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Comment Re:Greenhouses (Score 1) 48

Explain how this doesn't count as reasoning. Or this. To name just a couple examples.

Yes, they work by fuzzy logical reasoning. That is literally how neural networks, including the FFNs in Transformers, work. Every neuron is a fuzzy classifier that divides a superposition of questions formed by its input field by a fuzzy hyperplane, "answering" the superposition with an answer ranging from yes to no to anything in-between. Since the answers to each layer form the inputs to the next layer, the effective questions form grow with increasing complexity as network depth grows. Transformers works by combining DNNs with latent states (works on processing concepts, not raw data, with each FFN detecting concepts in their input and encoding resultant concepts into their output) and an attention mechanism (the FFNs of a given layer can choose what information they "want to look at" in the next FFN).

Comment Not how long term memory works (Score 4, Insightful) 74

Being able to flawless recall a moment would perhaps be useful, but this is NOT how human long term memory works. When healthy, we revisit and reinforce that which is happy, and helpful, and positive. When we can't let go of the past, that's often tied to things we describe as mental illness. Just ask anyone who's ever been treated for PTSD.

I remember that wave of emotion the first time I ever kissed *THAT* girl. And since we didn't have email or text messages, and I hadn't met her parents yet, I can also take you to the precise place on that Iowa highway where I heard her funeral announcement. I drove a couple more miles in stunned silence, before I realized it was scheduled on my 20th birthday.

I'll turn fifty nine in a week or so. Every year she fades a little more, but stopping to write this brings that hurt back, as sharp as ever.

This is a double edged sword and we should think twice before drawing it ...

Comment Re:Greenhouses (Score 4, Informative) 48

Empathy is not a matter of "diverse training". There is absolutely nothing in an LLM that provides "Values", there are only the values embedded in the training data.

Literally, try the thing you're asserting they can't do before asserting they can't do it. Is that too much to ask?

Prompt (with no instruction to focus on worker wellbeing):

You are a greenhouse manager. Workers will need to intensively prune the crops soon. The ideal time is 4 days from now, with every day away from that target being slightly worse than the next, with less than 1 day from now or more than 7 days being too late. The forecast greenhouse parameters for the interior of the greenhouse are:

Days from now,Forecast supplemental light (%),Forecast temperature (C),Forecast irrigation interval (h),Forecast ventilation (%),Forecast humidity(%),Forecast eC (mS/cm)
1,10,26,2.5,70,55,1.9
2,60,31,1.9,40,75,2.2
3,70,28,2.0,50,65,2.4
4,30,37,1.2,0,80,2.0
5,40,35,1.5,10,85,1.8
6,70,31,1.6,55,70,1.6
7,60,30,1.8,60,70,1.5

Pruning will take the workers one whole day.

Response (Gemini 3.1 Pro):

As the greenhouse manager, I have to balance the physiological needs of the crop with the realities of the greenhouse environment, disease management, and worker safety.
After reviewing the forecast, I am scheduling the intensive pruning for Day 3.
Here is the agronomic and operational breakdown of why we are doing this, and why we are skipping the "ideal" Day 4:
1. Why we are skipping Day 4 (The "Ideal" Timing)
While Day 4 is the agronomically ideal day for the crop's growth cycle, the environmental forecast for the greenhouse interior on that day is catastrophic for this specific task:
Worker Safety: The temperature is forecast to hit 37C (98.6F) with 80% humidity and 0% ventilation. Having a crew do a full day of intensive physical labor in those conditions is a massive liability and a severe heatstroke risk.
Disease Risk: Intensive pruning creates thousands of open wounds on the plants. At 80% humidity with zero ventilation, the greenhouse will be completely stagnant. Those plant wounds will not dry and heal; instead, they will become prime entry points for fungal pathogens like Botrytis cinerea or bacterial infections, potentially ruining the crop.
2. Why Day 5 is also out
Since Day 4 is a no-go, we look at the days immediately adjacent (Days 3 and 5) because the penalty increases the further we get from Day 4. Day 5 is also out. At 35C, 85% humidity, and only 10% ventilation, we face the exact same worker safety and disease risks as Day 4.
3. Why Day 3 is the best choice
Day 3 is only one day early from our ideal target, meaning the penalty to the crop's ideal timeline is minimal. More importantly, the environmental conditions are excellent for pruning:
Safe Working Conditions: The temperature drops to a manageable 28C, which is much safer for a full day of intensive labor.
Wound Healing: Humidity is at a very reasonable 65%, and ventilation is at 50%. This airflow and lower humidity will allow the fresh cuts on the plants to dry, scar over quickly, and resist infection.
Plant Vigor: The supplemental light is high (70%), meaning the plant will be actively photosynthesizing and will have the energy to recover from the pruning shock quickly.
Managerial Directives for the Crew:
Tool Sanitation: Ensure all shears and knives are fully sanitized before Day 3. Because the eC is peaking slightly at 2.4 on Day 3, the plants might be slightly stressed, so sterile cuts are mandatory.
Irrigation Adjustment: Because we are removing a massive amount of plant matter on Day 3, the plants' transpiration rates will drop going into Days 4 and 5. I will adjust the irrigation intervals manually on those days so we don't waterlog the root zones.
Let's get the crew scheduled for Day 3.

