, it’s all of it."
Calling Joy Reid, Michelle Obama, Sheila Jackson Lee and Ketanji Brown "affirmative action picks".
Calling the man who attacked Nancy Pelosi's husband with a hammer an "amazing patriot" and called on people to bail out the attacker.
"Submit to your husband, Taylor. You’re not in charge. "
"Happening all the time in urban America, prowling Blacks go around for fun to go target white people, that’s a fact. It’s happening more and more."
"MLK was awful. He’s not a good person... We made a huge mistake when we passed the Civil Rights Act in the 1960s."
"Transgenderism and gender 'fluidity' are lies that hurt people and abuse kids." Transgender identity is a "throbbing middle finger to God."
Gun violence as a "cost" to having no gun control: "I think it’s worth it. I think it’s worth to have a cost of, unfortunately, some gun deaths every single year so that we can have the Second Amendment to protect our other God-given rights. That is a prudent deal. It is rational."
"The 'Great Replacement' is not a theory, it's a reality."
"The great replacement strategy, which is well underway every single day in our southern border, is a strategy to replace white rural America with something different."
"Islam is not compatible with Western civilization."
"Islam is the sword the left is using to slit the throat of America."

On and on. Man, such a moderate centrist who never espoused bigotry or promoted violence!

Comment Re:Right Wing???? (Score 1) 224

Yes, a very "middle of the road" supporter of far-right Tommy Robinson (who has a 17% positivity ranking among Brits). The guy who said "When wolves get out of control, you shoot them. When gypsies take over public spaces, you deport them." The guy who described diversity as an "ideological inferno", a "religion" led by "high priests". The guy who was so radical and repressive at Basecamp that at one point 1/3rd of its employees all walked out en masse. Truly, a remarkable centrist of our times!

Comment Re:Claude is already FAR behind. Here's why. (Score 2) 23

Grok is a "discount model". It's cheaper than Claude Sonnet yet better than it. Doesn't compare to Fable or Opus, but then again, they're way more expensive models.

Note: I avoid using Grok - not just for the Musk factor, but because there are better options, e.g. GLM-5.3 and Qwen-3.8. Also, if you really want to save money, GLM-5.3 Flash and Qwen-3.8 Flash are amazingly good for their price range.

Comment Re:Dual purpose age-bracket signal :o (Score 1) 128

No. It is data with pretty low information content. You need a _lot_ more to do tracking.

And the legislators somehow make the blatant assumption that forcing computers to announce "The user of this computer is underage" when queried would never be used by bad actors to more directly focus their attention on individuals identified as children.

Comment Re:OpenAI is dying and SpaceX is overvalued (Score 2) 29

Ed Zitron is a moron who has predicted the past nine out of zero AI crashes, who simultaneously gets paid to hate on AI while also getting paid to promote AI (DoNotPay).

The funny thing is that he openly acknowledges that inference is very profitable (~40% margins) for all parties - he just argues that you should count training. But that argument makes no sense, because if capital tightens across the AI industry, then everyone will cut back on training and scaleup, and... then what? Where's the implosion? Everyone is profitable then. You may lose certain players in competition against others (their as-mentioned profitable assets being gobbled up by others), but the industry remains healthy.

There are more dramatic types of possible contagion risk, but they all end up with *someone* holding onto the high-profit-generating inference assets, even if it's high-seniority investors, leaving the the low seniority investoors high and dry.

Comment Re:A yeast feast? SF addressed it decades ago. (Score 4, Interesting) 78

It's been done, and decades ago — Mutant 59: The Plastic Eaters by Kit Pedler and Gerry Davis (1971). A new, highly-resistant plastic sold around the world for a variety of hostile-environment uses begins to fail in highly-public situations, causing deaths and panic. The company that created it was also working on a plastic that would decompose when exposed to a specific chemical, to address the buildup of plastic waste, and through the novel the characters come to believe that this is the source of the degradation of the supposedly resistant plastic. The actual cause is a scientist employed by a completely different company who, annoyed at the clogging of his pipes from plastic toys his kids throw down the toilet, wonders whether a bacterium could be created to eat the plastic and dissolve the obstructions; He comes up with a variant that does, but suffers a brain aneurysm, dropping the petri dish into the sink, where it breaks, releasing the strain into the sewers; it turns out that the decomposable plastic is a superfood for the bacterium, which mutates to eat more and more varieties of plastic, spreading first through the sewers and then elsewhere via all of the connected piping and wiring made from or sheathed in plastic.

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