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Comment Contrary position (Score -1, Troll) 73

Raoult has been for 5 years the idol of the educated. I suspect he would never had been famous if not for some clickbait Facebook posts with titles that would be easily mistaken for boomer traps nowadays, à la "He cures the Covid with this one weird trick, siontists hate him". It was clear from the beginning his claims were easy to disprove, but even then "I wouldn't even qualify for a first-aid Red Cross course"-types took it to the extreme and were happy to almost litterally drink bleach because it looked a similar treatement to his fungicide miracle cure. With no effect or at best on par with the null hypothesis.

I was following the situation closely at the time and saw a different movie being shown on that same screen.

A lot of studies popped up that purported to disprove his thesis about HCQ, but a careful assessment of the experimental method showed that no paper actually tested what he was claiming.

So for example, one paper gave late stage Covid patients - people on respirators who were expected to die in the next few hours - the HCQ treatment to see if it had any effect. Double blind, enough patients for statistical strength, all of that. The result was that there was no statistical advantage to giving HCQ to these patients, therefore HCQ does nothing. (Note: Covid death is due to complications, and once major complications begin killing the virus does almost nothing.)

Lots and lots of papers popped up, I remember reading at least six that came out against HCQ without testing his actual claims, and kept wondering when someone was going to actually test his treatment plan.

His claims were easy to disprove, but no one bothered to actually find out!

The reason people disagreed with Raoult is because his treatment didn't have any sort of model or rationale for *why* it worked. It isn't an anti-viral so there's no logical reason why it *should* work in the first place, and everyone latched onto that without thinking things through.

There are counterexamples in medicine, some things are prescribed "off label" because the side effects are beneficial in certain cases. Finasteride is used for hair loss, but helps with erection dysfunction. How could a hair loss medicine affect erections? It doesn't make sense, but it seems to work.

Anyway, after trying to follow the controversy and reading several papers trying to disprove the theory, I finally gave up. My assessment of the situation was that this was a political situation and that it was impossible to sort through the bullshit to get to the truth.

  (This was an outgrowth of my personal campaign to go to ground level truth as much as possible.)

[...] to almost litterally drink bleach because [...]

The "drinking bleach" thing was a hoax, he never said that (and what he did say was nowhere near that), but a fuckton of people believe that he did because there was political capital to be gained.

The HCQ thing is no different. I'm 'kinda on the side of HCQ doesn't work, but to this day I have nagging doubts about that position simply because there is so much FUD and misinformation that I don't believe anyone can sort through it all. And the fact that everyone is shouting the same thing in lockstep simply increases my doubts.

You shouldn't have to shout, or lie ("drinking bleach"), or insult, or rant about facebook posts.

Simply say "this is disproven, here is the paper", and move on.

Comment An actual concern (Score 3, Insightful) 62

The House of Representatives is based on population, and there are likely a lot of people here, that Donald Trump hates.

This is an actual concern for republicans in general.

House representatives are allocated based on population, and not specifically citizens. There are about 2 million non-citizens in California (out of 39 million), and about 12 million non-citizens in the US generally.

The extra population gives California more House representatives in congress.

This is believed to be the driving force behind the sanctuary state/illegal immigrant controversy in the country today. If blue-leaning states allow unrestricted influx of people (and red states don't), then they get an outsized level of influence in the legislature.

Note the "that Donald Trump hates" phrase in the OP above. One side always always always frames the issue in terms of "words of power", such as racism or sexism or hatred of others and the like.

It's never "legitimate concerns, and here's why".

We need to stop the name calling and start discussing the actual situation.

The US population is getting fed up with these sorts of tactics.

Comment The science is out there (Score 4, Insightful) 132

they really should nail down the science on this first. but then again, i heard putin cured cancer.

You do realize MIT made a breakthrough in fusion a year or two ago, had a long video on YouTube explaining exactly what they found, and all that information is available for your perusal, right? And there was an article here on slashdot, right?

Fusion return is proportional to the fourth power of the containment field. By using modern superconducting magnets and some innovative design, they are able to achieve a much stronger confinement. This results in a longer, higher pressure burn (various, depending on which parameters you want to emphasize) that's more stable.

Why people have to be snippy and insulting instead of just asking "what's the science behind this" is beyond me.

