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Comment Re:Suggests abiogenesis is easy (Score 2) 83

At this rate we will end ourselves with AGW before we achieve AGI.

But if not that, it'll be nukes or biotech.

It's looking increasingly like the great filter is that ambition exceeds ability while ability also exceeds restraint, and at the same time, a species gains the ability to destroy itself. TBF our sample size is small, but it remains compelling...

Comment Re:Ivermectin is better (Score 1) 198

Hell, your parents were busing gene editing when you were conceived

Really? They were deliberately choosing genes? They selected them from a list? We usually only see that in science fiction, please provide more information on this amazing technological development!

Comment Re:Suggests abiogenesis is easy (Score 3, Insightful) 83

If this is accurate, this suggests that abiogenesis is easy once one has a stable, watery environment, since it happened twice on Earth.

That was my first thought too. (Assuming the article is correct - all kinds of stuff gets published that doesn't hold up in the longer run.)

One potential conclusion about the Fermi paradox [...]

Remember that time is also big. Suppose that there have been 1000 interstellar civilizations in our galaxy during the past 5 billion years, and that each one lasted a million years before collapsing. How many would be active right now?

Frankly, I don't consider it a paradox at all. We've explored approximately 0% of our galaxy and found nothing. That doesn't tell us much.

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