NASA isn't allowed to "launch something better, cobbled together with modern tech", they can only do what the herd of technophobic lawyers in Congress allow them to do. Unfortunately they put a far, far higher priority on killing people around the world than advancing our species into the future.

2025 Pentagram budget - $750 billion
All NASA budgets since creation combined, including Apollo - $650 billion

2025 Space Farce budget - $32 billion
2025 NASA budget - $25 billion

This is why we can't have nice things.

"Sam Altman Thinks Your PC Is Wasting Precious RAM "

Yeah but Sam Altman is a mercenary cunt who would throw your grandma into the shredder for a 32Gb memory stick, so who gives a fuck what he says?

I am thinking back to how they determined that the health care accounts were fraudulent by essentially sending unsolicited spam to people and seeing who responded... 'lets make our attempt to reach out sound as much like fraud as possible and if they don't respond they must be fake people!'

Yeah, my mind also immediately jumped to 'ok, this is going to be a rust rewrite, isn't it?'
 
Kinda feels like the rust evangelist community is converging with the AI slop one. It was always more of a social movement than technical one, so kinda make sense they are trying to drop the actual programming part as quickly as possible.

Are they thought?
 
At my company, like many, we have a pretty varied range of people from fresh out of college to nearing retirement after decades in the field. I mostly see the older developers get enamored with AI. The younger ones do not seem nearly as interested in it. We even do have a few modders in the group, and I mostly see the middle aged ones thrilled to be producing AI slop and dumping it to the community.

Yes, and?

Even if you tell a human programmer to make no mistakes, they'll still write security holes. Yeah no shit LLMs aren't perfect. Neither are humans.

LLMs will cheerfully write egregiously bad ones unless you tell it not to. I find that a bit strange.

This is the cycle of capitalism.

I think we've all seen that script about hard times creating strong men creating good times creating weak men. What the nitwits who think it's the ultimate aphorism don't understand is a) what either of those words mean or b) that this applies just as much to nepo babies like the CEOs they worship.

Underemployment is high.

Whoops, you forgot to account for reality!

The rational argument was in there as well. Learn to read.

I predict that 3 years from now, the current DRAM shortage will turn into a glut.

Depends on how long it takes for the new fabs to come online. As of right now, there's about the right amount of capacity to supply the pre AI bubble world with DRAM.

Unfortunately unsold stock will be less useful because it's the wrong type for many consumer things. Though NVidia could rerelease some of the Quadro cards as consumer ones to make use spare HBM.

Robotics dweebs also deserve it, especially if their creations are used to (1) turf people out of jobs or (2) kill people - i.e. military purposes.

Meh. Firstly, I believe one of my creations is used to kill people, or as an important part of devices that do. But it's also used in a ton of other things. It makes as much sense to say steel is a bad creation because it's used to make guns.

Secondly, I'm not a pacifist. If someone's trying to kill me, I firmly believe in killing them first and I also do not think there is any such thing a a fair fight. Likewise I do not think it is evil of Ukraine to massively develop their arms industry and methods of killing people when it's in service of not getting killed or ending up in the dominion of Putin.

And if the world is going to develop weapons I really don't want it to be the sole preserve of the kind of dictatorial scumbags who don't jut not have your ethics, but positively revel in not having them.

The next AI Winter will be spectacular

One thing I am 100% confident in is that the that the AI winter following the oncoming crash will be every bit as bad as the internet winter following the dotcom crash.

Which is to say: not.

For a lot of things it works way too well and is way too effective to disappear. Sure we won't get frontier model inference for 1/5th of the cost. Some of the "growth at all costs" behemoths might crash as hard as webvan. But you know, online shopping and deliveries didn't die with them.

I mean take my futurology prediction with as much or little salt as you choose. But I'll lord it over you if I'm right and you can lord it over me if I'm wrong. Isn't that the true point of the internet?

While LLMs will probably make that worse

Why though? I'm not saying LLMs will not write security holes, they definitely will if you don't very explicitly tell them not to. But even the nerfed public ones are not bad at spotting security holes compared to people. Most people are notoriously bad at this, but there have also been enough that a huge number of CVEs have been well documented. These are all in the training data and LLMs can absolutely spot these patterns. And they can do it without getting bored on software that was written before those CVEs were found anyway.

The "not innovating" claim every iterative phone release is also kinda silly, since the "slab of glass with some cameras" thing is largely a solved problem

That and also Apple has not had a record of being a particularly innovative company. What they've always been much better at is finding ideas that they can now implement well and polishing them. The iPhone wasn't a particularly innovative device, but prior devices sucked or were curiosities because the tech wasn't quite ready, and the software was too clunky.

And we all know about the iPod here. No wireless.Less space than a Nomad. Lame. And good gried those early devices had excrable UIs.

Porsche only sells luxury products, though they've occasionally flirted with lesser machines they're above that now, and their highest end vehicles are among the very best in the world. Apple sells everything from mass market up to medium expensive, but if you want the most powerful machine in the fanciest case, Apple has absolutely nothing for you. They are not even vaguely in the running, they aren't anywhere near it, they can't even see it from where they are.