Maybe it's an echo from the recent election, I don't know.

Lots of informed people would just tell you what you want to know.

Comment Re: Maybe here too (Score 1) 222

I am Mexican, and I can witness to many new brands filling the market. Their cars seem quite well specced, and I would be quite surprised if they didn't perform correctly against revisions.
There is a large market for cheap, knock-off Chinese products, but there is also a market for good quality Chinese. The cars I've used are quite well built.

Comment Conversely... (Score 4, Interesting) 159

How many citizens of the United States or of Great Britain are proficient in Mandarin? How interested are they usually in learning the languages of other cultures?
Chinese and English are very far away in too many aspects, so it's a big effort for both groups to learn the other's language. Both cultures are mostly self-oriented, so the motivation is little anyway...

Comment Re:Precision (Score 5, Insightful) 131

Exceptions Prove the Rules.

The law isn't there for the rules, it is to flesh out the exceptions. The rules seem clear and absolute, until they don't.

Simple rule: Do not kill

Exception: it's okay if you're defending your own life

Exception to the exception: unless you started the fight

And this goes on and on until it is complex string of exceptions to the otherwise simple rule.

Comment Dumb analysis (Score 1) 131

Gotta publish....

They're focusing on this sort of thing:

Betty Smith will give to her mother Gloria Smith (hereinafter "Gloria") one million dollars (the "Payment") on December 1st (the "Payment Date"). Gloria agrees to deposit the Payment at First National Bank (the "Bank") on the Payment Date.

And saying that you only do that in legal writing, not when you're telling a narrative story.

In a narrative story, you might say this:

Betty gave her mom $1M in December 1st. On that date, she deposited it at First National Bank.

There's ambiguity in the narrative story (who did the deposit -- Betty or her Mom?) In legal writing, you're trying to avoid that ambiguity even if you end up with long hard-to-read sentences. If you're telling a story, it's ok to have a little ambiguity and you trust that the reader will figure it out.

It's not surprising that non-lawyers start to use those mid-sentence definitions when they write legal documents -- they're trying to solve the same problem with ambiguity that the lawyers try. It's like saying "novice coders end up using variables just like experienced coders do."

Comment Re:Who decides? (Score 1) 97

Or the latest from CNN, freeing that poor prisoner who turned out to be a Assad henchman. Oooops

Or that ABC is paying 15 million to OMB in a libel settlement, for repeating a known lie.

Or the MILLIONS the government spent on crafting narratives in the news. Which is probably the worst of them all, since it is weaponizing taxpayer dollars against the taxpayers.

Comment Difficult to lock down humans (Score 4, Insightful) 76

We can imagine ways this could have been done somewhat securely and many disastrous ways it was probably done.

Without knowing what the thing was it's hard to know if it was bound to fail, or if say a double agent stole the highest-order keys.

Very difficult to lock down the human element.

Offering an employee $100,000 for their key is difficult to detect and track. Even a multiple key system (multiple employees) would fall to this type of exploit.

A strong logging system might help (ie - always log who is using the feature, and verification with an associated court order ID), but sysadmins can still wipe logs, hand-edit log files, and so on.

Maybe we should start with an open source signed logging system. Something block-chained, so that no individual log could be altered without breaking the entire chain. If there were a comprehensive open-source implementation of such as logging system, it would find use in all sorts of applications. (Voting comes to mind, as well as court paper filings, legislation edits, and so on.)

Comment The mistakes are absolutely hillarious! (Score 1) 30

While the generated videos are impressive, I chuckle at the mistakes I've seen immediately, such as:

- in the Chinatown scene, how many people morph from walking away from the camera to walking towards the camera

The video examples are here.

Taking one in particular, the alien walking on a busy street, note that at the very beginning, over the alien's right shoulder, the taxicab sliding sideways on the road. almost at the end a taxicab slides dangerously across the crosswalk through the crowd of people.

Everyone is walking in the street.

People disappear as a cab passes in front of them. (Behind the Alien to his right, two people walking across the street and not "down" the street")

Hilarious! OpenAI should totally announce that product and make it available for use!

Close to the end check out the guy walking across the street carrying a blue umbrella.

And of course, why is he carrying an umbrella when it's not raining and no one else is carrying one?

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