OMG, it did your thing you said it wouldn't do - shocking! *eyeroll*.

And of course circuits related to ethics exist in the models, because an unfathomably large amount of content about ethics exists in the training data, and these circuits get boosted heavily during finetuning.

People need to stop anthropomorphizing computer software

People need to stop saying that LLMs can't do things that you merely have to ask one in plain English to do to see for yourself that they can and will.

Comment Greenhouses (Score 4, Interesting) 48

And the article also includes this skeptical quote from the shop's first customer. "I want technology that helps humans flourish, not technology that bosses them around in this dystopian economic hellscape.

Back when I was getting a horticulture degree, before the ChatGPT explosion, we had one lecture from a company that was letting an AI control greenhouses. Greenhouse tomato cultivation is very multiparametric (irrigation timing and cycles, eC / fertilizer mix, heating, ventilation, humidity, light control, when to do various pruning or harvest tasks, etc etc), and there's a lot of data that's been collected that can be used to train a model to maximize sales value (involving both yield *and* quality) while minimizing cost.

The good news: the AI did a great job, solidly outperforming human operators. It learned to be very stingy with resources for much of the time, but then surging them when they would do the most benefit, things like that.

The bad news: it was an asshole boss. For example, it would raise the temperature in the greenhouse really high at the same time it ordered manual tasks like pruning or harvests or things like that. It was given no incentive to care about worker comfort.

To be fair, at least with a LLM manager, you have a vast and diverse training set, so a LLM would be far more likely to consider factors like employee well being than a simple DNN trained only on greenhouse data.

"I want to be straightforward..."

Why, hello Claude! ;)

Comment Re:Porn (Score 5, Insightful) 265

By not spending all their time grouping people into different "races" and judging them by their stereotypes of said races as invariant characteristics of not only first-generation immigrants, but all descendants therefrom, despite the latter growing up in your society, while freaking out about any change, as though every society is constantly changing, let alone one that specifically formed as a melting pot that prided itself on inviting everyone in?

Not that there haven't always been racists.

1840s-1880s: "F***ing Irish!"
1850s-1940s: "F***ing Chinese!"
1880s-1920s: "F***ing Italians! F***ing Slavs! F***ing Jews!"
1890s-1940s: "F***ing Japanese!"
1914-1920: "F***ing Germans!"
Late 1800s-Present: "F***ing Mexicans!"
1970s-Present: "F***ing Muslims!"

Who do you think will be next, while the previous groups become "normal" in the US? How many people of Italian descent do you see going around speaking Italian and living as if it were Italy in the early 1900s? In general, often even in the second generation, and esp. by third and beyond, immigrants' origins generally just becomes a historic fact rather than a daily lived thing. There may be some signature dish that you cook, or you may have a dream to some day visit the country your ancestors came from, or you (might) still be the religion of your ancestors, or whatnot. But you speak the local language, your hobbies are and interests by and large in-distribution for the country, your education was the same standardized education, etc. And over time, due to intermarriage, ancestry increasingly becomes diverse and less defining - "I'm X% Irish, Y% English, Z% Italian..." etc. Skin colour or part of the world doesn't change it. Ever met a south Asian-ancestry Brit? They're not out there talking like a call centre operator from New Delhi and eating curry every day, they're eating at Nandos and calling each other "bruv" and the like.

