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Comment Re:No good if people don't have the cash or jobs. (Score 1) 287

Imagine if the FAA and the DOT hold back drone and self-driving vehicle deployment by not providing appropriate regulation for 10 years. The tech matures, heavily. Everyone is ready to go on it. It would provide immense cost savings at little risk. Then: they set requirements, and open the flood gates. People transition to a sector that has been prepared and made ready for all, including the displaced. Unemployment goes down and participation goes up as long-termers are picked up by companies - for long-term jobs.

FTFY for reality. Oh, and it is the situation I would prefer.

It only takes weeks in the best case for prices to respond: the delivery fee and driver tips for pizza vanish, and that $16 order becomes an $11 order. That's $5 that can be spent elsewhere for each pizza; and it's an extra pizza ordered wherever someone was willing to pay for a pizza but not willing to drive or pay for delivery. Between these, you're going to need more pizza makers, more retailers, and more shipping for whatever other stuff you're buying with that $5 (although the pizza makers will shift in part from whatever that $11 was previously spent on instead).

And quality goes to shit from the product to the employees making it.

Over the years, taxis give way to something Uber-like, because the regulations for a driverless taxi don't include background checks on the driver. Quality goes off the deep end, resulting in less work and shittier conditions for the displaced. But you got your "progress".

FTFY.

Again, quality goes off the deep end, resulting in lower-quality jobs that aren't worth anything, especially for the displaced.

That doesn't take long in small bites, or in growing markets. Once you've started the economy shifting, it can move faster and pour workers from one class of jobs to another smoothly. If displacement accelerates over years, it overcomes replacement rates until an external force slaps the entitlement mentality off employers.

Reality interrupts your low-friction fantasy, yet again.

In the end, about 3.8 shipping and taxi jobs vanish, plus millions of delivery jobs. More retail jobs and service jobs do not appear; business management jobs for logistics do not open up to the displaced; if we buy new IT services (e.g. Spotify, Netflix, high-speed Internet), the support staff for those get fueled by guest workers brought in under fraud by overly entitled employers. Jobs do not proliferate for the displaced until employers are compelled to hire them.

Apparently you don't know what really happens.

That's what welfare is for.

Or you could make it a royal PITA not to hire these displaced individuals. By doing so, these individuals have more income to help support other jobs - versus relying on subsistence. Try living it sometime and you'll get to know just how bad it is to be on SSI/SSDI.

Comment Re:Poor life decisions (Score 2) 353

For instance the coast guard isn't protecting Tennessee

I'm usually polite on Facebook, but this comment is inane.

If CA were a separate country and had to support their own Coast Guard, there would just be another national border along the California border with the US, and you'd be patrolling that instead. It is indeed in Tennessee's best interests to help pay for the cost of patrolling national borders.

But the main reason this comment is so stupid is that Tennessee also depends on the Coast Guard, as they operate on the Mississippi River and other large bodies of water. Even if they did not, all that shipping up the Mississippi comes from somewhere, and the bulk of it isn't from elsewhere in Tennessee.

Comment Re:AI killing industry (Score 1) 120

That's true - if the technology ever gets to the point where it is cheaper and as effective to use than having a person speak into a microphone. I'm not really concerned with how easy or hard it is to "break in" to Hollywood - it's already insanely hard. I'd suggest doing something more useful with your life, but now I sound like an asshole. Hopefully this asshole just saved someone from a barista job.

Comment Re:AI killing industry (Score 1) 120

I'm not making that argument. Let's say the technology is perfect and produces a result exactly like the actor's. It still won't matter, because people want to go see a movie starring _insert_celebrity_, not some robot. To use the celebrity's name in any promotional material, you'll need to pay the celebrity (or the celebrity's estate). So this is no threat to celebrities, because they will get paid ether to do the actual voice work, or to have their name associated with the film.

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