One question that comes to my mind: could advanced autopilot tech lead to more ubiquitous personal aircraft?
I don't really know anything about it, but I've always assumed that one of the big hurdles preventing us from having "flying cars" (by which I don't necessarily mean an actual car, but something lots of individuals could buy and fly under casual circumstances) is the difficulty of learning to fly safely. If you could program a destination and have the entire trip flown by an autopilot, from takeoff to landing, would that help the situation?
A little, but not much. The main difficulty in learning to fly safely has less to do with physical skill and far more to do with good judgement. Airplanes still are rather marginal beasts, in the sense that they can easily be flown into situations that are rather hard to get out of. Let's assume that we have invented and installed a magical autopilot system that does what you described. What situations will it help with, and which ones will it not help with?
IT WILL HELP WHEN...
- A pilot gets lost. Hopefully this problem will go away.
- A pilot flies into unexpected IFR (instrument) flying conditions. Press the button, and the airplane magically keeps itself upright and lands them somewhere safe. This is probably the biggest gain in safety right here.
- A pilot 'loses it' - gets airsick, incapacitated, etc.
IT WON'T HELP WHEN...
- The pilot doesn't put enough fuel on for the flying they want to do. This is, sadly, more common than you would think.
- The pilot flies into thunderstorms, freezing rain, etc. Bad weather that can knock a plane from the sky has always existed, and pilots keep flying into it. Our abilities to automatically predict and avoid such weather is still very, very limited.
- The pilot doesn't maintain the aircraft or magic autopilot system, and something breaks at an inoppurtune time.
- The pilot overloads the aircraft with too much stuff, or balances it badly. The predictable (but unknown to the autopilot) lack of performance that will result could be deadly.
- And, of course, engine failures requiring off-airport landings. The recent USAir landing in the Hudson illustrates where a skilled human is most valuable.
Food for thought.