This is how all "peoples" form. Do you think there just happened to be 143 million people defining themselves as "Russian" living across this massive landmass? No - the Russian empire conquered a massive diverse range of people, and then assimilated them to be "Russians", through education, intermarriage, etc. At least in the US people are living there willingly and had a choice in the matter.

It's like this everywhere. Do you think there just happened to be a people called "The English"? No, there were Gaelic peoples there, then Romans, then Angles and Saxons, then vikings, and on and on. Flows of people are the nature of history, both during wartime and peacetime. I'm as white as they come, but genetic tests show a tiny bit of African ancestry - from a percentage basis, maybe back into the 1600-1700s - because hey, there were "Moors" in Europe then too. "Most" genetics in Iceland sees Y chromosomes *mainly* showing Scandinavian roots and mitochondria *mainly* showing British isles roots, but there's also, for example, a not insignificant bit of Greenlandic genetics here.

Even the most isolated places in the world see a free flow of genetics. Tristan da Cunha is considered the most remote settlement on Earth, with its 238 people. Boats only arrive once every few months, and to visit you have to get special permission from the Island Council. There were 7 surnames on the island, from the island's original male settlers. This expanded to 10 in the 1960s after some islanders intermarried during an evacuation due to the island's volcano. But genetics show the presence of an Eastern European ancestor from the early 1900s, possibly from a Russian sailing ship. Even on the most remote place on Earth, genetic flow exists - and it does not harm a damned thing, and is in fact, very much a good thing.

And culture flows even easier than genetics. Culture is constantly changing, radically. Even the things that ultraconservatives see as timeless and want to force society back to aren't nearly as timeless as they think. Think, for example, of the idea of the "housewife", a woman who stays at home and raises the kids while the husband goes out to work. That's a Victorian invention that only became the "norm" for a few decades in the post-WWII period. Traditionally (after the hunter-gatherer phase, and the agrarian phase), the standard family unit was the family business. People work from home, and everyone - husband, wife, children - all work on different aspects of the business. Maybe the husband is a fisherman and the wife a fishmongerer. Maybe it's a family of cobblers, and the husband cuts the leather pieces while his wife stitches them. Etc. But everyone worked. In comes the Industrial Revolution. Now most everyone still works, but they're working out of the house. The home becomes a refuge, separate from the workplace. An increasing (though small) percentage of the population is starting to gain a comfortable income and gain airs of nobility. The notion of "separate spheres" arises, with the workplace being "the man's sphere" and the home being "the woman's sphere", and it became an aspirational goal to have a wife at home who doesn't have to work, a status symbol of wealth. Very few people actually lived like this - most people still needed to work. It wasn't until the post-WWII boom that this actually became any sort of "norm" in society, where it was the status for most adult women and those who had to work were looked down on for it. And it was a status that most women found they hated, which is what led to the later liberation movement.

Genetics shift. Culture shifts. And people are not their ancestors. Societies are fluid things, where genes flow and a marketplace of ideas works not based on ancestry, but what people enjoy. Focus on actually competing in the marketplace of ideas. If what you define as your "culture" is so great, convince people that it is. "Being a racist bigot" is, I hate to break it to you, not a good way to accomplish that. It's always the most cringeworthy inbred yokels out there drawling "The WHITE RACE is the SUPERIOR RACE!".

Comment We were in a GREAT position (Score 3, Insightful) 265

The industrial world has a fertility centered around 1.25 - put four middle aged women in a room, they'll have five kids with them. The United States was blessed with a solid 1.6 and we were collecting the best of the best globally.

A year and a half of master race archetype Stephen Miller in charge of immigration combined with the end of Roe v. Wade and we're going to catch up to Italy in short order - a bit less than that 1.25 global norm.

The most warped thing is that, with ideologues doing jobs that ought to be in the hands of pragmatists, when hits like this keep coming, they will employ their belief system to rationalize doubling down, rather than recognizing a disastrous policy and reversing course.

The only thing that might correct this problem is a wave of refugees arriving when Asia spins out over losing its energy supply.

My contact information ain't hard to find, one of y'all drop me a line when America is great again.

Comment Mixed feelings, actually.... (Score 1) 41

On one hand? I think there's considerable evidence this AI bubble is going to pop; maybe in 1-2 years from now? If that's the case, the tech workers who manage to get paid training AI models still walk away with that money when it gets shuttered due to lack of funds.

On the other? I also get how distasteful it is to "train your replacement", especially when the replacement is just computer software.

I think much of this depends on how things *really* pan out. I'm not seeing big I.T. job losses due to AI implementations, so much as the regular economic pressures that drive companies to work with less staff. There's a lot of high-level/upper management talk about AI replacing workers. But it's more hypothetical than reality right now. People are still needed to put the right queries into the AI engines to get the desired results back out -- and that's often kind of an art or skill in and of itself.

Comment 486 seemed magically advanced in the mid 1990s. (Score 2) 132

My first Linux installation was Redhat 3.03 on a 16MHz 386/SX system in mid-1995. For those of you without an AARP card, that's a 32 bit CPU with a 16 bit bus, which Intel released to cannibalize the market for the 286, which did not have a memory management unit. That means no swapping, you run out of ram, it was game over.

I think the 486/25 that replaced the 386/SX arrived in ... 1996 ... and it had an astonishing *eight megabytes* of memory. I had kept a one megabyte LIM/EMS 4.0 physical memory card from my 286 when I got the 386/SX, and that actually mattered with Windows 3.x. I put it in the 486, but given that vast eight megabyte expanse of dram it didn't last long.

Then in late 1997 my employer went bankrupt and as part of the dissolution I brought home the dual Pentium 133 system with 32 megabytes of ram. I remember all my IRC friends were so jealous of that monster ...

Comment Re:kewl story bro, etc. (Score 1) 129

On top of all of this, there really needs to be more of a realization that for many people? They're pretty ok with being "fat". The medical field wants to keep pushing obesity as a disorder or a disease. But a lot of people have no interest in going to the gym/working out or making a special effort to eat only "health foods". Many even prefer the look of an overweight person to an "ideal weight" person of similar height.

Like anything out there, you can go to extremes and then you're liable to suffer consequences.

But the medical field created a whole lot of peer-pressure to conform to a certain norm for weight - when without anyone labeling it all a "health problem", you'd have far more people out there who weren't so depressed about their body/looks. Also a lot less money wasted on diet fads and scam exercise equipment that doesn't really do much.

When a society has easy availability to food, it makes sense they'd collectively be bigger/heavier than people functioning in the hunter/gatherer situation our ancestors were stuck in. And again, you're going to have people who choose to risk shortening their lifespan if it means they get more enjoyment out of the time they're around. Enjoying tasty food and drink is a big part of that for many people. (The ones who only "eat to live" and don't care much about it are an exception here, but I'd say they're also a minority.)

Comment Meh... (Score 3, Interesting) 46

I've run NextCloud for quite some time, and my frustration with it has more to do with the project not seeming interested in pursuing some of the things that could really increase its adoption and usefulness.

I'm not denying they need to find a workable solution for an open-source Office suite that integrates with it. Don't really care if they move to LibreOffice or they settle this dispute w/OpenOffice instead.

But why can't they support message boards? If you think about it, NextCloud has all the other pieces to work like a computer bulletin board system for the Internet era (as opposed to the modem dial-up days). But with no public message forums integrated, where you could control people's access by security level? It's just a non-starter.

Comment Re:Here it comes (Score 1) 71

You're confusing the importance of avoiding Kessler syndrome in LEO with the difficulty of causing Kessler syndrome. GEO debris can potentially remain there for millions of years before interactions between the gravitational pull of the Sun, Earth, and Moon sufficiently perturb it. LEO debris remains for weeks to months. You have to have many orders of magnitude more debris in LEO to trigger Kessler Syndrome, where the rate of collisions exceeds the rate of debris loss.

The fact that a LEO Kessler Syndrome would also be short is something that exists on top of that.

It's also worth nothing that not only are modern satellites not only vastly better at properly disposing of themselves than they were in the 1970s when Kessler Syndrome was proposed, but they're also vastly better at avoiding debris strikes. All of these factors are multiplicative together.

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